Everyone Is Talking About This Stock: Is It a Good Long-term Option?

NFI stock (TSX:NFI) reported record earnings this week, with a huge backlog and production ramp up. So why did shares only climb 2%?

| More on:

The TSX today continues to be full of volatility, but that doesn’t mean investors aren’t looking for growth stocks. In fact, some companies have seen a surge in the last year, while others have dropped even further.

Yet one stock hitting the news lately has been NFI Group (TSX:NFI). The bus manufacturer recently reported earnings for investors. However, there were some warnings that came along with the numbers.

What happened

Shares of NFI stock reported another quarter that beat out earnings estimates. However, the quarter also had some downsides. NFI stock reported a loss of US$48.1 million for its latest quarter, which was an improvement from the loss of US$56 million the year before.

Revenue, however, surged by almost double. Compared to US$398 million in revenue last year, this year NFI stock boasted revenue of $659.6 million. The results also came with news that the company would be increasing its production for the second half of this year.

With the news, new full-year guidance came out as well. NFI stock expects to achieve revenue between US$2.6 and US$2.8 billion in 2023. This was an increase from between US$2.5 and US$2.8 billion made earlier in the year. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) are now expected between US$40 and US$60 million, narrowing it further from between US$30 and US$60 million announced earlier.

But hold on

All of this looks like good news, right? But Chief Executive Officer Paul Soubry had a warning for investors. Temporary inefficiencies from supply-chain production that came about during the pandemic should continue not just next year, but through to 2025.

NFI stock still hasn’t fully recovered after its supply plunged during 2020. While there certainly has been a significant recovery, it still likely won’t be until 2025 when the stock is back at those levels. Still, vehicle deliveries climbed by 66% year over year, with its quarter-end backlog at 10,000 orders. This hit a record of US$6.7 billion!

By 2025, NFI expects to be back to around 1,500 units per quarter. This was similar to what it was producing back in 2019, Soubry said. Meanwhile, NFI stated there would be a private placement with an unnamed asset manager, in an effort to raise US$50 million and pay down debt.

Now what?

NFI stock was up just 2% on August 16 as the stock made its earnings announcement. So while the company reported record-setting results and sky-high revenue, the loss and future growth prospects seemed to bring things back down.

That being said, the stock looks valuable trading at just 11.1 times earnings as of writing. Shares are also still down 15% in the last year, providing some room for potentially major returns when the stock recovers. So there could certainly be an opportunity for future investors.

So if you have the time to wait, NFI stock looks like a valuable equity to hold in your portfolio, or at least have on your watchlist. In the next few years, as the company recovers, it could very well hit headlines again.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends NFI Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Stocks for Beginners

man looks surprised at investment growth
Dividend Stocks

This RRIF Tax Problem Gets More Expensive Every Year You Ignore It

A big RRSP can create an even bigger tax bill later, so planning withdrawals before 71 can reduce forced taxable…

Read more »

Man looks stunned about something
Dividend Stocks

The Most Expensive TFSA Mistake Investors Are Making Right Now

Waiting for the “perfect” TFSA buying day can quietly cost you tens of thousands in lost compounding.

Read more »

The virtual button with the letters AI in a circle hovering above a keyboard, about to be clicked by a cursor.
Tech Stocks

2 Canadian AI Stocks That Could Turn $5,000 Into $50,000

Two under-the-radar Canadian AI software stocks could turn a small $5,000 stake into something much bigger over time.

Read more »

concept of growth
Stocks for Beginners

How a $20,000 TFSA Could Grow Into $100,000 by 2030

Turning $20,000 into $100,000 by 2030 is possible, but it takes steady TFSA contributions and real growth.

Read more »

some investments are riskier than others
Dividend Stocks

What Are the Best High-Growth Canadian Stocks to Buy Now?

Three very different Canadian growth stocks are firing on all cylinders, but their prices and risks aren’t equal.

Read more »

shopper pushes cart through grocery store
Dividend Stocks

This 7% Dividend Stock Is More Than Just a High Yield: Here’s Why

This 7% dividend stock offers more than income, with grocery-anchored properties, strong leasing demand, and monthly distributions.

Read more »

pregnant mother juggles work and childcare
Dividend Stocks

Should You Forget TD Stock and Buy This Dividend Stock Instead?

Canadian investors love bank dividends, but TD’s pricey shares make Great-West Lifeco the more interesting income pick right now.

Read more »

Canadian dollars are printed
Stocks for Beginners

Why I Use My TFSA, Not My RRSP, as My Income Engine

Learn how a TFSA can be more efficient than an RRSP for passive income and daily expenses to protect your…

Read more »