Why I’ve Flipped My Recommendation on Shaw Communications Inc. (TSX:SJR.B)

At this point in time, long-term investors ought to take a deeper look at Telus Corporation (TSX:T)(NYSE:TU) over Shaw Communications Inc. (TSX:SJR.B)(NYSE:SJR), for a number of reasons.

| More on:

There is (perhaps, was) a lot to love about Shaw Communications Inc. (TSX:SJR.B)(NYSE:SJR) and the growth story the company portrayed.

This growth story I’ve previously touted – one of a smaller once-regional competitor of major national Canadian oligopolistic brands, emerging from the fray as the leader in cost-effective high-quality cellular service (at scale nonetheless), appears to be in question.

The cost of cellular plans is a point of pain with most Canadians, and as I’ve pointed out, is among the highest in the world. With Shaw seemingly looking to compete on price in this sector, hope for a reasonably priced cellular plan may not be lost for the average Joe.

This has been my main investing thesis for Shaw in recent years, though it appears the competitive landscape has shifted, making picking a telecommunications giant a trickier proposition in this market.

For Shaw investors, the fact that Telus Corporation has not decided to play along and ruin the story Shaw was providing has dimmed hope that the smaller regional player can usurp the big dogs, at least from a growth perspective.

Telus has recently announced sweeping changes to its pricing strategy, becoming yet another telecom to offer attractive wireless plans with unlimited amounts of data for a fixed price.

These plans have forced other large players such as Rogers Communications Inc. to compete on price — a scenario that doesn’t bode well for the industry at large.

With margin growth likely to remain muted in the sector because of high fixed and variable costs relating to infrastructure, investors seeking any sort of growth story in this sector will be hard-pressed, leaving only the most devoted long-term investors interested in yield.

For such investors, a dividend yield of 4.8% in a company like Shaw is nothing to sneeze at, and in our low interest rate environment makes investing in such a company an interesting option given the low bond rates and fixed income yields.

That said, Telus’ current yield of 4.9% is superior to that of Shaw, making the investment decision for someone looking to put fresh cash to work in this market one which still leans toward Telus.

Bottom line

In this current market, I tend to agree with fellow Fool contributor Nelson Smith on this one, preferring Telus over Shaw, and I believe the fundamentals for Telus at this point in time remain more solid than those of Shaw.

For investors seeking telecom exposure today over a long investing time horizon, I would encourage taking a deeper dive into Telus’ long-term outlook and compare to its peers.

Stay Foolish, my friends.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in any stocks mentioned in this article. Rogers Communications is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

More on Dividend Stocks

Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Stocks to Buy for a “Pay Me First” Portfolio

A “pay me first” portfolio focuses on dividends that are supported by real cash flow, not headline yields.

Read more »

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem
Dividend Stocks

The Bank of Canada Speaks Up Again: Here’s What to Buy for a TFSA Now

With rates steady, a balanced TFSA can blend dependable income, a discounted yield opportunity, and long-run growth.

Read more »

three friends eat pizza
Dividend Stocks

A 5.9% Dividend Stock Paying Out Monthly Cash

Boston Pizza’s royalty fund turns restaurant sales into monthly cash, offering a simpler income model than owning a full restaurant…

Read more »

woman stares at chocolate layer cake
Dividend Stocks

$50K TFSA: How to Structure for Constant Income

A $50,000 TFSA can produce “always-on” income by layering a high-yield booster between two steadier stocks.

Read more »

middle-aged couple work together on laptop
Dividend Stocks

Canadians: Here’s the TFSA Amount You Need to Retire, Plus 3 Stocks to Get There

You'll want to use a sustainable withdrawal rate to figure out your goal.

Read more »

Blocks conceptualizing Canada's Tax Free Savings Account
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Investors: Here’s the Only Time Using a Taxable Account Is a Better Choice

Surprisingly, it can make sense to hold Fortis (TSX:FTS) stock in a taxable account.

Read more »

moving into apartment
Dividend Stocks

The Perfect TFSA Stock: A 6.7% Yield With Monthly Paycheques

Northview Residential REIT offers monthly TFSA income with an improving operating story, while still trading below book value.

Read more »

young adult uses credit card to shop online
Dividend Stocks

This Beaten-Down Dividend Stock Is Off 55% and Still Worth Owning

OpenText stock is down 55% but this Canadian tech giant is quietly building one of the best AI infrastructure plays…

Read more »