Everyone Is Talking About This Stock: Is It a Good Long-term Option?

NFI stock (TSX:NFI) reported record earnings this week, with a huge backlog and production ramp up. So why did shares only climb 2%?

| More on:

The TSX today continues to be full of volatility, but that doesn’t mean investors aren’t looking for growth stocks. In fact, some companies have seen a surge in the last year, while others have dropped even further.

Yet one stock hitting the news lately has been NFI Group (TSX:NFI). The bus manufacturer recently reported earnings for investors. However, there were some warnings that came along with the numbers.

What happened

Shares of NFI stock reported another quarter that beat out earnings estimates. However, the quarter also had some downsides. NFI stock reported a loss of US$48.1 million for its latest quarter, which was an improvement from the loss of US$56 million the year before.

Revenue, however, surged by almost double. Compared to US$398 million in revenue last year, this year NFI stock boasted revenue of $659.6 million. The results also came with news that the company would be increasing its production for the second half of this year.

With the news, new full-year guidance came out as well. NFI stock expects to achieve revenue between US$2.6 and US$2.8 billion in 2023. This was an increase from between US$2.5 and US$2.8 billion made earlier in the year. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) are now expected between US$40 and US$60 million, narrowing it further from between US$30 and US$60 million announced earlier.

But hold on

All of this looks like good news, right? But Chief Executive Officer Paul Soubry had a warning for investors. Temporary inefficiencies from supply-chain production that came about during the pandemic should continue not just next year, but through to 2025.

NFI stock still hasn’t fully recovered after its supply plunged during 2020. While there certainly has been a significant recovery, it still likely won’t be until 2025 when the stock is back at those levels. Still, vehicle deliveries climbed by 66% year over year, with its quarter-end backlog at 10,000 orders. This hit a record of US$6.7 billion!

By 2025, NFI expects to be back to around 1,500 units per quarter. This was similar to what it was producing back in 2019, Soubry said. Meanwhile, NFI stated there would be a private placement with an unnamed asset manager, in an effort to raise US$50 million and pay down debt.

Now what?

NFI stock was up just 2% on August 16 as the stock made its earnings announcement. So while the company reported record-setting results and sky-high revenue, the loss and future growth prospects seemed to bring things back down.

That being said, the stock looks valuable trading at just 11.1 times earnings as of writing. Shares are also still down 15% in the last year, providing some room for potentially major returns when the stock recovers. So there could certainly be an opportunity for future investors.

So if you have the time to wait, NFI stock looks like a valuable equity to hold in your portfolio, or at least have on your watchlist. In the next few years, as the company recovers, it could very well hit headlines again.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends NFI Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Stocks for Beginners

concept of real estate evaluation
Stocks for Beginners

The Bank of Canada Held Rates Again – Here’s the 1 TSX Stock I’d Buy in Response

Strong infrastructure demand and rental growth are helping power this TSX stock higher.

Read more »

A woman stands on an apartment balcony in a city
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Dividend Stocks I’d Buy for Stability and Growth

The best dividend stocks for the next wobble can keep collecting rent or sales, while still growing payouts.

Read more »

dividend growth for passive income
Stocks for Beginners

2 Canadian Stocks That Offer Both Growth and Dividends in One Portfolio

Invest confidently in stocks by understanding revenue sources. Discover two stocks that offer dividends and growth potential.

Read more »

A close up color image of a small green plant sprouting out of a pile of Canadian dollar coins "loonies."
Stocks for Beginners

2 TSX Stocks That Could Benefit if the Loonie Keeps Climbing

A stronger Canadian dollar can benefit companies with lower import costs and stronger domestic demand, including Cargojet and Cascades.

Read more »

stock chart
Tech Stocks

3 TSX Stocks I’d Snap Up on Any Dip Right Now

Dips can create better entry points in solid businesses, especially in aerospace, autos, and building materials.

Read more »

senior couple looks at investing statements
Dividend Stocks

Are You Using Your TFSA the Right Way? Many Canadians Aren’t

Explore effective investment strategies in your TFSA to enhance returns instead of using it simply as a savings account.

Read more »

man looks surprised at investment growth
Tech Stocks

2 Canadian Stocks That Could Surprise Investors in 2026

These two TSX stocks have momentum and catalysts that could still drive upside surprises in 2026.

Read more »

builder frames a house with lumber
Stocks for Beginners

Why These 3 Canadian Stocks Look So Attractive Right Now

These three TSX commodity stocks have clear catalysts and still offer upside without chasing overheated momentum.

Read more »