Wise Money Tip: The $3.2 Trillion TSX Is the Market to Invest in Today

The inflow of foreign money into the TSX indicates high investors’ confidence. For Canadians, Royal Bank of Canada stock remains the superior choice among all blue-chip assets.

| More on:
stocks rising

Image source: Getty Images

Statistics Canada reports that the Canadian headline equity market is on pace to post the highest inflows from abroad since 2017. Foreign investors are returning to the more-than-$3-trillion TSX in droves. Over the last two years, these overseas investors were sellers more than buyers.

Now, the situation has reversed. On April 30, 2021, the total inflows reached $22.7 billion. One reason for the heightened interest is the increasing number of large-cap tech stocks. In 2020, the IT sector was the top performer, led by tech sensation Shopify.

The exodus back to Canadian equities is a clear sign the TSX is the place to invest your money right now. As economic growth accelerates in the post-pandemic, sectors such as financial, materials, and energy benefit the most. Likewise, the earnings power of companies should return. If you were to invest in stocks, now is an excellent time.

Bright outlook

Last year was a bummer because of the COVID-19 pandemic. The TSX’s percentage gain in 2019 was 19.13% — a gain of 2,740.17 points. Market analysts predicted a banner year in 2020, but it was not to be. Instead, Canada’s primary stock index advanced by only 2.17%.

In 2008, during the financial crisis, the loss was 35.03%. However, the TSX stormed back with a 30.69% gain in 2009. On June 21, 2021, the TSX closed at 20,156.40, or a +16% year-to-date gain. The trailing one-year price return is 30.26%.

Thus far, in 2021, the energy sector is the frontrunner with its 54.1% year-to-date gain. None of the 11 primary sectors are in negative territory. Also, seven sectors are up more than 15%. The current prediction is that the TSX will end between 21,700 (minimum) and 24,500 (maximum) in 2021.

Superior choice

Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY)(NYSE:RY) remains the superior choice for dividend investors. Canada’s largest lender and the second-largest publicly listed company on the TSX is for keeps. Like the broader index, the blue-chip stock outperforms (+22.84%) so far this year.

During the health crisis, the Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions (OFSI) banned executive compensation hikes and dividend increases as well as common share buybacks. The OFSI wants to make sure banks and insurers are stable. It won’t lift any of the restrictions until lockdowns subside.

In Q2 fiscal 2021 (quarter ended April 30, 2021), RBC’s net income rose 167% to $4 billion versus Q2 fiscal 2020. The $179.56 billion bank has $9.9 billion in excess capital above the industry standard floor of 11%. During the earnings call, RBC’s CEO, David McKay, said he expects to use accelerated buybacks to return capital to shareholders.

McKay added, “It’s great to have the luxury to see accelerated organic growth to increase our dividend based on current core earnings, and to return increasingly excess capital to our shareholders.” Investors should welcome the news that dividend growth is forthcoming. At $126.26 per share, RBC pays a decent 3.43% dividend.

Best sector for your money

The best sector to invest your money in today is banking, because RBC and the rest of the Big Five banks are oozing with cash. Barry Schwartz, Baskin Wealth Management’s chief investment officer, says that investors should expect large dividend increases, as the lenders aim for the target. Analysts believe OFSI will lift the restrictions later this year.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Christopher Liew has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Shopify. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2023 $1,140 calls on Shopify and short January 2023 $1,160 calls on Shopify.

More on Dividend Stocks

Senior Couple Walking With Pet Bulldog In Countryside
Dividend Stocks

Retirees: 2 On-Sale TSX Dividend Stocks to Buy Now for Passive Income

These top TSX dividend stocks now offer 6% yields.

Read more »

Payday ringed on a calendar
Dividend Stocks

New Investors: The 3 Best TSX Dividend Stocks for Monthly Cash

New investors looking for monthly dividend cash are in luck! Here are three attractive Canadian dividend stocks for growth and…

Read more »

A worker gives a business presentation.
Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks You Can Safely Hold for Decades

Here are three of the safest Canadian dividend stocks you can buy right now to hold for decades.

Read more »

Red siren flashing
Dividend Stocks

Buy Alert: This Energy Stock Is Unstoppable After Strong Results

Tourmaline Oil (TSX:TOU) beat earnings and looks unstoppable.

Read more »

Female hand holding piggy bank. Save money and financial investment
Dividend Stocks

2 Safe Dividend Stocks to Beat Inflation

Canadian investors, young and old alike, can cope with or even beat inflation by owning two safe dividend stocks.

Read more »

Dollar symbol and Canadian flag on keyboard
Dividend Stocks

2 Canadian Dividend Stocks (With +6% Yields) You’ll Regret Not Buying at These Prices

TSX dividend stocks such as TC Energy and TransAlta Renewable are well poised to deliver consistent returns to long-term investors.

Read more »

Businessman holding tablet and showing a growing virtual hologram of statistics, graph and chart with arrow up on dark background. Stock market. Business growth, planning and strategy concept
Dividend Stocks

2 TSX Stocks With Market-Beating Potential

Even in the current economic environment, long-term investors have a great chance of beating the market. Stocks like CN Rail…

Read more »

consider the options
Dividend Stocks

Is BCE or Enbridge a Better Buy for Passive Income?

BCE and Enbridge offer attractive dividend yields. Is one a better buy for TFSA passive income?

Read more »