Even Warren Buffett Was Caught Off Guard by the Double Market Crash

You might want to avoid value traps like Canadian Apartment Properties, despite its attractiveness right now, as even Warren Buffett couldn’t have predicted what happened.

| More on:

One person who people around the world can unanimously agree is possibly the best investor of all time is the Oracle of Omaha himself, Warren Buffett.

If you have been playing with the stock market for as long as Buffett has with such success, you might see most of what the market has to offer. He has shown incredible prowess over the years in understanding the market in a way nobody else has. Buffett almost has a sixth sense about making ideal moves to leverage how it reacts to external factors with fantastic accuracy.

He’s shown his ability to capitalize on market weakness on several occasions. Even the 2008 collapse led to Buffett making more money than he lost. However, he thinks that the one-two punch with the current economic crisis is something he could never have anticipated.

Buffett’s reaction to the current situation

Warren Buffett still believes that the market crash of 2008 was the worst. More than US$3.5 trillion money-market accounts lost almost their entire value, and everything ground to a halt. The current situation is different. We are going through a double market crash between the oil price crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic.

Buffett is known for accumulating massive sums of cash that he uses to buy up stocks at excellent value during market weakness. He has done it before, and everyone expected him to do the same this time. However, his strategy has been different.

It can benefit investors to follow in Buffett’s footsteps if they want to emulate his success.

In a surprising move, Buffett dumped his entire holdings in airline stocks. He even went on to admit that he had made a mistake by investing in airlines. For someone who usually sticks to his investments, this was a bold move from Buffett, but it makes sense. The pandemic has decimated airlines worldwide, and operations might not get back to normalcy for a long time, even after the pandemic ends.

Another surprising move is that Buffett is not really making any moves. His company Berkshire Hathaway accumulated a massive hoard of cash before the market crash. However, he has not made any major investments with the cash pile.

Prepare your portfolio

Despite the March 2020 rally, Buffett refused to make significant moves in the market. He has stuck to holding on to his cash. This might imply that Buffett knows something we don’t. There is a chance that the Oracle of Omaha is not making any moves, because he anticipates another market crash.

You might have made investments to capitalize on the recent rally. It could be a good time to take a look at your portfolio and reprioritize your approach in case another market crash takes place. One of the stocks you might want to keep an eye on if the market experiences another downturn is Canadian Apartment Properties Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX:CAR.UN).

Canadian Apartment Properties is a Canadian Dividend Aristocrat that has seen a substantial recovery with the recent market rally. It also has an eight-year dividend-growth streak that it keeps on increasing. These factors make the REIT look like an ideal addition to your portfolio.

However, if another crash comes, the REIT might slump worse than it did in March before it recovered. The stock has a healthy 15.5% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). At writing, it offers a 2.84% dividend yield. It is a value stock that could turn into a value trap if it fails to recover due to a housing market crash.

Foolish takeaway

Buffett’s reluctance to make any major moves in the market right now indicates that he feels there might be another crash. It could be a crash that might not see a rapid recovery that we’ve seen in the last few months. However, the Oracle of Omaha might be wrong.

If you feel there might be a crash coming, it would be best to move your capital to safer investments, and gear up to buy on weakness by adding more liquidity.

Fool contributor Adam Othman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Berkshire Hathaway (B shares) and recommends the following options: short September 2020 $200 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), short January 2021 $200 puts on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares), and long January 2021 $200 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares).

More on Dividend Stocks

dividend growth for passive income
Dividend Stocks

Top Canadian Stocks to Buy for Growth in 2026

Here are a few top Canadian stock ideas to be bought on dips for growth in 2026 and beyond.

Read more »

data analyze research
Dividend Stocks

The Best Stocks to Invest $1,000 in Right Now

Add these two TSX stocks to your self-directed investment portfolio if you have $1,000 that you want to get the…

Read more »

TFSA (Tax free savings account) acronym on wooden cubes on the background of stacks of coins
Dividend Stocks

4 TSX Dividend Champions Every Retiree Should Consider

Fortis and these three quality TSX stocks are championship ideas for retirees looking to maintain and grow their wealth.

Read more »

Man holds Canadian dollars in differing amounts
Dividend Stocks

This 7% Dividend Stock Pays Cash Each and Every Month

Canadian retail centres titan SmartCentres REIT (TSX:SRU.UN) pays monthly distributions yielding 7% supported by industry-leading occupancy. Could this be your…

Read more »

jar with coins and plant
Dividend Stocks

2 Dividend Stocks to Hold for the Next 20 Years

TD Bank (TSX:TD) and other dividend growers worth owning for decades and decades.

Read more »

Muscles Drawn On Black board
Dividend Stocks

This Simple TFSA Move Could Protect You in 2026

One simple TFSA move could protect your portfolio in 2026: swap a high-hype holding for Brookfield Infrastructure Partners and get…

Read more »

diversification and asset allocation are crucial investing concepts
Dividend Stocks

The Best Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever

Here's why high-quality dividend stocks, such as these five names, are some of the best long-term investments you can buy.

Read more »

dividends can compound over time
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Blue-Chip Stocks to Hold Through 2026 and Beyond

Tired of market volatility? These three Canadian blue-chip stocks are pivoting from steady income plays to growth engines for 2026…

Read more »