Warren Buffett Has Been Quiet Ahead of Recession — and Investors Should Listen

Warren Buffett may be quiet right now, but his investments speak louder than words.

| More on:

During the dot-com craze, Buffett warned about running after internet stocks. During the recession, he warned about selling stocks. Now, on the verge of a recession, Warren Buffett is nowhere to be found.

Yet this time around, it might just be that Buffett doesn’t have the same fears as he did before. Instead, the investment mogul just isn’t too crazy about the markets right now. And it shows

Buffett currently has almost half of his Berkshire Hathaway sitting aside as cash. For what he does have invested, it’s clear that Buffett is sticking to his strategy of value investing.

Almost half of his investments are with the financial sector — an area that would seem quite contrarian to most investors at this point, but to Buffett it seems to look like a long-term opportunity.

There are several other areas where Buffett is seeing opportunities, however, including two Canadian companies. Both Suncor Energy Inc. (TSX:SU)(NYSE:SU) and Restaurant Brands International Inc. (TSX:QSR)(NYSE:QSR) are companies that Buffett has chosen to invest in as of late.

Both companies follow the same Buffett logic: to find value stocks with a solid future ahead of them. That’s the case with both Suncor and Restaurant Brands.

Suncor is unnecessarily cheap at the moment. The stock is trading around the same share price levels as the beginning of the year, but this is due to the oil and gas industry slump as a whole.

The energy company has been posting stellar earnings results, much of which comes from being a fully integrated energy company.

This means it explores, drills, refines, produces, and sells its own oil products. So while the price of oil might be down, it actually gives the company some opportunities to start building on its investments on the cheap.

Meanwhile, Suncor is still expecting to push forward with growth even during a recession. The company expects earnings to rise by 23% for 2019, with net income rising $2.7 billion in the last quarter, a 177% increase from the same time last year, much of this due to the success of its downstream operations.

With analysts predicting the stock to rise by 50% in the next 12 months, that makes its current share price around $40 an absolute Warren-Buffett-worthy steal.

As for Restaurant Brands, this company might not be the bargain of Suncor, but it’s certainly an excellent long-term investment. The company owns three huge restaurant chains, namely Popeyes Louisiana Chicken, Burger King, and Tim Hortons.

When even the slightest news hits, shares start soaring. This happened most recently when Popeyes announced a new chicken sandwich. The stock is now nearing its all-time high of just over $100 per share.

While I might want to wait for a dip before investing in this stock, Restaurant Brands has a strong future ahead of it. The merger of these three companies has put each restaurant chain into incredibly experienced hands, looking for new and better ways to develop the customer experience and keep a strong bottom line.

Those developments can then be implemented to new retail chains the company could acquire in the future.

While analysts are predicting the stock to rise to as high as $120 per share in the next 12 months, it could also see a fall in the short-term with a recession. This could be a huge dip, and the perfect time to pick up shares for long-term growth.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of RESTAURANT BRANDS INTERNATIONAL INC and has the following options: short October 2019 $82 calls on RESTAURANT BRANDS INTERNATIONAL INC.

More on Investing

Man holds Canadian dollars in differing amounts
Dividend Stocks

How a $10,000 TFSA Investment Could Be Set Up to Generate Steady Cash Flow 

Maximize your savings with a TFSA. Learn how to invest and generate cash flow instead of using it as a…

Read more »

Rocket lift off through the clouds
Investing

Stocks That Nobody’s Talking About — Until They Explode Higher

Investors should note there are several stocks that nobody's talking about on the TSX, and they could be poised for…

Read more »

gold prices rise and fall
Stocks for Beginners

3 Canadian Stocks to Buy if Gold Keeps Climbing

Even with a sharp March pullback, some analysts still see room for strength ahead, driven by diversification demand and a…

Read more »

ETFs can contain investments such as stocks
Stocks for Beginners

3 Canadian ETFs I’d Tuck Into a TFSA and Never Consider Selling

These three Canadian ETFs offer instant diversification, making them ideal for the foundation of your long-term TFSA portfolio.

Read more »

stock chart
Dividend Stocks

If Market Turbulence Is Coming, These 2 TSX Stocks Could Offer Some Shelter

Reliable TSX stocks aren't just the best stocks to own during market turbulence; they're the best stocks to buy and…

Read more »

Senior uses a laptop computer
Dividend Stocks

2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks That Could Be a Safer Bet for Canadian Retirees

These two high-yield dividend stocks, backed by strong underlying businesses and solid growth prospects, are well-suited for retirees seeking stable…

Read more »

dancer in front of lights brings excitement and heat
Dividend Stocks

2 TSX Stocks That Could Shine if the Bank of Canada Holds Rates Steady

If the Bank of Canada stays steady, IGM and Power look positioned to benefit from calmer markets, healthier asset values,…

Read more »

A small flower grows out of a concrete crack.
Dividend Stocks

The April Market Twist Every Canadian Investor Should Be Watching

AtkinsRéalis is emerging as an April-proof TSX winner, with booming nuclear and infrastructure work that can outlast the month’s headline…

Read more »