I’d Put My Entire 2025 TFSA Contribution Into This AI Stock Down 31% From its Peak

Tempus AI is a growth stock that is down 31% from all-time highs. Here’s why TEM AI stock could be a part of your TFSA portfolio right now.

| More on:
The letters AI glowing on a circuit board processor.

Source: Getty Images

Investing in quality artificial intelligence (AI) stocks and holding them in a Tax-Free Savings Account (TFSA) is a solid strategy to generate tax-free returns over the next decade. The global AI market is projected to grow from US$244 billion in 2025 to over US$1 trillion by 2031, representing an annual growth rate of nearly 27%.

A rapidly expanding addressable market presents an opportunity for multiple companies to gain traction and grow their revenue and earnings over time. One such beaten-down tech stock is Tempus AI (NASDAQ:TEM).  

The TFSA contribution limit for 2025 has increased to $7,000, bringing the maximum cumulative contribution room to $102,000. Let’s see why you could invest $7,000 in TEM stock right now.

Is Tempus AI stock a good buy?

Valued at US$10.5 billion by market cap, Tempus AI is a healthcare technology company providing next-generation sequencing diagnostics and molecular testing to healthcare providers and pharmaceutical companies. It offers data insights, clinical trial matching, algorithmic oncology tests, and research platforms.

In the first quarter (Q1), Tempus AI reported revenue of US$256 million, representing a 75.4% year-over-year increase. The record quarter for the AI-powered healthcare company was driven by genomics revenue, which grew by 89% to US$194 million, and data services revenue, which rose 43% to US$62 million. Management raised full-year 2025 guidance to US$1.25 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 80%.

Tempus AI announced a US$200 million, three-year agreement with AstraZeneca and Pathos AI to build the world’s largest foundation model in oncology. This deal brings Tempus’s total remaining contract value above US$1 billion for the first time, providing visibility into revenue.

The partnership leverages over 300 petabytes of multimodal data connected to patient outcomes, with the first model version expected within nine to 12 months. Importantly, the agreement is non-exclusive, enabling Tempus to pursue similar partnerships with other pharmaceutical companies.

Tempus demonstrated impressive operational efficiency with gross profit increasing 99.8% year-over-year to US$155.2 million. Its adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) loss improved by US$27.8 million to US$16.2 million, showing clear progress toward profitability.

Tempus AI anticipates achieving a positive adjusted EBITDA in 2025. Both business segments contributed to growth: oncology testing volumes grew 20%, while hereditary testing (Ambry Genetics) surpassed expectations with 23% unit growth, exceeding the original mid- to high-teens expectations.

Tempus continues to build its comprehensive healthcare AI platform, with over 4,000 provider connections and data from 40 million patients. The acquisition of Deep 6 enhances clinical trial matching capabilities, while Tempus advances its minimal residual disease (MRD) portfolio through both tumour-naive and tumour-informed assays.

With relationships spanning 19 of the top 20 oncology pharmaceutical companies, Tempus is well-positioned to capitalize on the AI healthcare transformation.

Is TEM AI stock undervalued?

Analysts expect Tempus AI to increase revenue from US$693.4 million in 2024 to US$2.61 billion in 2029. Comparatively, adjusted earnings per share are forecast to grow to US$1.69 in 2029, compared to a loss of US$1.58 in 2024.

If TEM AI stock is priced at 60 times forward earnings, it will trade around US$100 in early 2029, indicating an upside potential of almost 70% from current levels.

Tempus AI stock offers a combination of accelerating revenue growth, improving profitability metrics, and transformational partnerships, which position it as a leader in AI-driven precision medicine.

The AstraZeneca deal validates the company’s data strategy while creating a potential blueprint for additional pharmaceutical partnerships. As healthcare increasingly adopts AI solutions, Tempus’s comprehensive platform and unmatched data assets provide significant competitive advantages for sustained growth.

Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Tech Stocks

3 colorful arrows racing straight up on a black background.
Tech Stocks

This Canadian Stock Could Rule Them All in 2026

Constellation Software’s pullback could be a rare chance to buy a proven Canadian compounder before its next growth leg.

Read more »

The letters AI glowing on a circuit board processor.
Tech Stocks

The Best Canadian AI Stocks to Buy for 2026

Celestica and CMG are two AI-powered Canadian tech stocks that are poised to deliver market-beating returns to shareholders.

Read more »

AI image of a face with chips
Tech Stocks

Outlook for Kraken Robotics Stock in 2026

The stock is already up 36% in 2026. Could the new $35M deal signal a massive year ahead for Kraken…

Read more »

Young adult concentrates on laptop screen
Tech Stocks

Where Will Constellation Software Stock Be in 5 Years?

Down 35% from all-time highs, Constellation Software is a TSX tech stock that offers significant upside potential to investors.

Read more »

top canadian stocks january 2026
Tech Stocks

Just Released: 5 Top Motley Fool Stocks to Buy in January 2026

Stock Advisor Canada is kicking off 2026 with our newest collection of top stocks to buy this month.

Read more »

hot air balloon in a blue sky
Tech Stocks

1 Soaring Stock I’d Buy Now With No Hesitation

Looking for a soaring stock with real momentum? Shopify’s growth, profitability, and AI expansion make it a compelling buy right…

Read more »

visualization of a digital brain
Tech Stocks

2 Top Canadian AI Stocks to Buy in January

Canadian AI stocks such as Docebo and Kinaxis offer significant upside potential to shareholders in January 2026.

Read more »

Paper Canadian currency of various denominations
Tech Stocks

TFSA: Top Canadian Stocks for Big Tax-Free Capital Gains

The real magic of a TFSA happens when quality growth stocks can grow and multiply.

Read more »