Is Maple Leaf Foods (TSX:MFI) Stock a Buy After Q1 Earnings?

Maple Leaf Food (TSX:MFI) stock should offer strong defensive qualities during the COVID-19 pandemic. First-quarter 2020 results show.

| More on:

Protein products giant Maple Leaf Foods’s (TSX:MFI) stock price rose over 3% in early trading on Wednesday, as investors appreciated the company’s latest first-quarter financial results, which were released before the market open.

The latest financials confirm how strong a defensive play Maple Leaf stock is during the COVID-19 pandemic, even as the new plant-based protein division, which could challenge Beyond Meat at its game, drains cash flow.

Maple Leaf reported a 12.8% year-on-year growth in revenue to $1.02 billion for the quarter ending March this year. Adjusted operating earnings increased by 7.3% and adjusted earnings per share at $0.21 were 5% higher than last year’s numbers.

However, net earnings were a loss of $3.7 million (or $0.03 per basic share), as non-cash fair-value losses in biological assets and a $36 million loss on derivative contracts gobbled accounting profits.

Strong revenue performance during a pandemic

Maple Leaf has mastered the art of efficiently supplying consumers with tasty meat protein foods for decades. Its old meat protein products segment continues to generate positive growth with a strong 12.7% sales growth over last year. Increased exports to China and Japan, a favourable mix towards premium-priced offerings, and stronger volumes combined to deliver a good quarterly performance.

Perhaps the latest growth was due to pantry loading, but the company’s revenue growth trajectory has been largely positive over the past five years.

Watch the new business within the business

The company’s strategy to rapidly transform its product portfolio to include a plant-based protein foods division should attract investor attention. The plant protein segment generated a 25.9% year-over-year revenue growth, or double the growth rate of the legacy meats division.

Owning Maple Leaf Foods stock today gives you a stake in two distinct businesses — a legacy meat protein business that is steadily growing with healthy profit margins, and an exponentially growing plant protein business that’s currently trendy and promises to give Beyond Meat a run for its money.

As the plant protein segment grows to command a significant portion of the company’s overall sales, Maple Leaf stock should attract higher valuation multiples, perhaps even a proportionate Beyond Meat valuation premium.

Remember to watch cash flow

Maple Leaf continues on a strong drive to build its businesses, and the company has since increased its net debt position by 66% to $640.6 million over the past year. This was done primarily to fund growth capital expenditures, with revised capital spending expected at $650 million for this year.

Current strategic initiatives include investments in an Ontario poultry production facility to increase handling capacity and the construction of a plant protein production facility in Indiana.

These are the necessary capital outlays for growth. However, higher leverage on the balance sheet will require increased cash flow generation capacity to service debt repayments.

Cash flow from operations was negative for the first quarter due to higher working capital investments and derivative transactions. Free cash flow was also negative due to ongoing capital projects.

I hope the COVID-19 pandemic won’t cause any further construction delays. The processing should become operational early to enable quicker recoupment of costs and cash flows.

Foolish takeaway

Maple Leaf stock is a great candidate for a defensive play during the COVID-19 pandemic and the coming recession. I have high hopes for the emerging and fast-growing plant protein business, too.

The company is also a reliable dividend-growth stock after six consecutive years of regular payout increases. A 10% dividend increase for 2020 follows another 11.5% increase in 2019. The $0.16-per-share quarterly dividend now yields a respectable 2.4% annually.

Fool contributor Brian Paradza has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Beyond Meat, Inc.

More on Dividend Stocks

hand stacks coins
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Stocks That Could Be an Ideal Fit for a $7,000 TFSA Investment

A balanced TFSA portfolio starts with the right stocks -- here are three strong contenders.

Read more »

Real estate investment concept
Dividend Stocks

A Reliable Monthly Dividend Stock With a 4.5% Yield Worth Considering

Morguard North American Residential REIT (TSX:MRG.UN) offers a compelling 4.5% yield as it transforms from high-risk payer to blue-chip contender…

Read more »

man in suit looks at a computer with an anxious expression
Dividend Stocks

If I Could Only Buy and Hold a Single Stock, This Would Be It

Thomson Reuters has quietly doubled its financials since 2019. With AI tailwinds, a fortress balance sheet, and 9% legal growth,…

Read more »

man crosses arms and hands to make stop sign
Dividend Stocks

The Dividend Stock I Own and Have Zero Intention of Ever Selling

Here's why this dividend stock isn't just one of the best to buy on the TSX, but one you'll never…

Read more »

hot air balloon in a blue sky
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Stocks That Could Benefit From a Softer Economy

These three TSX names try to defend a portfolio in a softer economy with essential demand, monthly income, or a…

Read more »

dividends can compound over time
Dividend Stocks

2 Undervalued Canadian Stocks to Buy Before Investors Catch On

Interfor and ECN look “undervalued” mainly because investors are impatient with a bad cycle or messy deal optics, not because…

Read more »

woman holding steering wheel is nervous about the future
Dividend Stocks

4 Canadian Stocks Worth Holding When Market Anxiety Starts to Rise

These Canadian stocks are some of the best and most reliable companies to own as volatility and uncertainty start to…

Read more »

cookies stack up for growing profit
Dividend Stocks

3 Top TSX Stocks to Buy if You Want Stability and Growth

These three TSX names aim to balance “sleep-at-night” qualities with enough growth levers to keep returns compounding.

Read more »