Is the Party Over for Energy Stocks After the OPEC Policy Shift?

Stocks like Suncor Energy Inc. (TSX:SU)(NYSE:SU) and others could experience volatility ahead of a key OPEC meeting in June.

| More on:

Canadian energy stocks played a key role in an April and May rally for the S&P/TSX Composite Index. Oil prices surged on news of softer inventories and the decision by the Trump administration to torpedo the Iranian nuclear deal. However, recent events have sharply reversed this trend, which concerns investors who may have dipped into energy after a positive spring.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) saw its premier members, Saudi Arabia and Russia, push for a policy to ramp up oil production in the near term. This plunged WTI Crude below $70. Now OPEC is set to convene in Vienna on June 22, setting up what will be a crucial meeting. Russia and Saudi Arabia are looking to take advantage from the loss of supply from Venezuela and Iran in their push for a production revival. Reports indicate that most members were not consulted regarding the Saudi-Russia initiative.

The S&P/TSX Composite Index dropped 59 points on May 28. Should these developments drive investors to take profits in some of the top Canadian energy stocks? Let’s take a look at three companies to watch ahead of the meeting in June.

Suncor Energy Inc. (TSX:SU)(NYSE:SU)

Suncor Energy stock has climbed 8.7% in 2018 as of close on May 28. Shares have plunged 5.9% over the past week. Suncor has been a star performer among other Canadian energy companies. It released its first-quarter results on May 1.

Suncor reported funds from operations of $2.16 billion in Q1, operating earnings of $985 million, and net earnings of $789 million. The company posted refinery utilization of 98% and crude throughput of 453,500 barrels per day. This was the highest recorded in a quarter for Suncor.

The company last delivered a dividend of $0.36 per share, representing a 2.6% dividend yield. Suncor is still a solid long-term hold, but investors may want to skim profits in the short term and prepare for a bout of volatility in the oil and gas sector this summer.

Baytex Energy Corp. (TSX:BTE)(NYSE:BTE)

Baytex Energy has seen its stock soar 40.8% in 2018, reaching year-over-year highs above the $6 mark in early May. However, shares have plunged 10.4% over the past week. In the first quarter, Baytex reported that it generated production of 69,522 boe/d. This was down marginally from the same period last year. Baytex stock is a risky hold as we look ahead to the summer.

Imperial Oil Ltd. (TSX:IMO)(NYSE:IMO)

Imperial Oil stock has climbed 5.7% in 2018 and is up 7% year over year. Shares are down 1.5% over the past week. The company saw profit soar 55% in the first quarter with its refining and chemicals business surging on the back of cheaper raw materials, which helped it overcome softer oil prices. Boasting a dividend of $0.16 per share, Imperial Oil is still a robust option for those who want energy exposure.

Fool contributor Ambrose O'Callaghan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Energy Stocks

Oil industry worker works in oilfield
Energy Stocks

Energy Sector Strength: A Canadian Producer That Can Thrive in Any Market

Whitecap is built to survive oil-price swings by keeping costs low and focusing on durable free cash flow.

Read more »

Board Game, Chess, Chess Board, Chess Piece, Hand
Energy Stocks

Is Algonquin Power Stock a Trap?

Algonquin can look cheap and high-yield, but the real test is whether cash flow and balance-sheet repairs are truly sustainable.

Read more »

investor looks at volatility chart
Energy Stocks

This Canadian Energy Stock Offers Serious Value (and Yield) This January

Canadian Natural Resources (TSX:CNQ) stock looks way too cheap for energy-focused value investors.

Read more »

stock chart
Energy Stocks

A Canadian Stock Poised for a Massive Comeback in 2026

After several years of downturns and attempts at a slow recovery, Suncor Energy (TSX:SU) is finally near its all-time highs…

Read more »

golden sunset in crude oil refinery with pipeline system
Energy Stocks

Outlook for Imperial Oil Stock in 2026

Imperial Oil stock has returned more than 300% to shareholders in the past decade. Here's why it can gain 35%…

Read more »

nuclear power plant
Energy Stocks

This Canadian Stock Could Rule Them All in 2026

Cameco is riding the nuclear comeback with uranium leverage and a Westinghouse catalyst that could define 2026.

Read more »

Trans Alaska Pipeline with Autumn Colors
Energy Stocks

7.2% Dividend Yield? Buy This Top-Notch Dividend Stock in Bulk

At a 7.2% yield, South Bow (TSX:SOBO) stock's dividend is a fortress built on secure cash flow, disciplined debt targets,…

Read more »

Nuclear power station cooling tower
Energy Stocks

Outlook for Cameco Stock in 2026

Is Cameco stock a buy for 2026 after surging 166%? Discover how AI energy demand and a hidden "zombie" asset…

Read more »