3 Recession-Proof Stock Picks for July

Your portfolio is likely not prepared for the next bear market. Learn how to protect your nest egg with stocks like Hydro One Ltd. (TSX:H) and Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. (TSX:FFH).

Your portfolio likely isn’t protected from a recession. That weakness could erase your gains in a matter of weeks.

Fortunately, several stocks have strong histories of sidestepping economic downturns. Some have recession-resistant business models, while others are lead by savvy management teams that position the company for success.

If you want to protect your nest egg, you’ve come to the right place. The following stocks aren’t only recession-proof. In fact, some have actually gained in value during a global bear market.

Let’s dive in.

Bulletproof business

Hydro One Ltd. (TSX: H) is one of the safest stocks on the market today. Its business model is as bulletproof as it gets.

That’s because Hydro One’s business is nearly entirely regulated, which means it’s guaranteed a certain level of revenue each year. All it has to do is supply its customers with power. Given that its power sources run off hydroelectric facilities, which are extremely reliable and low cost, Hydro One rakes in high levels of cash flow each quarter with few interruptions.

If a market-wide downturn occurs, I wouldn’t be surprised if Hydro One investors actually profited during the collapse. That’s how strong this stock is.

At 16 times forward earnings and a dividend yield of 4%, the shares appear fairly priced. If a bear market hits, this is one of the best places to hide.

Trust the master

Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd. (TSX: FFH) is led by famed investor Prem Watsa. Only a handful of investors, such as Warren Buffett, have a similar track record. That’s not surprising considering that Fairfax Financial operates in nearly the same way as Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc.

Since 1985, Watsa has grown Fairfax’s book value by an astounding 18.5% per year. The stock price has followed suit, rising by 17.1% per year. If you had invested $10,000 in 1985, your nest egg would now be worth more than $500,000!

It’s important to note, however, that the stock did have some long stretches of underperformance. From 1999 t0 2006, for example, book value didn’t grow at all. The next 24 months saw book value abruptly double.

These periods of underperformance have always been amazing buying opportunities.

Since 2014, book value has only increased by a total of 7%. That’s caused many investors to jump ship, pushing the stock to trade at just 1.1 times book value. It’s time to trust the master and buy into this multi-decade winner.

The long game

Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. (TSX: BIP.UN)(NYSE: BIP) isn’t as resilient as the stocks above, but it has another ace up its sleeve.

This company focuses on building and acquiring infrastructure assets around the world. The biggest growth driver for these assets is rising global populations. As more people are born, demand for infrastructure like highways, railroads, and ports will continue to surge.

Because this opportunity will last for decades, any dip in the share price should be an attractive buying opportunity. However, the fact that its assets are critical to local, national, and global economies will reduce the likelihood of a share price correction. Even if you buy a bit early, the 3.3% dividend should make the wait more comfortable.

Fool contributor Ryan Vanzo has no position in any stocks mentioned. Fairfax Financial Holdings and Brookfield Infrastructure Partners are recommendations of Stock Advisor Canada.

More on Dividend Stocks

House models and one with REIT real estate investment trust.
Dividend Stocks

Here’s the 6.8% Dividend Stock I Keep Coming Back To

SmartCentres REIT (TSX:SRU.UN) stands out as a near-7% yield dividend play that's worth coming back to for yield.

Read more »

Child measures his height on wall. He is growing taller.
Dividend Stocks

New to Investing? Start With This Canadian Dividend Stock

This Canadian stock has a proven record of paying dividends and consistently raising their payouts in the years ahead.

Read more »

ETFs can contain investments such as stocks
Dividend Stocks

VFV Isn’t a Complete Portfolio: Here’s What Canadian Investors May Be Missing

VFV feels like a complete portfolio, but it’s really a concentrated bet on U.S. large caps and the U.S. dollar.

Read more »

Partially complete jigsaw puzzle with scattered missing pieces
Dividend Stocks

Don’t Want to Wait a Year for a GIC Payout? This 11.7% Dividend Stock Pays You Monthly

Hamilton Canadian Financials Yield Maximizer ETF (TSX:HMAX) stands out as the ultimate passive-income booster, but it's far different than GICs.

Read more »

dividends grow over time
Dividend Stocks

GIC or Dividend Stock? Here’s Where I’d Put $10,000 for Income and Growth

Rogers can beat a one‑year GIC on income and long-term upside, but only if you can handle volatility and debt…

Read more »

Agricultural harvesting at the last light of day, aerial view.
Dividend Stocks

Potash Power Play: Why This Overlooked Commodity Could Be Canada’s Trump Card

Canada’s potash dominance gives Nutrien a strategic edge as trade tensions rise, making this overlooked commodity worth watching closely.

Read more »

gold prices rise and fall
Dividend Stocks

Trade War 2.0: The TSX Stocks That Could Actually Benefit From U.S. Tariffs

These two TSX stocks could give investors great ways to benefit from Trade War 2.0.

Read more »

A red umbrella stands higher than a crowd of black umbrellas.
Dividend Stocks

A 6% Yield Won’t Save a Weak Dividend: I’d Buy This Growing Payout Instead

A lower 3.3% yield can beat a 6% yield over time if the dividend keeps growing, and Manulife is showing…

Read more »