CN Railway (TSX:CNR) Walks Off COVID-19 and Ships Record Grain

After shipping record grain, Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR)(NYSE:CNI) looks set for another solid quarter.

| More on:

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn more

We may be in the midst of a recession, but not all sectors of the economy are struggling.

Last week, Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR)(NYSE:CNI) announced that it broke a record in June, shipping 2.7 million tonnes of grain. The company also broke records for the first half and second quarter, with 15 million and 8.15 million tonnes shipped, respectively.

The news came after a difficult period for CN, including rail blockades, delayed grain harvests, and COVID-19 lockdowns. In Q4 fiscal 2019, CN’s grain shipments were disrupted by bad weather that resulted in 20-30% lower grain harvest than normal. The company’s latest news shows that it’s starting to recover from that and other headwinds it had been facing. In fact, it may be headed for a record-breaking second quarter.

Solid Q1 results

Even with all the headwinds it was facing, CN Rail delivered solid results in Q1. The company’s revenue was flat, which is itself a respectable result compared to many other companies in the same period. But the real story was earnings. Thanks to lower costs and higher rates, CN was able to grow its earnings 31% (GAAP) in the first quarter. Adjusted earnings growth was lower at 4% but still solid given the circumstances.

Taken as a whole, these earnings show that CN Railway is a resilient company that can survive economic downturns. Generally, rail is a cyclical industry that rises and falls with the broader economy. CN’s Q1 revenue corroborates that; however, its earnings growth shows that it has many tricks up its sleeve to improve profitability.

Will it have an even better second quarter?

With news of CN’s record grain shipment following a solid first quarter, it’s natural to wonder whether Q2 will be even better. In fact, there are plenty of signs indicating that it will be. First and foremost, the company’s press release announcing its record grain shipments called Q2 its “best quarter ever.”

The sentence was ambiguously written; it’s hard to tell whether the company was referring to overall results or just grain. However, grain is a large component of CN’s total revenue. In Q1, grain provided CN with $610 million in revenue out of $3.2 billion in total. That’s 19%. A major jump in just that one component of the business, therefore, could easily drive significant revenue growth. That combined with lower costs and higher freight rates could in turn lead to a winning quarter.

Foolish takeaway

CNR has long been one of Canada’s best-performing dividend stocks. Backed by solid fundamentals and an indispensable industry niche, it has delivered value to shareholders year after year. In 2020, the company has shown that it’s resilient enough to walk off crisis-level economic headwinds without a scratch. While CN’s Q2 results aren’t out yet, we’ve got many indications that they’ll be good. If they are, that’s just another indication that CNR stock will continue to be a strong performer in the years ahead.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Andrew Button owns shares of Canadian National Railway. David Gardner owns shares of Canadian National Railway. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Canadian National Railway. The Motley Fool recommends Canadian National Railway.

More on Dividend Stocks

Target. Stand out from the crowd
Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks That Might Keep Pace With 7.7% Inflation

Three high-yield dividend stocks that might help investors keep pace with Canada’s 40-year-high inflation.

Read more »

value for money
Dividend Stocks

2 Canadian Stocks Trading at Unheard of Prices

Dirt-cheap stocks are a dime a dozen, but a few of them offer you a valuable opportunity, as they trade…

Read more »

Canadian energy stocks are rising with oil prices
Dividend Stocks

Is Suncor Stock a Buy Right Now?

Suncor has delivered outsized gains to investors in 2022 and might continue to do so for the rest of the…

Read more »

Canadian stocks are rising
Dividend Stocks

3 Ways to Invest in Canadian Real Estate Under $20

Real estate can be a great way to make passive income, but you certainly don't have to invest a lot…

Read more »

grow dividends
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Wealth: 2 Oversold Canadian Stocks for a Retirement Fund

These top TSX divided stocks look attractive today for TFSA investors.

Read more »

A close up image of Canadian $20 Dollar bills
Dividend Stocks

Create $1,487 in Passive Income From a Top TSX Dividend and Growth Stock

This top growth stock on the TSX today could bring in almost $1,500 in passive income and triple your investment…

Read more »

Human Hand Placing A Coin On Increasing Coin Stacks In Front Of House
Dividend Stocks

Renters Will Rise in Number vs. Homebuyers in 2022

The greater majority of Canadian renters doubts their ability to purchase a home in 2022 due to surging inflation and…

Read more »

Man holding magnifying glass over a document
Dividend Stocks

West Fraser Stock: A Sneaky Growth Stock No One Talks About

West Fraser (TSX:WFG)(NYSE:WFG) stock has been a sneaky growth stock when it comes to its dividend.

Read more »