3 TSX Energy Stocks Set for Explosive Returns in 2022

Oil is trading over US$100, and many TSX energy stocks are primed for explosive upside. Here’s three of my favourite energy stocks for 2022.

| More on:

TSX energy stocks are vastly outperforming almost every other asset class in 2022. To give you an example, the S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index is up 31% this year alone. That is compared to the S&P/TSX Composite Index, which has only delivered a 0.57% return. Over the past year, the TSX Energy Index outperformed the TSX by 80 percentage points.

TSX energy stocks are still very cheap

With WTI oil price soaring to over US$100 per barrel, many Canadian energy stocks are more profitable than ever. Likewise, they are yielding tonnes of excess free cash flow that can be deployed to shareholders. Despite their strong performance in 2022, many of these TSX stocks are still astoundingly cheap. Here are three of my favourite TSX energy stocks today.

TSX energy stocks are vastly outperforming in 2022

One of the cheapest TSX energy stocks today

Vermilion Energy (TSX:VET)(NYSE:VET) is up 53% in 2022 alone. The company has gas and oil operations in both Europe and Canada. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine is exacerbating power prices across Europe. Consequently, Vermilion is garnering incredibly high prices for its natural gas. Likewise, North American gas and oil are still near seven-year high prices.

Despite the quick rise in its stock, Vermilion is still very cheap. In 2018, this was a $47 stock. Vermilion trades with a near 40% free cash flow yield and is amongst the cheapest mid-cap TSX stocks. It trades with a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.3.

The company does have a lot of debt. However, given its high cash yield, it expects to reduce debt to sub $1 billion (or 0.5 times funds from operation) by the end of the year. Vermilion plans to reinstate a $0.06 per share quarterly dividend. However, as debt quickly decreases that payout could quickly rise.

An undervalued integrated energy stock

Cenovus Energy (TSX:CVE)(NYSE:CVE) has underperformed the TSX Energy Index by around 3% in 2022. Yet there are reasons to be bullish on this TSX stock. First, as one of Canada’s largest integrated energy players, it should start to attract the attention of institutional money managers. This is especially true if it keeps trading for only eight times earnings. That is a discount to both Suncor and Canadian Natural Resources.

Cenovus has done a great job integrating Husky Energy’s refining assets into its portfolio. At current oil prices, the company should be close to hitting its 2022 debt targets. As a result, further dividend increases and share buybacks could be in store for shareholders.

A natural gas top dog

Tourmaline Oil (TSX:TOU) is one of the best-managed TSX energy stocks in Canada. It operates some the highest-quality and most efficient natural gas assets in Western Canada. Likewise, it is positioned to sell into some of North America’s highest priced gas markets (California, LNG exports on the U.S. Gulf Coast, etc.).

Tourmaline already has an excellent balance sheet with essentially no net debt (after considering its stake in Topaz Energy). As a result, it is returning a tonne of its free cash flow to shareholders.

Last year, it increased its base dividend three times and paid a $0.75 per share special dividend. In 2022, it has already declared another $1.25 per share special dividend and increased its base quarterly dividend by 11%.

The Foolish takeaway

Tourmaline is ahead of the pack in hitting its debt and operational targets. I believe this a picture for where the remaining TSX energy stocks are heading. All this means more dividends, share buybacks, and strong total returns are on their way for patient energy investors.

Fool contributor Robin Brown owns CENOVUS ENERGY INC., TOURMALINE OIL CORP, and VERMILION ENERGY INC. The Motley Fool recommends CDN NATURAL RES, Topaz Energy Corp., and VERMILION ENERGY INC.

More on Energy Stocks

Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks That Could Help You Sleep Better in 2026

These three “sleep-better” dividend stocks rely on essential demand, giving you steadier cash flow when markets get noisy.

Read more »

golden sunset in crude oil refinery with pipeline system
Energy Stocks

2 Dividend Energy Stocks to Buy in March

Given their strong fundamentals and disciplined capital allocation strategies, these two energy companies could sustain dividend growth in the years…

Read more »

golden sunset in crude oil refinery with pipeline system
Energy Stocks

Why Every Canadian Portfolio Should Have at Least 1 Energy Stock Right Now

Here are three top Canadian energy stocks for investors looking to defend their portfolio (and potentially benefit) from the recent…

Read more »

Canadian investor contemplating U.S. stocks with multiple doors to choose from.
Energy Stocks

Suncor, Enbridge, or Canadian Natural? Here’s Which Oil Stock Makes Sense for Your Portfolio

Let's compare and contrast three of the best energy stocks in the Canadian market, and see which comes out as…

Read more »

monthly calendar with clock
Energy Stocks

Today’s Perfect TFSA Stock: 5% Monthly Income

This top monthly dividend stock yielding 5% is worth considering for investors of nearly all time horizons and risk tolerance…

Read more »

Oil industry worker works in oilfield
Energy Stocks

3 Canadian Energy Stocks That Win When Oil Spikes and Hold Up When it Doesn’t

These energy companies’ operating structures reduce downside risk, making them relatively defensive bets during periods of weak prices.

Read more »

electrical cord plugs into wall socket for more energy
Dividend Stocks

2 Canadian Stocks That Could Win From More Power Demand

Power demand growth could become structural, making generation and storage assets more valuable as grids tighten.

Read more »

tree rings show growth patience passage of time
Dividend Stocks

2 TSX Dividend Stocks I’d Hold for the Next Decade

High-yield dividends can supercharge long-term returns, but only if free cash flow covers payouts and debt stays manageable.

Read more »