Warren Buffett Trimmed Suncor Stock, But it’s Still a Buy

Suncor is a stock with a ton of potential as a company that could benefit from a rotation toward value and commodities.

| More on:
Oil pumps against sunset

Image source: Getty Images

The energy sector has been a sore point for many Canadian investors of late. Companies like Suncor Energy (TSX:SU)(NYSE:SU) continue to trade well below their pre-pandemic levels.

Yes, Suncor has rebounded significantly in recent months. However, it appears the slog for the energy sector is likely to remain a tough one. It appears Warren Buffett believes this to be the case. The Oracle of Omaha recently trimmed his position in Suncor this last quarter. Accordingly, some investors may take this as cause for alarm and start running for the doors.

Not quite yet. I believe there’s lots of value with Suncor right now. Accordingly, I think Buffett’s original value thesis when he bought this stock is better than ever.

Suncor stock has excellent fundamentals

Suncor’s fundamentals have been greatly improved of late. I think this is an oft-underlooked but significant piece of the puzzle that many investors might be missing.

Suncor has been cutting its operating expenses, which has bolstered the company’s bottom line. This oil producer is generating tons of free cash flow where oil prices are today. Accordingly, share buybacks of between $500 million and $1 million are being planned. This isn’t a company that would plan these buybacks without pretty decent visibility into where cash flows will be in the future.

Additionally, with a breakeven cost per barrel of around US$35 WTI, there’s a pretty significant margin of safety with Suncor stock right now. I expect the company’s cash flows to remain stable and will continue to grow if commodity prices continue to improve.

Furthermore, Suncor’s juicy dividend yield of 3.2% (well, juicy compared to bond yields) should not be taken for granted. This is a stock which is the best in its class on a number of fundamental metrics compared to its peers. Indeed, I’d recommend investors bullish on a recovery in energy to take a look at the fundamentals first.

A rotation toward value (and commodities) underway

There are two separate catalysts here that are worth pointing out.

First, as a key energy producer, Suncor is beholden to commodity prices. Oil prices have done some crazy things of late, and some investors may remain wary of where oil prices have headed in the past. However, I think commodities could get a big shot in the arm over the medium term.


Namely, surging monetary and fiscal stimulus. As the U.S. dollar gets depreciated over time due to a surge in the money supply, commodities companies will benefit. This is because commodities are priced in U.S. dollars, and when a currency depreciates, it takes more dollars to buy whatever commodity good than it did before. Accordingly, this is extremely bullish for the sector, and Suncor is well positioned to be a key beneficiary of a rotation toward commodities.

Second, I think a rotation toward value is underway. Growth stocks are obscenely overvalued right now on a historical basis. As such, investors looking for value will be forced to look at sectors, like energy, that have been avoided for some time.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Dividend Stocks

edit Sale sign, value, discount
Dividend Stocks

3 Top Dividend Stocks That You Can Buy Under $50

The global equity markets have turned volatile over the last few weeks amid the fear that the U.S. Federal Reserve …

Read more »

ETF chart stocks
Dividend Stocks

3 TSX ETFs to Buy for Big Dividends

Dividend-paying exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are excellent investment options for passive investors. Apart from instant diversification, would-be investors earn in two …

Read more »

grow dividends
Dividend Stocks

3 of the Best Dividend Growth Stocks That Money Can Buy

Long-term investing has several advantages, which is why so many well-known investors like Warren Buffett recommend it as a strategy. …

Read more »

investment research
Dividend Stocks

3 Cheap Canadian Stocks to Buy Now Before the Dividend Deadline!

Motley Fool investors have been searching high and low for safe stocks in this volatile market. The TSX today doesn’t …

Read more »

Glass piggy bank
Dividend Stocks

How to Accelerate Your TFSA Returns From Dividend Stocks

The stock market saw a correction in January, as investors booked profits ahead of the central bank’s interest rate hikes. The TSX …

Read more »

money cash dividends
Dividend Stocks

Top 3 Dividend Stocks in Canada for 2022

Canada is home to some of the best dividend stocks in the world. With finance, telecoms, and energy dominating the …

Read more »

calculate and analyze stock
Dividend Stocks

2 Top TSX Stocks to Put on Your TFSA Buy List

TFSA investors are searching for undervalued TSX stocks to buy that have the potential to deliver big gains in 2022. …

Read more »

Payday ringed on a calendar
Dividend Stocks

Get Unbelievable Monthly Income With High-Yield Dividend Stocks

The only thing better than a dividend stock is a stock that pays dividends every month. For people who live …

Read more »