3 TSX Stocks to Own Before the Housing Market Cracks

If the housing market starts to slide, consider holding these stocks.

| More on:
concept of real estate evaluation

Source: Getty Images

When the housing market heats up, investors often chase builders, developers and mortgage lenders. But when cracks start to form—whether it’s from high interest rates, affordability pressures or slowing demand—it’s smart to look elsewhere. The good news is, not all stocks fall with the housing sector. Some are built on steadier ground. On the TSX, three such stocks are TransAlta (TSX:TA), The North West Company (TSX:NWC), and Granite Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX:GRT.UN). If the housing market starts to slide, these are three companies to consider holding.

TransAlta is one of Canada’s largest power producers, and it isn’t tied to how many new homes go up. It generates electricity through a diversified mix of wind, hydro, gas and solar. In its most recent earnings report for the first quarter of 2025, TransAlta posted revenue of $758 million and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) of $270 million. Free cash flow came in at $139 million. The company also reaffirmed its full-year guidance, expecting adjusted EBITDA between $1.26 billion and $1.41 billion. What stands out is that even as merchant power prices in Alberta dropped compared to last year, TransAlta still delivered solid earnings. It maintained its quarterly dividend of $0.065 per share, offering a yield close to 2.3%.

Next up is The North West Company. Unlike big-box retailers that rely on urban sprawl, North West serves communities in northern Canada, rural areas and underserved markets. It operates stores under banners like Northern and NorthMart, providing groceries, clothing and general merchandise. In its first quarter of fiscal 2025, the company reported sales of $641.4 million, up 3.9% from a year ago. Net income was $25.8 million, and earnings per share were $0.64 versus C$0.55 last year. The board declared a quarterly dividend of $0.40, which at a recent share price near $54.29 yields about 2.9%.

The third stock to consider is Granite Real Estate Investment Trust. This REIT focuses on industrial and logistics properties, not residential buildings. Its tenants are often involved in e-commerce, distribution and warehousing. In the first quarter of 2025, Granite posted revenue of $154.7 million and reported funds from operations per unit of $1.46, up from $1.30 the year before. Its occupancy rate remained at 94.8% and its payout ratio stood at roughly 55%, giving it more cushion for future growth or volatility. The trust pays a monthly distribution of $0.267 per unit, which works out to an annual yield of about 4.7%.

Each of these companies comes from a different corner of the market, but they share one thing in common—they don’t rely on home prices to stay profitable. TransAlta powers homes and businesses regardless of how many new subdivisions are built. North West sells everyday goods in places where few others operate. Granite earns rent from industrial tenants who need space to store and ship products, not build houses.

While it’s easy to get caught up in the housing market roller-coaster, these three TSX stocks offer something different. They provide essential services, generate dependable cash flow and pay attractive dividends. If the housing market does crack, they could be just the kind of investments that keep your portfolio steady.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Granite Real Estate Investment Trust and North West. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Dividend Stocks

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem
Dividend Stocks

4 TSX Stocks to Buy if the Economy Slows but Doesn’t Break

If the economy slows, investors should pay heed to companies that sell everyday essentials, lock in recurring cash flow, or…

Read more »

happy woman throws cash
Dividend Stocks

How to Turn Your TFSA Into a Reliable Monthly Income Machine

Build monthly income in your TFSA with these Canadian REITs delivering steady, predictable cash flow and consistent monthly distributions.

Read more »

woman considering the future
Dividend Stocks

The Small-Print TFSA Rule That Affects Your U.S. Stocks

Fortis (TSX:FTS) is 100% tax-free if held in a TFSA. U.S. utility stocks aren't.

Read more »

man gives stopping gesture
Dividend Stocks

Is Enbridge Stock Worth Buying at Its Current Price?

Although Enbridge is one of the most reliable dividend stocks on the TSX, is it actually worth buying today?

Read more »

Person uses a tablet in a blurred warehouse as background
Dividend Stocks

1 Ideal TSX Dividend Stock Down 55% to Buy and Hold for a Lifetime

Tecsys stock is down but delivering record EBITDA, 23% ARR growth, and a growing AI platform. Here is why this…

Read more »

House models and one with REIT real estate investment trust.
Dividend Stocks

Here’s an Ideal TFSA Dividend Stock That Pays Consistent Cash

This TSX real estate stock could quietly deliver steady tax-free income for years.

Read more »

Concept of rent, search, purchase real estate, REIT
Dividend Stocks

Rates Are on Hold for Now — These 2 TSX Dividend Stocks Look Worth Owning Regardless

These TSX dividend stocks are some of the best to buy today, with reliable business models and dividend yields above…

Read more »

The TFSA is a powerful savings vehicle for Canadians who are saving for retirement.
Dividend Stocks

How to Put $25,000 in a TFSA to Work Generating Meaningful Cash Flow

Want to earn an extra $1,100 of cash flow completely tax-free. Here's how a $25,000 TFSA can become a growing…

Read more »