Lightspeed (TSX:LSPD) Stock Down 50%: Buy it Now?

A tech giant is trading at a deep discount but could deliver an enormous windfall because of improving business trends and significant revenue growth.

| More on:

Image source: Getty Images

The technology sector took a hard blow two days before the rate-hike announcement by the Bank of Canada. Shopify fell 8.85% on July 11, 2022, to lead the broad-based decline of the S&P/TSX Composite Index. The year-to-date loss of tech stocks has widened to 38.37% as a result of the drag.

Another tech giant, Lightspeed Commerce (TSX:LSPD)(NYSE:LSPD), also took it on the chin, dropping 7.14% to $25.48. Its share price rose to as high as $158.84 in September 2021 until a short-seller report triggered a free fall. Unfortunately, rising interest rates and soaring inflation in 2022 are massive headwinds for tech stocks.

Root of the underperformance

As of this writing, Lightspeed is down 50.12% year to date. The current share price is ridiculously cheap and a good entry point if you expect technology stocks to make a strong comeback. Management reported stellar revenue growth in fiscal 2022 and looks forward to vastly improved financial results in fiscal 2023.

The $3.8 billion one-stop commerce platform for merchants was hurt by the allegations of a short-selling investment firm in a report published last September 2021. According to Spruce Point Management, Lightspeed misled investors about its financial health, including massive inflation of its customer base.

Lightspeed said the report was self-serving, and Spruce Point stands to benefit or profit from the unfounded allegations if the share price plunge.

Return to an ideal environment

Lightspeed’s CEO JP Chauvet said, “With the fear of further lockdowns currently abating, merchants and restaurateurs are operating in a more favorable environment where they can create new concepts, invest in technology and open new locations. This is an environment where Lightspeed will truly shine.”

In fiscal 2022 (12 months ended March 31, 2022), total revenue increased 147% versus fiscal 2021, although net loss widened to US$288.4 million. The year’s highlights included the 218% and 147% growth, respectively, in subscription- and transaction-based revenues.

Management sees the return to in-person shopping and dining as a tailwind for the business. Other growth drivers include successful new product launches, the expanded availability of payments solutions, and a disciplined approach to Lightspeed’s cost structure.

Brandon Nussey, Lightspeed’s chief financial and operations officer, said, “As we look ahead, we are committed to our path to profitability and have the growth levers to get us there.” Management expects to break even in adjusted EBITDA by the end of fiscal 2024.

Repeat performance

Before the short-seller report came out, shareholders voted in favour of changing the corporate name. On August 6, 2021, Lightspeed POS Inc. became Lightspeed Commerce Inc. Management believed the change is appropriate in that it accurately represents the full scope of services the commerce platform provides.

Also, in March 2020, the share price fell to as low as $12 due to the pandemic-induced market selloff. However, Lightspeed went on a roll and rose steadily from its COVID-low. Investors who held on to the stock, despite the sharp drop, didn’t regret it. The tech stock delivered a 149% overall return for the year. A repeat performance is possible once the Bank of Canada achieves its target range for inflation.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Christopher Liew has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Shopify. The Motley Fool recommends Lightspeed Commerce.

More on Tech Stocks

data analyze research
Tech Stocks

1 Stock I’m Buying Hand Over Fist in April Despite the Market’s Pessimism

Are you looking for a stock to buy this month despite the pessimism in the market?

Read more »

Male IT Specialist Holds Laptop and Discusses Work with Female Server Technician. They're Standing in Data Center, Rack Server Cabinet with Cloud Server Icon and Visualization
Tech Stocks

Constellation Software Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Constellation Software stock has rallied 186% in the last five years and is now valued at an expensive 100 times…

Read more »

Money growing in soil , Business success concept.
Tech Stocks

3 High-Growth Stocks That Could Help You Become a Millionaire

Are you looking to grow your nest egg? Here are three Canadian stocks that should be on your watch list.

Read more »

Man holding magnifying glass over a document
Tech Stocks

Watching This 1 Key Metric Could Help You Beat the Stock Market

One key metric that Buffett looks at is the return on equity. Here's why you should watch it.

Read more »

Daffodils in bloom
Tech Stocks

2 Best “Magnificent Seven” Stocks to Buy in April

Two surging mega-cap tech stocks are the best buys among the “Magnificent Seven” this April.

Read more »

clock time
Tech Stocks

Up 47%, Is it Time to Buy Payfare Stock?

Payfare (TSX:PAY) stock has been rising higher in the last six months after dropping significantly since 2021. Is it time…

Read more »

Clock pointing towards a 'sell' signal
Tech Stocks

2 Canadian Growth Stocks to Buy and 1 to Sell

Financial growth stocks like EQB Inc (TSX:EQB) are much cheaper than tech growth stocks.

Read more »

Target. Stand out from the crowd
Tech Stocks

The Most Expensive Stock in Canada Is a Top Buy Today

This stock might be expensive, but it's proven time and again that it's worth its weight in gold. And it's…

Read more »