Housing Crash 2020: Could Mortgage Rates Hit 0%?

Add Royal Bank of Canada to your investment portfolio, as falling mortgage rates leads to further changes in the housing market situation.

| More on:

The mortgage rates in Canada changed in a remarkable move. The benchmark five-year mortgage rate reported by the Bank of Canada fell for the third time in 2020, easing the pressure faced by real estate investors who were under stress to pay their mortgages.

The mortgage rate decreased from 4.94% in May to 4.79%, which had already fallen from 5.04% in March. These mortgage rates are the lowest they have been in three years. A significant number of house-hunting Canadians who previously could not qualify for mortgages can afford to borrow money to purchase houses.

Consistently declining mortgage rates

Most borrowers do not have to pay the actual benchmark posted rate for their mortgages. However, the posted rate is useful to assess the borrowers as part of the financial stress test. This check makes sure home buyers have the financial power to make future mortgage payments if the rates increase from their current rates. A drop in the benchmark rate makes the stress test a breeze.

The decreasing benchmark posted rate is not a surprise considering the falling underlying rates. A family that earns $100,000 each year could qualify to take out a fixed-rate mortgage for a home valued at $523,410 under the previous rate with a 10% down payment. Under the new mortgage rate, the same family can qualify for a mortgage on a house worth $531,230.

Will the mortgage rate hit 0%?

After falling for the third time this year, you might have started wondering if the mortgage rate will gradually hit 0%. While the decrease in rates can help many Canadian families afford mortgages, it is not too significant a decline. It only has a positive effect on Canadians close to qualifying for mortgages. It makes no difference for Canadians who’ve already qualified or to those who were not close to qualifying.

As for declining to 0%, it is impossible. Canadian financial institutions have been cooperative with financially stressed Canadian borrowers through decreasing mortgage rates and mortgage deferrals. However, the banks still rely on mortgage payments as a substantial revenue stream.

Banks will need to continue earning money, and it is highly improbable that the mortgage rates can even come close to 0%. If you are an investor with a bank like the Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY)(NYSE:RY), you should not worry about it. The bank will not eliminate its revenue source.

The banking sector reported a massive increase in provisions for credit losses in the second quarter due to COVID-19 and the lockdowns. However, the Royal Bank of Canada continues to inspire confidence in its investors. RY is up by more than 34% from its share prices in the March 2020 bottom.

Trading for $97.10 per share at writing, RY pays its shareholders at a juicy 4.45% dividend yield. The $138.21 billion market capitalization bank has a strong balance sheet that can help the bank weather the current storm. A decrease in mortgage rates will likely impact its revenue, but the effect will likely be nominal. The reduction of rates will allow more Canadians to qualify and increase their potential revenue in the long run.

Foolish takeaway

While the mortgage rate declined for the third time this year, it is unlikely to spell bad news for operators in the finance sector. I think that the Royal Bank of Canada could be a valuable investment to consider. The stock is still trading for a 6.23% discount after three months of gains.

I think investing in the stock could earn you substantial long-term profits through its capital gains and dividend income.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Adam Othman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Dividend Stocks

money goes up and down in balance
Dividend Stocks

This 6% Dividend Stock Is My Top Pick for Immediate Income

This Canadian stock has resilient business model, solid dividend payment and growth history, and a well-protected yield of over 6%.

Read more »

ways to boost income
Dividend Stocks

1 Excellent TSX Dividend Stock, Down 25%, to Buy and Hold for the Long Term

Down 25% from all-time highs, Tourmaline Oil is a TSX dividend stock that offers you a tasty yield of 5%…

Read more »

Start line on the highway
Dividend Stocks

1 Incredibly Cheap Canadian Dividend-Growth Stock to Buy Now and Hold for Decades

CN Rail (TSX:CNR) stock is incredibly cheap, but should investors join insiders by buying the dip?

Read more »

bulb idea thinking
Dividend Stocks

Down 13%, This Magnificent Dividend Stock Is a Screaming Buy

Sometimes, a moderately discounted, safe dividend stock is better than heavily discounted stock, offering an unsustainably high yield.

Read more »

Canadian Dollars bills
Dividend Stocks

Invest $15,000 in This Dividend Stock, Create $5,710.08 in Passive Income

This dividend stock is the perfect option if you're an investor looking for growth, as well as passive income through…

Read more »

A Canada Pension Plan Statement of Contributions with a 100 dollar banknote and dollar coins.
Dividend Stocks

3 Compelling Reasons to Delay Taking CPP Benefits Until Age 70

You don't need to take CPP early if you are receiving large dividend payments from Fortis Inc (TSX:FTS) stock.

Read more »

A worker overlooks an oil refinery plant.
Dividend Stocks

Better Dividend Stock: TC Energy vs. Enbridge

TC Energy and Enbridge have enjoyed big rallies in 2024. Is one stock still cheap?

Read more »

Concept of multiple streams of income
Dividend Stocks

Got $10,000? Buy This Dividend Stock for $4,992.40 in Total Passive Income

Want almost $5,000 in annual passive income? Then you need a company bound for even more growth, with a dividend…

Read more »