Why Canadian National Railway Stock Climbed 34% in 2021

CNR (TSX:CNR)(NYSE:CNI) stock has had a crazy year, to say the least. But the recent loss of the KCS deal could be good news for long-term investors.

| More on:

Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR)(NYSE:CNI) wasn’t among the most impressive stocks in the last year. CNR stock only managed to climb 10% in the last year, while other companies soared around it. However, it was still quite the comeback for Motley Fool investors of 34% from its lowest point of the year.

Yet since then, shares have fallen back by 8%. It all came down to a deal that fell through with Kansas City Southern earlier this year. Back in September, CNR stock lost the deal to acquire KCS to Canadian Pacific Railway.

Isn’t an acquisition good news?

Not in this case. CNR stock saw shares rebound quickly after losing the deal that would see it lose around $30 billion in the deal. That would also include taking on the debt from KCS. And frankly, there were many that believed the company couldn’t afford it.

This included TCI Fund Management, a major stakeholder in CNR stock. The company accused CNR stock of making the unwise decision to try and buy KCS in the first place. Further, it stated that it believed the company’s chief executive Jean-Jacques Ruest should be replaced.

The search continues

That’s what led to the current downturn. Shares pulled back further and further as the drama continued. While a truce came up between CNR stock management and TCI, that has since fallen through. The company selected Jim Vena to take over CNR stock. However, Vena then stepped out of the running, leaving the role of CEO up in the air.

As CNR continues to search for a replacement, the company is in an uneasy position. And that’s led analysts to rethink their target price for the stock. Most recently, Citi analyst Christian Wetherbee stated the future of rail in the next year looks poor. Volumes may continue to be “soft,” leading the analyst to trim financial expectations by 6% across the industry.

Still, the analyst maintained his target price of US$140, as he believes the KCS deal going sideways will be good for the company. It can now focus on its operating ratio and earnings-per-share growth instead.

Focus on growth

CNR stock has indeed been focusing on growth in other areas. And that includes its bottom line. CNR stock recently sold its Michigan and Wisconsin rail lines to Watco, which was announced in July 2020. It’s also returned to its normal range of shipping after washouts in British Columbia affected the company.

CNR stock announced to Motley Fool investors last month that it should find a new CEO sometime in January 2022. So, investors interested in the company could see another boost should a strong candidate present itself.

Until then, CNR stock is still a strong company, with now a strong bottom line run by its stable shipping. It’s also raised its dividend every year for the last 25 years. You can now pick up the stock with a 1.58% dividend yield, trading at 23.25 times value.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe owns Canadian Pacific Railway Limited. The Motley Fool recommends Canadian National Railway.

More on Dividend Stocks

Muscles Drawn On Black board
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Defensive Stocks to Buy for Long-Term Stability

After a huge run up in 2025 and 2026, Canadian stocks could be due for a correction. Here are three…

Read more »

Colored pins on calendar showing a month
Dividend Stocks

3 Monthly Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever

Three monthly dividend stocks that provide consistent income, strong fundamentals, and long‑term potential for investors building passive cash flow.

Read more »

dividend stocks bring in passive income so investors can sit back and relax
Dividend Stocks

5 Canadian Dividend Stocks Everyone Should Own

Let's dive into five of the top dividend stocks Canada has to offer, and why now may be an opportune…

Read more »

Investor reading the newspaper
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Investors: What to Know About the New CRA Limit for 2026

Stashing your fresh $7,000 of 2026 TFSA room into a steady compounder like TD can turn new contribution room into…

Read more »

a person prepares to fight by taping their knuckles
Stocks for Beginners

3 Defensive Stocks That Could Thrive During Economic Uncertainty

Market volatility doesn’t disappear entirely. That’s why owning one or more defensive stocks is key.

Read more »

dividend growth for passive income
Dividend Stocks

2 Dividend-Growth Stocks to Buy and Hold Through 2026

Are you looking for some dividend-growth stocks to add to your portfolio? Here are two great picks that every investor…

Read more »

Canada Day fireworks over two Adirondack chairs on the wooden dock in Ontario, Canada
Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks to Help You Achieve Financial Freedom

These three quality dividend stocks can help you achieve financial freedom.

Read more »

senior man and woman stretch their legs on yoga mats outside
Dividend Stocks

Passive Income: How to Earn Safe Dividends With Just $20,000

Here's what to look for to earn safe dividends for passive income.

Read more »