Warren Buffett: Watch Out for a Stock Market Crash!

Warren Buffett’s favourite market indicator suggests a stock market crash might be right around the corner.

| More on:

The COVID-19 pandemic rattled investors in 2020, and they scrambled for guidance from the top minds in the industry. Naturally, Warren Buffett was one of the top names that kept popping up throughout the year. The Oracle of Omaha was bit early on after a bold bet on airliners. A broad recovery in North American stocks reinforced his eternal optimism. However, investors cannot ignore red flags that suggest a stock market crash may be imminent.

That optimism has not manifested itself in Buffett’s favourite market indicator. Today, I want to discuss why investors may want to be fearful of a market crash as we consider this red flag.

Warren Buffett’s favourite indicator is flashing red!

In December 2020, I’d discussed Warren Buffett’s favourite market indicator. This indicator takes the combined market capitalizations of publicly traded stocks worldwide and divides it by the given country’s gross domestic product (GDP). The indicator hit a 13-year high during trading this week. That suggests that stocks are broadly overheated. Investors should exercise extreme caution in this environment.

Where should investors turn in the face of these warning signs? One strategy is to look at what stocks Warren Buffett is avoiding and adding right now.

What stocks is the Oracle of Omaha selling?

Warren Buffett is an ardent Bitcoin skeptic. The investing legend once called Bitcoin “rat poison.” He had formerly predicted a “bad ending” for cryptocurrencies and declared that he would buy a “five-year put” on all of them if he could. As it stands today, that prediction is looking shaky. Indeed, Bitcoin surpassed Berkshire Hathaway’s market share over the past month. Still, don’t bet on Buffett changing his mind on cryptos anytime soon.

The Oracle of Omaha has also been critical of gold bugs over the years. Berkshire’s $500 million Barrick Gold purchase puzzled investors in the summer. However, the company went on to dump over 40% of its stake in the top gold producer in the third quarter. Bitcoin and gold soared in 2020 in the face of a destabilizing pandemic and a weakening U.S. dollar. It does not look like Buffett is confident in gold continuing its record run into 2021.

Warren Buffett: What stocks is he buying?

Warren Buffett is not a Bitcoin believer, and he’s distancing himself from gold. However, Berkshire has shown a fondness for healthcare equities in its most recent quarter. That should come as no surprise with the vaccine rollout holding huge promise for companies like Merck, Pfizer, and others.

Canadians should also look to get in on the promising healthcare space. Andlauer Healthcare (TSX:AND) is one of my favourite healthcare equities on the TSX. This Vaughan-based company provides a platform of third-party logistics (3PL) and specialized transportation solutions for the domestic healthcare sector. Shares of Andlauer have climbed 80% year over year as of close on January 14.

In Q3 2020, this healthcare stock saw revenue increased 7% from the prior year to $75.8 million. Moreover, EBITDA rose 13% to $20.2 million. Canadians should follow Warren Buffett’s lead and add Andlauer and other healthcare stocks in January.

Fool contributor Ambrose O'Callaghan  has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Andlauer Healthcare Group Inc. and Berkshire Hathaway (B shares) and recommends the following options: short March 2021 $225 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), short January 2023 $200 puts on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), and long January 2023 $200 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares).

More on Investing

investor faces bear market
Investing

If I Could Only Buy and Hold a Single Stock, This Would Be It

Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD) seems like one of the timlier bets on the market these days.

Read more »

earn passive income by investing in dividend paying stocks
Energy Stocks

The 1 TFSA Stock I’d Set, Forget, and Never Touch Again

If you’re looking for a reliable TFSA stock to hold for decades, this one checks nearly every box.

Read more »

man gives stopping gesture
Dividend Stocks

3 TSX Dividend Stocks for Investors Who Want to Stop Watching the Market

Calm investors don’t chase hype. They buy steady dividend businesses that keep paying through the noise.

Read more »

Happy golf player walks the course
Investing

2 Brilliant Growth Stocks to Buy Now and Hold for the Long Term

Maximize your chances of achieving lasting wealth growth by buying and holding these two top TSX stocks in your self-directed…

Read more »

pig shows concept of sustainable investing
Bank Stocks

The Canadian Dividend Stock I’d Lean on When Markets Get Rough

With a dividend yield of 3.3% and a strong long-term track record, TD Bank stock is a stock to own…

Read more »

Man meditating in lotus position outdoor on patio
Investing

Should You Really Invest in the Stock Market Right Now? History Offers a Clear Answer

Here's how to decide whether to invest in the stock market now or wait until uncertainty subsides. Hint: it's probably…

Read more »

running robot changes direction
Tech Stocks

What Are 2 Great Tech Stocks to Buy Right Now?

If you don't mind investing against the market, these two high quality Canadian tech stocks could be an incredible bargain…

Read more »

ETF is short for exchange traded fund, a popular investment choice for Canadians
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian ETFs to Buy and Hold Forever in Your TFSA

Three TSX ETFs are prominent buy-and-hold options for a TFSA investor’s long-term strategy.

Read more »