2 Amazing Turnarounds, Plus One to Watch

Warren Buffett famously avoids turnarounds, but you may want to consider these.

| More on:
The Motley Fool

“I think it’s an embarrassment to every corporate director who takes his responsibilities seriously.”

Those words came from prominent fund manager Stephen Jarislowski in 2011, referring to Mike Harris, then-chairman of Magna International (TSX:MG)(NYSE:MGA). Mr. Harris, along with the rest of the board, was facing intense criticism for a deal that awarded founder Frank Stronach $1 billion for control of the company. The board had also recently approved enormous pay packages for themselves and Magna’s top executives.

Investors were in no forgiving mood after years enduring wasteful spending by Mr. Stronach, poor corporate governance practices, and the economic crisis. By the end of 2011, seemingly no one wanted to touch the stock. At $34 per share, Magna was trading at less than seven times earnings (net of cash). This despite the fact that Mr. Stronach had already ceded control, fundamentals were improving for auto parts manufacturers, and Magna’s earnings were depressed due to some fixable problems in Europe.

Despite being in a different industry, investors had a similar attitude towards Valeant Pharmaceuticals (TSX:VRX)(NYSE:VRX). The company was the product of a 2010 merger between US-based Valeant and Biovail Corp, both of which had checkered histories. Biovail founder Eugene Melnyk’s misdeeds are well-known, including an attempt to blame bad earnings numbers on a delivery truck accident. Valeant founder Milan Panic’s history is no cleaner, having been the subject of various sexual harassment suits, including one from a secretary who gave birth to his illegitimate son.

By the end of 2011, neither Mr. Melnyk nor Mr. Panic were with the company. CEO Michael Pearson had been successfully running Valeant since becoming CEO in 2008. But at less than $50 per share, the stock price remained depressed.

What has happened since has been a bonanza for investors in both Magna and Valeant. Magna now trades above $95 per share, 2.8 times its December 2011 price. Over the same period, Valeant’s shares have more than tripled. Neither company’s operating income even doubled, meaning that much of the share gains came from a higher multiple. So what happened?

Foolish bottom line

There is a reason why Warren Buffett avoids turnarounds. While they can be very rewarding when successful, turnarounds are very risky and often lead to further disappointment. But these stories are different, because by year-end 2011 Magna and Valeant had already fixed their problems and moved on.

The problem was that fund managers still didn’t want to own the shares, no matter how undervalued they were. Just owning the names could make them look bad, simply because of the companies’ past misadventures. This is often referred to as “reputation risk”, and it can often cause some serious mispricings. These mispricings can easily disappear over time, which can be very rewarding for patient investors.

Investors looking for current reputation risk stocks may be best-served looking south of the border. Plenty of financials trade very cheaply, much of it due to the stench left over from the financial crisis. Perhaps the best example is American International Group (NYSE:AIG), which has turned itself around dramatically since the crisis. But the company was one of the crisis’s worst offenders, and partly for that reason still trades well below book value. Time will tell if AIG is able to replicate the stories of Magna and Valeant.

Fool contributor Benjamin Sinclair has a position in warrants of American International Group.

More on Investing

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Thursday, January 15

After inflation data and materials strength carried the TSX higher to a fresh record, today’s market tone could turn more…

Read more »

Rocket lift off through the clouds
Investing

2 Canadian Growth Stocks Set to Skyrocket in the Next 12 Months

These two top Canadian stocks not only have tonnes of growth potential, but they're also trading at well-undervalued levels right…

Read more »

The sun sets behind a power source
Energy Stocks

Canadian Utility Stocks Poised to Win Big in 2026

Add these two TSX Canadian utility stocks to your self-directed investment portfolio as you gear up for another year of…

Read more »

hand stacks coins
Investing

Key Canadian Dividend Stocks to Compound Wealth Over 2026

Agnico Eagle Mines (TSX:AEM) and another great dividend stock for long-term compounding.

Read more »

The RRSP (Canadian Registered Retirement Savings Plan) is a smart way to save and invest for the future
Retirement

1 TSX Stock to Safely Hold in Your RRSP for Decades

This is a long-term compounder that Canadians can add in their RRSPs on dips.

Read more »

Dividend Stocks

3 Beginner-Friendly Stocks Perfect for Canadians Starting Out Now

Looking for some beginner-friendly stocks? Here’s a trio of options that are too hard to ignore right now.

Read more »

3 colorful arrows racing straight up on a black background.
Tech Stocks

This Canadian Stock Could Rule Them All in 2026

Constellation Software’s pullback could be a rare chance to buy a proven Canadian compounder before its next growth leg.

Read more »

Close-up of people hands taking slices of pepperoni pizza from wooden board.
Dividend Stocks

3 of the Best Canadian Stocks Investors Can Buy Right Now

These three Canadian stocks are all reliable dividend payers, making them some of the best to buy now in the…

Read more »