Investors are getting more skittish with the markets. Risk avoidance is rising, which is why dividend-paying stocks in the telecom and banking sectors are holding up. Momentum plays, notably in technology and pharmaceutical, are falling. Negative news will rise as markets continue to drop, but the best way to navigate through the noise is to focus on favorable company-specific events.

1. Embridge

In the natural gas distribution market, Enbridge Inc. (TSX: ENB)(NYSE: ENB) received approval from the Ontario Energy Board (“OEB”) to increase rates by a whopping 40%. The OEB also approved the rate increase application from Union Gas Ltd. The increase will hit Enbridge customers next winter. Enbridge will not see a profit from the increases, since it is not allowed to. It may only earn a profit at a rate that the OEB approves. Still, the rate increase should help offset rising costs for Enbridge.

For the year ended December 2014, analysts expect Enbridge to earn $1.94 per share on average, and $2.28 per share in 2015. This gives Enbridge a forward P/E of 21.9. With an annualized dividend of $1.40, shares yield 2.78%.

2. Telus

In the telecom sector, Telus Corp. (TSX: T)(NYSE: TU) announced it will move Public Mobile users between May and mid-August. This will cut the cost of servicing the 2G network which supports 260,000 customers. At a quarterly rate of $0.36 per share, Telus yields 3.57%. The estimated date for Telus reporting quarterly results is May 8, 2014. The consensus estimate is earnings of $2.34 per share this year, and $2.61 per share next year.

3. Bank of Montreal

In the financial sector, Bank of Montreal (TSX: BMO)(NYSE: BMO) cut its fixed five-year mortgage rate to 2.99%. The move follows Toronto-Dominion Bank lowering its four-year fixed rate to 2.97%. The Bank of Nova Scotia now offers a four-year mortgage at 2.94%.

The new Finance Minister, Joe Oliver, said the government was watching consumer indebtedness. He observed BMO’s mortgage rate decrease was in response to the drop in bond yields. He did not imply that the government will prevent the Canadian banks from offering low lending rates.

To bolster demand for its mutual funds, the bank announced a new line of discount mutual funds. These funds will be managed mutual funds whose expense ratio will be lower.

Analysts have an average earnings estimate in BMO of $6.42 per share for 2014, and $6.84 per share in 2015. This gives the bank a current P/E of 11.45.

Foolish bottom line

Dividend-paying stocks could fall as markets decline, but momentum and speculative investments will fare worse. Investors will have the luxury of being rewarded a quarterly dividend while riding out the volatility in the markets.

The post 3 Dividend Stocks for Income Seekers appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

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If spot met coal prices drop, Teck Resources Ltd. (TSX: TCK.B)(NYSE: TCK) will be in for a rough ride. Teck is a Canadian mining giant that has a healthy diversification in copper and zinc mining along with oil sands but lower coal prices will be bad news for investors.

The sell-off in Teck Resources’ shares accelerated in recent weeks after China reported lower exports. Should investors buy this stock as the global economic outlook worsens?

1. Lowering costs

Teck is reducing costs by slowing development for Quebrada Blanca Phase 2, a mine in northern Chile. It also delayed the restart of its Quintette mine due to the low coal prices. Teck reduced costs related to this mine despite selling a record 26.9 million tons of coal last year.

Teck is not the only miner reducing costs. Cliffs Natural Resources Inc. (NYSE: CLF), which makes iron ore pellets and concentrate used in the steelmaking process, delayed expansion of Bloom Lake Mine in 2012. This year, spending at this mine will be just $200 million. Cliffs is one of the worst-performing companies on the S&P 500. It is also one of the most heavily shorted companies on the index.

2. Energy spending could buck the trend

Suncor Energy Inc. (TSX: SU)(NYSE: SU) and Teck partnered to develop the Fort Hills oil sands. Suncor, which has a 40.8% interest in the project, expects its capital expenditure will reach $3.16 billion. Teck’s portion of spend (it has a 20% interest in project) is $850 million.

3. Lower pricing ahead

Teck expected steelmaking coal prices to stay low. The firm wrote down thermal coal inventories last year. Excluding this write-down, site costs were $52 per ton.

Copper also trended lower in recent days. Copper pricing dropped for two straight weeks, and is now at lows not seen since June 2010. In Q4, Teck Resources produced a record 105,000 tons. The healthy production level was driven by operational improvements and an expansion of Teck’s Antamina copper mine.

Zinc is in short supply globally, and may buck the trend of lower pricing. In Q4, zinc profits dropped to $138 million due to lower sales volumes from Red Dog mine in Alaska.

4. No upcoming debt obligations

Teck has only small debt obligations due for the next three years to the end of 2016. There are only $300 million in notes due in that time. This is important, because investors could expect Teck’s debt to continue to have a mid-BBB credit rating and a stable outlook.

5. Weak Canadian dollar beneficial

Teck benefited from a $0.08 decline in the Canadian dollar in 2013. Every $0.01 change in the Canadian dollar will add $62 million in EBITDA. Since some Economists forecast the Canadian dollar dropping to the $0.80 level, Teck could gain over $500 million on the exchange rate change in 2014.

Risks

Inflation and fuel costs could drive up operating costs. Last year, labor inflation and fuel prices increased maintenance costs. The cost pressure could persist in 2014.

Foolish bottom line

Buying Teck Resources is not without macroeconomic risks, but the company is a diverse company that will be shielded if one of the metals it mines drops more adversely than expected. Teck may also adjust its operational costs if conditions worsen. As world economies recover, Teck offers potentially good returns while paying a dividend to patient shareholders.

The post 5 Reasons to Buy Teck Resources appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

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Every year, there is a mad rush for investors to make their RRSP contribution before the deadline and to qualify for the tax deduction for the previous year, which leads to a few common mistakes.

First, in their rush to invest, investors sometimes buy funds or stocks that are not suitable for their risk tolerance. Second, the rush by other investors could temporarily raise the value of popular stocks. With RRSP contributions due March 3, 2014, here are some tips to maximize returns over the long term.

1. Avoid interest income

Investments that offer high interest rates, like bonds, are sheltered from taxes in RRSPs, but investors should look at the macro story first. Interest rates are at very low levels, and any hint of inflation would push rates higher. This will push bond prices lower, creating losses greater than the interest payments received. Look at the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSE:TLT) and the iShares 7-10 Year Treasuries Bond ETF (NYSE:IEF). Their prices peaked in May 2013 and are off 9% and 4%, respectively:

2. Pick dividend yield champs, but with caution

Stocks held outside RRSPs receive a dividend tax credit, but their payout is fully tax-free in the retirement plans. Be careful not to chase high yielding stocks. High yields might be compensating for higher risk. The company’s underlying business could also be in trouble. Resource-based stocks like Penn West Petroleum pay dividends yielding over 6%, but its payout ratio is a negative 165.

Limited competition in the mobile smartphone market in Canada makes Rogers Communications (TSX:RCI-B) (NYSE:RCI) a much more attractive investment. Rogers shares yield 4.3% and its shares trade ex-dividend on March 12. In Q4 2013, Rogers raised its dividend rate by 5% to $1.83 per share. Last year, its payout ratio was 57%. Wireless profit margin rose to 41.7%, while profit margin in the cable unit was 49.7%. The firm earned $3.22 per share in 2013, so its trailing P/E is 13.3.

Bank institutions are also solid for retirement plans. Bank of Montreal (TSX:BMO)(NYSE:BMO) has the lowest price-to-book ratio among the banks. The bank is improving shareholder returns by repurchasing up to 15 million (2.3% of float) of shares and offering a quarterly dividend of $0.76 per share. The last dividend was increased by 3%.

3. Avoid speculative plays

Speculative stocks do not belong in a retirement plan. This could sometimes include penny stocks, but not always. Companies with a big market cap could still be speculative. PotashCorp might move 10% in a short time, but it is facing challenges from lower potash prices. A failure to benefit from sustained demand from emerging markets would hurt its stock, and generate capital losses that have no tax breaks for other gains for investors. Barrick Gold should also be considered speculative. Although its shares are around $21.20, up steadily from $15, a turnaround in its business has risks.

Foolish bottom line

Investors who have not yet contributed should do so before the deadline. The contribution could be parked in the account, and the investment decisions could be made later. Either way, investors get an RRSP deduction to lower their tax bill while investing for their future.

The post 3 Ways to Make the Most of Your RRSP appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

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BlackBerry (TSX:BB)(Nasdaq:BBRY) shares had some ups and downs last week, closing at $10.20, the same as its opening price on February 18.

What happened? First, Facebook (Nasdaq:FB) bought WhatsApp, which suggests there is value for BBM (BlackBerry Messenger). Second, BlackBerry is moving to monetize BBM in the simplest way possible: through a shop that offers digital “stickers” for purchase. Stickers are an extension of emoticons that users can buy and then send to contacts in BBM. They may sound trivial, but the new BBM Shop offers a potentially attractive new revenue stream.

WhatsApp boosts BBMs relevance

Facebook’s generous but necessary move to acquire WhatsApp for a net $19 billion boosted BBM’s value for BlackBerry shareholders. According to JANA Mobile, WhatsApp’s largest market is in developing countries, which include Kenya, Nigeria, and South Africa. Brazil and Mexico are also big markets for WhatsApp.

A quick calculation suggests that since Facebook paid $19 billion for 450 million users, or $42 per user, BBM was therefore worth $3.4 billion (on around 80 million users) in October 2013. With BBM available on iOS and Android, the user base could be more than 100 million users, or $4.2 billion. But the simple calculation is flawed: Facebook has advertising revenue from mobile that will more than compensate for this acquisition over time.

BlackBerry needs to be cash-flow positive in its core smart phone business in the enterprise. Its shrinking consumer market needs to stabilize its share price. BlackBerry also offset device launch risks to Foxconn, so even if sales for new devices are low, losses will be minimal. With lower development costs, a Q30 (codenamed ‘Windermere’) in 2014 could still help BlackBerry’s bottom line.

High profit margin with BBM Shop

BlackBerry is signaling that it is not entirely uncommitted to the consumer market as it doubles down its focus on enterprise customers. The BBM Shop concept is clever: BBM users can download stickers in-app. Sales would have a high profit margin, since they are virtual products that are sold in varying package size sets ranging from $0.99 to $5.99. Users also have numerous characters to choose from.

As the user base grows, the revenue would too. Making BBM available on Nokia X and on Windows Phone also helps grow the user base globally. Since costs would not grow proportionately to sales, the business model is clearly scalable.

Forward multiples compared

Facebook has Messenger and now WhatsApp. Google (Nasdaq:GOOG) has Hangouts. Microsoft (Nasdaq:MSFT) owns Skype, while Sina (NASDAQ:SINA) runs Weiyou. Except for Microsoft, the forward price of profit (forward P/E) for these firms are 28 and above.

Data Source: Kapitall.com

Foolish bottom line

BlackBerry still has lots of bugs that need to be fixed on BBM for Android/iOS. Profile pictures still display as low quality, and BBM performance is still lagging on these devices. BBM Channels has yet to prove its value for content sharing.

WhatsApp gave BlackBerry shares a temporary boost, but the company is still transitioning its business. Its decision to monetize BBM is low risk, and will ultimately contribute positively to the firm’s brand name and its bottom line.

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After releasing BBM Voice and Channels for iOS and Android, BlackBerry (TSX:BB)(NASDAQ:BBRY) is still building its momentum to move forward. Z3 specifications leaked online, suggesting a budget five-inch BB10 device will be launched. This is important, because BlackBerry needs to position BB10 in the developing world. With its shares trading in the middle of its yearly low and high, Z3 might favor the bulls.

Z3 ‘Jakarta’ specs

Codenamed Jakarta, Z3 is priced at between U.S. $162-$210. The phone will have a five-inch screen, a dual core 1.2GHz processor, 8 GB of storage, and 1.5 GB of memory. The smart phone will run longer than a Z10, thanks to a 2650 mAh battery (the Z10 has an 1800 mAh battery). BlackBerry’s most powerful BB10, the Z30, has a 2,880 mAh battery and a dual-core 1.7GHz processor.

The Z3 could also come to Canada, since some images of the phone show Cineplex and Yellow Pages apps.

Foxconn deal reduces risk

BlackBerry reduced inventory and manufacturing risks associated with BB10 production by transferring those responsibilities to Foxconn. If Z3 reaches Canada, it could appeal to both consumer and enterprise customers. At present, enterprise customers overwhelmingly prefer a keyboard-based Q10 over the Z10.  Consumers showed they preferred all-touch devices with big screens. When BlackBerry released the Z30, Rogers Communications initially said it would not carry it. The telecom firm reversed its decision after a consumer backlash.

Z3 must be low-price

To be successful on the consumer market, BlackBerry needs to sell the Z3 at a low cost. Positive word of mouth from those open-minded enough to test BB10 will help BlackBerry’s market share loss. It would also counterbalance BlackBerry’s reduced advertising spending for BB10 in the consumer market.

Still no Q10 successor

BlackBerry has yet to release a refresh to the Q10. This device badly needs a bigger screen. Ideally, a Q10 refresh will have the screen size of the Z10 but with the iconic physical keyboard.

Foolish bottom line

BlackBerry is only getting started in releasing new BB10 phones to market, but has more challenges ahead. For the product to gain market share, it needs a solid low-end device that competes effectively with Microsoft’s (NASDAQ:MSFT) Lumia. BlackBerry needs to price a mid-range phone more competitively than the current Z10/Q10s. Finally, more carriers need to make the high-end phone (Z30) more widely available. If these conditions are satisfied, the phone refresh should bode well for BlackBerry’s bottom line.

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After losing nearly 6% in 2014, stocks are performing better in February. As markets regain almost half of their losses for the year to date, investors should not assume all stocks will recover.

There are some warning signs that investors should watch for before deciding whether a rebound in a particular stock will hold. Here are three red flags to avoid at all costs.

1. Weak outlook

The best place to find a company’s outlook for the quarter and the year is in an earnings press release or conference call. Celestica (TSX:CLS)(NYSE:CLS), an original equipment manufacturer, recently reported weak revenue from a number of its businesses. Revenue from its communications end market dropped 12% from the previous quarter, and consumer revenue dropped 36%, although Celestica is shifting away from this segment.

Celestica forecast that first quarter revenue will be between $1.3 billion and $1.4 billion. This represents a revenue decline of 6% from the fourth quarter. Celestica is optimistic about its semiconductor segment, and believes that unit will add to the diversified double-digit revenue growth in 2014.

Still, lower prospects in telecom will certainly weigh on results in the short term. Further order delays from customers will raise risks for investors holding Celestica. Celestica cited cloud offerings for customers, but this needs time, energy, and resources. A meaningful cloud infrastructure offering will take time to develop.

2. Slow transition to new business

Wireless communications equipment maker Sierra Wireless (TSX:SW)(NASDAQ:SWIR) is another company to be wary of. The firm reported revenue growth of 8.4% to $118.6 million in the quarter, but still reported a loss. Higher operating and R&D expenses hurt earnings. Sierra Wireless lost $1.95 million (-$0.06 per share) compared to a profit of $15.5 million ($0.50 per share) last year.

The company is still progressing steadily with its transition as an M2M (machine to machine) play, but investors should expect profit growth will be slower than expected. Adoption for LTE could also be slow, but Sierra Wireless will benefit. It just announced two embedded wireless modules for 4G LTE networks, based on the Intel (Nasdaq:INTC) chipset. Shares are down nearly 30% from its peak reached at the start of this year.

3. Weaker bookings

Investors should be cautious with companies reporting lighter bookings. EXFO Inc. (TSX:EXF)(NASDAQ:EXFO), which makes testing and service assurance tools for telecom customers, revealed that bookings dropped to $57.9 million, down from $64.3 million in its first quarter. By contrast, COM DEV (TSX:CDV)(NASDAQ:CDVIF) boosted its order backlog to $164.7 million, compared to $131 million in the previous quarter. If ATP (“Authority to Proceed”) follow-on orders are included, its backlog would be over $200 million. Backlog was $139 million last year.

Foolish bottom line

Not all stocks are equal when markets recover. Weak bookings, slow transitions to new businesses, and a weak short-term outlook will limit any upside. Investors might be better off selling companies with any of these warning signs as they rebound with the market.

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So far, 2014 is not starting out all that great in the stock market. Investors are growing increasingly worried about the strength of the economy.

Argentina devalued its currency, and the United States reported that manufacturing activity was growing at a slower pace. Unemployment rose a surprising 46,000 in December 2013. With loose monetary policy coming to an end, stocks will have a harder time justifying higher prices. Still, patient investors may still navigate profitably in this market by focusing on three themes.

1. Dividend income

Dividend-paying stocks typically drop as interest rates rise. This would happen because dividend-generating investments compete with risk-free assets that offer a competing rate of return. Monetary easing is tightening, but will happen with interest rates remaining low for the foreseeable future.

Companies that raise interest rates consistently are often good investments. Dividends grew steadily for TransCanada Pipelines (TSX:TRP)(NYSE:TRP) since 2001. Its shares now yield 3.856%. The uncertainty surrounding Keystone is dampening enthusiasm for this company. If the United States accepts the proposed 1,179-mile pipeline, shares will soar.

2. Higher commodity prices

A global economic slowdown would hurt most commodity prices such as oil and copper, but not gold. Gold prices are typically hurt by expectations for higher rates and a strong U.S. dollar. In 2013, gold prices fell by 28%. Gold miners adjusted expectations by reducing exploration activities and operational costs.

Newmont Mining (NYSE:NEM) produced better cash flow in its fourth quarter. Its shares dropped nearly 15% after the company forecast production would be as low as 5M oz. at a cash cost of $740-$790 /oz. This forecast is lower than the company’s previous forecast of 5.4M oz at $685/oz.

Newmont is also facing new demands from the government for its mines in Indonesia. The threat of new taxes and export bans from Indonesia for Newmont’s mines is adding uncertainty for investors. Still, Newmont’s annual dividend is $0.84 per share, which yields 3.6%. A successful negotiation with Indonesia would also give Newmont shares a boost.

3. Company turnarounds

Technology moves quickly, so companies failing to innovate won’t last. BlackBerry (TSX:BB)(Nasdaq:BBRY) is synonymous with failing to evolve quickly enough in the rapidly changing smartphone market. Although its shares dropped 29% in the last year, the beaten-down company could be a turnaround story in 2014 and beyond.

BlackBerry hired a highly reputable turnaround specialist, John Chen, as its CEO. He already proved his willingness to make drastic changes to make sure BlackBerry survives as a business-oriented mobile device management play. He briskly cut BlackBerry’s focus on the consumer market, oversaw Foxconn to make its phones, added new faces to the management team, and boldly stated the company’s aim to generate positive cash flow by fiscal 2015 (within five quarters). BlackBerry shares more than doubled from its 52-week low. As the company progresses in its turnaround, largely through cost cutting and focusing on its core strengths, its share price will continue its ascent.

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Bombardier (TSX:BBD.B) is an aerospace and transportation manufacturing company that is widely followed by investors. It is often on the list of most actively traded stock daily. Lately, the company is a disappointment for investors as it trades at yearly lows. Just after announcing a delay in launching the new C Series aircraft, should investors expect more downside for Bombardier?

Weak quarter

Bombardier disappointed the markets when the company faced weak market conditions in the aerospace segment. The weak spending from its customers caught the company off guard. Aerospace revenues declined from $2.3 billion last year in Q3 to $2 billion. Results were hurt by lower deliveries and by lower selling prices.

Transportation proved equally disappointing. Even though free cash flow improved, Bombardier still faced execution issues that hurt results. Revenue was $2.1 billion, near the $2 billion generated last year, but EBIT (earnings before interest and taxes) was hurt by financing expenses.

Expect a short-term recovery in shares

Though Bombardier suffered a weak quarter, investors should still expect shares to recover within the next few quarters. There are two reasons the near-term outlook is positive.

First, the current quarter (Q4) is a seasonal strong period for Bombardier. Q3 was likely hurt by customers delaying orders due to the government shutdown. Bombardier could make up for the delay by boosting deliveries in the quarter. Q4 is also traditionally high, and this should add to cash holdings.

Second, the company won many contracts that will boost its order backlog. Bombardier won a $2.2 billion order for 38 business aircraft, and a $639 million transit order in San Francisco.

Finally, Bombardier is capable of improving profit margin. Its Q3 EBIT margin was 6%, but better cost management could improve profitability. By contrast, competitor Embraer had a profit margin of 4.11%, while Boeing’s was 5.23%.

Source: YCharts

Boeing shares took off when the company launched the delayed Dreamliner. Investors should expect the launch of the CSeries to support Bombardier.

Risks

Investors with a long-term time horizon should expect risks associated with the CSeries program launch. Bombardier delayed the CSeries launch, which could raise operational expenditures and project costs. Still, the company cut 1,700 jobs to contain costs. Bombardier wants to secure 300 orders, but only has 182 so far. Lufthansa is one of the companies placing a firm order. Despite the short-term risks, the new aircraft could add $5-8 billion in annual revenue.

The CSeries uses a lightweight engine made by Pratt & Whitney, a subsidiary of United Technologies. The earliest delivery for the new jet is the first quarter of 2015.

Foolish bottom line

Better quarterly results in Q4, set to be released February 13, 2014 before market open, should give Bombardier shares a short-term boost. In the long term, a higher share price will depend on the success of the CSeries. The product launch gives Bombardier hope for multi-year growth. The market is anticipating delays in the product launch, but if Bombardier meets project milestones, it could be a much bigger company than it is now.

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