TFSA Investors: 1 Gold Stock Set to Outperform in 2021

With a growing production profile and costs trending downwards, Kinross Gold Corp. (TSX:K)(NYSE:KGC) expects to have a peer-leading free cash flow yield over the next three years.

| More on:

Kinross Gold (TSX:K)(NYSE:KGC) is a well-managed Canadian gold company. In fiscal 2021, Kinross expects production to increase. The company expects this increase to be driven largely by life-of-mine extensions and projects, enhancements to productivity and operational efficiency, and exploration success identifying new ounces around existing operations.

Record cash flow leading to increased financial strength

Longer term, through the end of the decade, and as projects in Kinross’s current pipeline come online, the company forecasts average annual production of 2.5 million Au eq. oz. (gold equivalent ounces), with additional upside opportunities. Kinross’s record cash flow has increased the company’s financial strength.

Strong production and disciplined cost and capital management

The combination of strong production, disciplined cost and capital management, and a strong gold price appears to have led to outstanding financial results in fiscal 2020. Adjusted operating cash flow increased by 59% over the previous year, while free cash flow grew to over $1 billion, a six-fold increase compared with 2019.

Continued prospects for strong cash flow

Further, Kinross’s attributable margins increased by 53% to $1,051 per ounce sold, outpacing the increase in the average realized gold price of 27%. Kinross’s adjusted net earnings appears to have more than doubled to approximately $970 million. Given the strength of Kinross’s financial position, and continued prospects for strong cash flow, the company instituted a sustainable quarterly dividend of $0.03 per share.

Investment-grade balance sheet

Also, Kinross has continued to strengthen the company’s investment grade balance sheet, ending the year with just over $1.2 billion of cash and cash equivalents, compared with $575 million at the end of 2019, and with total liquidity of approximately $2.8 billion. Kinross ended 2020 well positioned to fund the company’s growth and continues to reduce debt and return capital to shareholders.

Robust pipeline of development projects and opportunities

With Kinross’s growing production profile and costs trending downwards, the company expects to have a peer-leading free cash flow yield over the next three years. Kinross also has a robust pipeline of development projects and opportunities. Kinross has successfully advanced the company’s portfolio of low-risk development projects in 2020 while expanding the project pipeline with attractive new opportunities in the company’s existing jurisdictions.

Excellent job in ensuring projects advance on budget and on time

Kinross has also done an excellent job in ensuring projects advance on budget and on time. For example, the company’s Tasiast 24k project advanced on budget and on schedule in 2020. The project is expected to increase throughput capacity to 21,000 tonnes per day (t/d) by the end of 2021, and to 24,000 t/d by mid-2023 to increase production, reduce costs, and generate significant cash flow and attractive returns.

Enhance partnerships

Furthermore, Kinross also reached an agreement in principle with the Government of Mauritania to enhance the company’s partnership. In fiscal 2020, Kinross completed the acquisition of the Chulbatkan property in Russia, a large and highly prospective licence area. In 2020, drilling focused on the Udinsk resource pit, the first project expected to be developed at Chulbatkan, supporting the advancement of a pre-feasibility study which is expected to be completed in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021.

Overall, Kinross appears to be operating very well and could be a great stock to own in 2021.

The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Fool contributor Nikhil Kumar has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. 

More on Metals and Mining Stocks

investor looks at volatility chart
Stocks for Beginners

The Best Undervalued Stocks I’d Buy Right Now

Two profitable Canadian royalty stocks have slipped into “oversold” territory (RSI below 30), potentially creating a rare clearance moment near…

Read more »

todder holds a gold bar
Metals and Mining Stocks

1 Canadian Stock I’d Buy as Trade Tensions Heat Up Again

As trade tensions between Canada and the U.S. heat up again, this Canadian royalty giant could offer investors the stability…

Read more »

Metals
Stocks for Beginners

1 Stock That Could Surge as Canada Launches Tariff Retaliation

A 25% tariff can shift buying toward Canadian suppliers, and Algoma Steel is a beaten-down way to bet on that…

Read more »

panning for gold uncovers nuggets and flakes
Metals and Mining Stocks

1 Canadian Dividend Stock Down 38% to Hold Forever

If you're searching for a top Canadian dividend stock to buy on weakness, this overlooked gold miner deserves a closer…

Read more »

The letters AI glowing on a circuit board processor.
Metals and Mining Stocks

AI Needs Power: This Canadian Stock Could Help Supply it

A pre-production Canadian uranium developer is positioning to ride the AI power boom as nuclear demand comes back.

Read more »

Piggy bank and Canadian coins
Metals and Mining Stocks

This Is the TFSA Balance You’ll Likely Need to Retire Comfortably in Canada

Canadian residents should consider owning quality TSX stocks in a TFSA to accelerate their retirement plan.

Read more »

gold prices rise and fall
Metals and Mining Stocks

The $109,000 TFSA Milestone: How Do You Stack Up?

The lifetime TFSA limit just crossed six figures. Here is why that matters, and how one quality Canadian stock could…

Read more »

gold prices rise and fall
Metals and Mining Stocks

My #1 Forever TFSA Stock and Why I’ll Never Let It Go

This gold-focused royalty stock could be a strong long-term TFSA holding for patient investors.

Read more »