What Does Suncor Energy Inc.’s Shocking 69% Profit Plunge Mean for Investors?

A shocking profit plunge should not stop investors from making Suncor Energy Inc (TSX:SU)(NYSE:SU) a core holding.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

It was only last week when integrated energy giant Suncor Energy Inc (TSX: SU)(NYSE: SU) reported a shocking 69% profit plunge for the second quarter 2014. This led to concerned grimaces from a number of investors and analysts.

But despite the surprising profit plunge, Suncor still hiked its dividend by a whopping 22% confirming management’s confidence in the company.  This is a confusing message for investors, so let’s take a closer look at those results and dig a little deeper to see whether Suncor is still a solid investment opportunity.

Q2 results were not as bad as initially feared

For Q2 2014, Suncor reported net earnings of $0.14 per share, an 85% plunge from the first quarter and a 69% drop compared to Q2 2013.

But the key driver of the profit plunge was Suncor electing to take after-tax impairment charges totaling $1.2 billion for the quarter. These were composed of $718 million for its interest in the Joslyn mining project, $297 million against its Libyan assets, and $223 million for other oil sands assets.

While such large impairment charges on face value may be alarming, they underscore Suncor’s commitment to taking a disciplined approach to allocating capital and scaling back projects as soon as they appear unviable. It also clears the decks for the remainder of 2014, leaving the company well positioned to continue taking advantage of stronger industry-wide fundamentals.

But somewhat alarmingly, cash flow for the same period fell by 16% quarter-over-quarter despite stronger fundamentals in the patch, though it was up 7% year-over-year. However, more importantly free cash flow for the year ending June 2014 spiked a massive 66% compared to the equivalent period in the previous year.

This is a decisive measure of the strength of Suncor’s business, particularly in a capital-intensive industry where cash is king. This bodes exceptionally well for Suncor’s full-year 2014 performance and is a leading reason for management’s decision to spectacularly hike the dividend.

How good is Suncor’s dividend?

While a dividend yield of 2.4% does little to get the heart beating investors shouldn’t forget this yield is very sustainable and has grown at a solid rate since inception.

Since commencing dividend payments in 1992, dividends have grown with a compound annual growth rate of 13%, which is well in excess of the average annual inflation rate over the same period.

This shows that the real returns from dividends are not being eroded by inflation and continue to grow at a rate which far exceeds the returns on what are perceived as lower-risk investments.

This underscores the strength of Suncor’s business and makes it what I call a dividend champion.

Suncor’s geographically diverse integrated business model gives it a distinct edge

One of Suncor’s key strengths is its integrated business model, which gives it control over margins and pricing along the entire production curve from downstream exploration and production to upstream refining.

This provides it with greater flexibility in managing price differentials between various crude blends and the West Texas Intermediate and Brent international crude benchmarks.

Plus the geographical diversity of its operations, which span oil sands and conventional crude production in North America, as well as conventional oil production in offshore Canada, the North Sea and the Middle East are a key strength.

These aspects of its business reduce Suncor’s dependence on U.S. refining markets along with the impacts of Canada’s current pipeline crunch as well as allowing the company to access premium Brent pricing. For some time now Brent has traded at a premium to WTI which is now at 7.5%, and will do so for the foreseeable future with U.S. light sweet crude production continuing to ramp up flooding the market with WTI.

This gives Suncor a distinct advantage over those players operating in the energy patch exclusively focused on Canada and North America. The company’s sustainable and consistently growing dividend along with growing free cash flow will likely ensure it remains a standout performer and should be a cornerstone investment in every investor’s portfolio.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Matt Smith has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

Stock analysts were once excited about construction company Aecon as an investment.

Bull or Bear: Why Analysts Changed Their Tune on Aecon Stock

Analysts had been champing at the bit for the construction company, but the tides have turned.

Read more »

Specialty Brands faces higher raw materials costs.
Dividend Stocks

What’s Next for Premium Brands Stock?

Shares of the specialty food production and distribution company have fallen about 25% since last October.

Read more »

Double exposure of a businessman and stairs - Business Success Concept
Dividend Stocks

2 Interesting Buys in Any Market

Here are two intriguing buys in any market climate that offer defensive appeal as well as growth and income earning…

Read more »

Bank sign on traditional europe building facade
Bank Stocks

Should You Buy Bank Stocks Now?

Canadian bank stocks are getting cheap. Is this the right time to buy?

Read more »

stock data
Stocks for Beginners

2 Reliable Stocks Beginners Can Buy Amid the Market Selloff

As the broader market turmoil continues, new investors can buy these two reliable dividend stocks to get good returns on…

Read more »

Biotech stocks can be good yet risky investments.

Is Bellus Health Stock Still a Buy After 30% Earnings Jump?

The biotech continues to make progress on obtaining FDA approval for its chronic-cough therapy.

Read more »

Dividend Stocks

TFSA Investors: 3 TSX Stocks for Tax-Free Passive Income

These Canadian corporations have strong visibility over future earnings and dividend payouts.

Read more »

Piggy bank next to a financial report

Do You Have Cash Sitting in Your TFSA? Now Is a Great Time to Buy Stocks

If you have cash in your TFSA that you're looking to invest, now is a great time to buy high-quality…

Read more »