The September market selloff continued yesterday, with the TSX down about 2% at open. This time, it was not tech stocks, but energy, banks, and airlines that led the slide. Air Canada fell 5% within minutes of market open, while banks posted more modest losses.
In this environment, a second outright market crash is looking more and more likely. The NASDAQ is already in correction territory (down 10% from all time highs), and the TSX is also down significantly.
Ultimately, nobody knows how long the market carnage will continue for. For the longest time, tech stocks were leading the slide. Now, companies that got battered by COVID-19 are once again bleeding. It’s hard to say how this will all play out. What we do know is which sectors tend to perform best in times like these. With that in mind, here are three stocks for safety in a market crash 2.0.
Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR)(NYSE:CNI) is a railway stock with a long-term track record of surviving recessions. In the middle of recessions, railways actually do quite poorly, being cyclical. But they bounce back with the ensuing recovery, as demand for their services picks up.
So far in 2020, CNR has handily outperformed the market. In the first quarter, it grew earnings by 31% year over year, although its second quarter saw earnings decline. Q2 was technically a “beat,” mainly because of low expectations going into it. Nevertheless, CNR survived the last recession and should survive this one.
Algonquin Power & Utilities
Utilities in general tend to be safer than average in recessions. The reason is that their revenue is stable, being protected by high barriers to entry, and the fact that they provide essential services.
People want to stay warm in the winter. For this fact alone, a utilities ETF could be a good pick right now. But if you’re looking for a little more upside than average, AQN could be one to consider. It has better-than-normal growth for a utility and is partially a bet on the trendy renewable energy industry.
Fortis (TSX:FTS)(NYSE:FTS) is another TSX utility stock with an incredible long-term track record. It has raised its dividend every single year for the last 46 years, giving it one of the longest TSX dividend-growth streaks.
So far in 2020, Fortis hasn’t been affected too severely by COVID-19. In Q2, its adjusted earnings increased from $0.54 to $0.56. That’s not a huge percentage increase, but keep in mind that a lot of companies are seeing earnings decline this year. It’s a comparatively solid result — just another testimony to the safety of utilities in the midst of recessions.
This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.
Fool contributor Andrew Button owns shares of Canadian National Railway. David Gardner owns shares of Canadian National Railway. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Canadian National Railway. The Motley Fool recommends Canadian National Railway and FORTIS INC.