Everyone Is Talking About This Stock: Is It a Good Long-term Option?

NFI stock (TSX:NFI) reported record earnings this week, with a huge backlog and production ramp up. So why did shares only climb 2%?

| More on:
Coworkers standing near a wall

Image source: Getty Images

The TSX today continues to be full of volatility, but that doesn’t mean investors aren’t looking for growth stocks. In fact, some companies have seen a surge in the last year, while others have dropped even further.

Yet one stock hitting the news lately has been NFI Group (TSX:NFI). The bus manufacturer recently reported earnings for investors. However, there were some warnings that came along with the numbers.

What happened

Shares of NFI stock reported another quarter that beat out earnings estimates. However, the quarter also had some downsides. NFI stock reported a loss of US$48.1 million for its latest quarter, which was an improvement from the loss of US$56 million the year before.

Revenue, however, surged by almost double. Compared to US$398 million in revenue last year, this year NFI stock boasted revenue of $659.6 million. The results also came with news that the company would be increasing its production for the second half of this year.

With the news, new full-year guidance came out as well. NFI stock expects to achieve revenue between US$2.6 and US$2.8 billion in 2023. This was an increase from between US$2.5 and US$2.8 billion made earlier in the year. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) are now expected between US$40 and US$60 million, narrowing it further from between US$30 and US$60 million announced earlier.

But hold on

All of this looks like good news, right? But Chief Executive Officer Paul Soubry had a warning for investors. Temporary inefficiencies from supply-chain production that came about during the pandemic should continue not just next year, but through to 2025.

NFI stock still hasn’t fully recovered after its supply plunged during 2020. While there certainly has been a significant recovery, it still likely won’t be until 2025 when the stock is back at those levels. Still, vehicle deliveries climbed by 66% year over year, with its quarter-end backlog at 10,000 orders. This hit a record of US$6.7 billion!

By 2025, NFI expects to be back to around 1,500 units per quarter. This was similar to what it was producing back in 2019, Soubry said. Meanwhile, NFI stated there would be a private placement with an unnamed asset manager, in an effort to raise US$50 million and pay down debt.

Now what?

NFI stock was up just 2% on August 16 as the stock made its earnings announcement. So while the company reported record-setting results and sky-high revenue, the loss and future growth prospects seemed to bring things back down.

That being said, the stock looks valuable trading at just 11.1 times earnings as of writing. Shares are also still down 15% in the last year, providing some room for potentially major returns when the stock recovers. So there could certainly be an opportunity for future investors.

So if you have the time to wait, NFI stock looks like a valuable equity to hold in your portfolio, or at least have on your watchlist. In the next few years, as the company recovers, it could very well hit headlines again.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends NFI Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Stocks for Beginners

edit Person using calculator next to charts and graphs
Stocks for Beginners

Where to Invest $7,000 in April 2024

Are you wondering how to deploy the $7,000 TFSA contribution increase in 2024? Here are four high-quality stocks for earning…

Read more »

investment research
Stocks for Beginners

New Investors: 5 Top Canadian Stocks for 2024

Here are five Canadian stocks that might be ideal for a beginner investment portfolio.

Read more »

Dots over the earth connecting the world
Tech Stocks

Hot Takeaway: Concentration in 1 Stock Can Be Just Fine

Concentration in one stock can be alright under the right circumstances, and far better than buying a bunch of poor-performing…

Read more »

tech and analysis
Stocks for Beginners

If You Invested $1,000 in WELL Health in 2019, Here is What It’s Worth Now

WELL stock (TSX:WELL) has fallen pretty dramatically from all-time highs, but what if you bought just before the rise? Should…

Read more »

investment research
Dividend Stocks

5 Easy Ways to Make Extra Money in Canada

These easy methods can help Canadians make money in 2024, and keep it growing throughout the years to come.

Read more »

Solar panels and windmills
Top TSX Stocks

1 High-Yield Dividend Stock You Can Buy and Hold Forever

There are some stocks you can buy and hold forever. Here's one top pick that won't disappoint investors anytime soon.

Read more »

clock time
Stocks for Beginners

This ETF Is Up 16% and Could Be the Best Investment Around

Get access to the global market with the click of a button. This ETF is one of the best ways…

Read more »

ETF chart stocks
Stocks for Beginners

3 Best-Performing Equity ETFs in 2024 Thus Far

If you want big winners from big sectors, consider these three ETFs currently surging already in 2024.

Read more »