The Canadian Dividend Stock I’d Trust if Markets Get Choppy

In choppy markets, TC Energy is the kind of “paid-to-wait” business that can feel steadier when everything else is noisy.

| More on:
Key Points
  • TC Energy earns from long-term natural gas infrastructure, which is driven by steady demand instead of consumer trends.
  • It’s been simplifying and de-risking the story, focusing on execution, funding discipline, and in-corridor expansion.
  • The dividend looks attractive, but interest rates and regulatory outcomes can still move the stock more than investors expect.

Choppy markets have a way of turning confident plans into sweaty palms. When headlines swing daily, investors should lean on the basics. Look for businesses with durable demand, steady cash flow, and a balance sheet that can handle higher rates. Dividends matter, but only if cash flow supports them after the company funds maintenance and growth spending. Most of all, pick something you can hold through a drawdown without turning every red day into a personal crisis.

investor looks at volatility chart

Source: Getty Images

TRP

TC Energy (TSX:TRP) sits in a sweet spot for that kind of environment. It runs one of North America’s largest natural gas infrastructure networks, plus a power and energy solutions business. It doesn’t need consumers to splurge or rely on trendy product cycles. It makes money by moving molecules under long-term arrangements, then it reinvests to expand capacity in corridors where demand keeps climbing.

Over the last year, the big story has been “simplify and execute.” TC Energy completed the spinoff of its liquids pipelines business, South Bow, earlier, and that move sharpened its focus on natural gas and power. It also kept leaning into in-corridor expansion rather than moonshot projects. After all, boring execution usually beats exciting promises when markets feel jumpy.

The news flow in late 2025 focused on funding and discipline. The dividend stock issued junior subordinated notes and used proceeds to redeem preferred shares and reduce indebtedness. It also highlighted steady project delivery and regulatory progress, including a settlement outcome at Columbia Gas that lifted rates versus pre-filed levels. Those updates may not sound glamorous, but speak directly to what income investors want: lower financing stress and fewer nasty surprises.

Earnings support

Earnings showed why the dividend stock can feel dependable when markets get moody. In the third quarter of 2025, TC Energy reported comparable earnings of $800 million, or $0.77 per share, and comparable earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) of $2.7 billion, up from $2.4 billion a year earlier. It also declared a quarterly dividend of $0.85 per share. That dividend gives investors a tangible return while they wait for sentiment to improve.

The quarter also revealed the key growth engine: natural gas volumes tied to structural demand. That kind of steady throughput helps explain why pipelines can hold up when markets wobble. People and industries still need power, and gas still fills a lot of that gap, especially as data centres and electrification lift baseline demand.

Looking into 2026, management’s outlook leans steady rather than flashy. It guided to a 2026 comparable EBITDA of $11.6 to $11.8 billion, which implies 6% to 8% year-over-year growth. It also extended a 5% to 7% annual comparable EBITDA growth outlook through 2028. That does not guarantee a smooth ride, but it does give long-term investors a clear runway that doesn’t depend on a single make-or-break bet.

Bottom line

At writing, the dividend stock trades at about 23 times earnings, so not a cheap stock but not expensive either. Meanwhile, you can bring in a solid passive-income stream from its 4.2% dividend yield, even with $7,000.

COMPANYRECENT PRICENUMBER OF SHARESANNUAL DIVIDENDANNUAL TOTAL PAYOUTFREQUENCYTOTAL INVESTMENT
TRP$81.9985$3.40$289.00Quarterly$6,969.15

TRP could be a buy for investors who want a steadier anchor when markets get choppy, but it won’t fit everyone. Risks still exist, including regulatory decisions, interest rate sensitivity, and the reality that energy politics can change the mood fast. If you want a dependable dividend backed by long-lived assets and a clearer growth plan than most, this one can earn a spot. If you crave excitement, it will probably feel too calm, even on the wild days.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Dividend Stocks

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Passive Income: 1 Top TSX Dividend Stock for Seniors to Consider Now

This stock has delivered annual dividend growth for decades.

Read more »

customer fills up car with gasoline
Dividend Stocks

Cash Feels Safe, Until You See What Inflation and Compounding Have Taken

Cash can feel “safe” because the balance doesn’t change, but inflation quietly erodes what it can buy over time.

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Dividend Stocks

High-Yield Dividend Stocks in Canada for Beginners

These Canadian companies have strong fundamentals, resilient earnings, and are better positioned to sustain their high yields.

Read more »

top TSX stocks to buy
Dividend Stocks

I’m Trying to Turn My TFSA Into $800 a Month, Tax-Free

Here's the math behind turning a TFSA into $800 in monthly tax-free dividends, and why Timbercreek's 11% yield needs a…

Read more »

woman looks at iPhone
Dividend Stocks

Here Are 5 Stocks I Think Every Canadian Should Own

Buying on dips in quality businesses is a good way to go for long-term, diversified investment portfolios.

Read more »

A worker drinks out of a mug in an office.
Dividend Stocks

Own BCE Stock? Here’s What You Need to Know About its Dividend

BCE's dividend is safe, but the company's share price could still remain under pressure.

Read more »

crisis concept, falling stairs
Dividend Stocks

The Dividend Stock I’d Buy Before Falling Rates Send Income Investors Back

Emera could benefit if rates keep falling, because cheaper financing and a renewed hunt for yield can both lift utility…

Read more »

A meter measures energy use.
Dividend Stocks

This “Boring” Utility Stock Is Suddenly Very Profitable 

Utility stocks are back on the rise! Find out how stable cash flows and a recovering market boost their profitability.

Read more »