Down 40%, Should You Ditch or Dive Into NFI Stock?

NFI (TSX:NFI) stock looks like it’s gone from bad to worse, but long-term investors may do well to pick it up today and hold for years to come.

| More on:

The market is worse than ever, with American banks leading to a huge strain on markets across the world. Canada hasn’t been immune, and it’s left many stocks falling to depths not seen yet this year. That’s included NFI Group (TSX:NFI).

NFI stock has fallen 40% in the last year alone, with the stock only going lower with the recent news about the drop in American banks pushing markets down around the world. But should long-term investors see this as a chance to make a killing, or is it the beginning of the end?

The future of NFI stock

There is definitely a future for those looking to invest in NFI stock. The company focuses on large vehicles, including buses, trucks and more. Further, it’s made a concerted effort to shift towards clean energy solutions, creating electric buses that continue to be shipped around the country.

In fact, it’s not just around our country. NFI stock also received attention after Vice President Kamala Harris visited its New Flyer facility. This came after the announcement its subsidiary launching 55 high-occupancy buses.

What’s more, analysts continue to mark NFI stock as a buy. So, what’s been going on?

Earnings beat

During its most recent earnings report, NFI stock announced results that were in line with consensus estimates as a whole. However, its earnings per share (EPS) came far above estimates. Its fourth-quarter revenue came in at $683 million, with 1,034 units delivered. About 32% of these were battery and fuel cell-electric buses.

For the year, the company brought in $2.1 billion in sales, with 3,039 units delivered, 23% of which were battery and fuel cell-electric buses. Now, it wasn’t all great news, with the company announcing adjusted earnings before interest taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) at a loss of $5 million for the quarter, and $59 million for the year. This led to financial guidance that is lower than originally announced. It should reach between $30 million and $60 million for adjusted EBITDA in 2023, followed by $250 million and $300 million for 2024.

While this will slowing but surely see the company get back to profit, there are a few things in its way — namely, inflation. That pressure has created hardships for many companies, but especially those looking to gain momentum from clean energy production. Even so, while it’s bound to be a slow year this year, analysts believe it will soon pick up. So, long-term investors could achieve great returns for their patience.

Bottom line

Right now, it looks like NFI stock may get worse before it gets better. Earnings are set to improve slowly but surely, but definitely on the slower side. Even still, there is a major shift to clean energy production — not just in Canada, but across the world. And NFI stock certainly has many partnerships and acquisitions that will see it grow even further.

Meanwhile, the company does look like a deal for long-term holders. Shares are down 41% in the last year, trading at 0.72 times book value. As we get closer to a focus on companies with clean energy in mind, it’s likely that NFI stock may again rebound to heights not seen since 2018.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends NFI Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Investing

Person holds banknotes of Canadian dollars
Dividend Stocks

The 7.3% Dividend Gem Every Passive-Income Investor Should Know About

Buying 1,000 shares of this TSX stock today would generate about $154 per month in passive income based on its…

Read more »

businesswoman meets with client to get loan
Dividend Stocks

A Top-Performing U.S. Stock for Canadian Investors to Buy and Hold

Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.B) is a top U.s. stock for canadians to hold.

Read more »

Map of Canada showing connectivity
Dividend Stocks

Buy Canadian: 1 TSX Stock Set to Outperform Global Markets in 2026

Nutrien’s potash scale, global retail network, and steady fertilizer demand could make it the TSX’s quiet outperformer in 2026.

Read more »

A worker overlooks an oil refinery plant.
Energy Stocks

A Canadian Energy Stock Poised for Big Growth in 2026

Enbridge (TSX:ENB) is an oft-forgotten energy stock, but one with an excellent yield and newfound growth potential worth considering in…

Read more »

dumpsters sit outside for waste collection and trash removal
Energy Stocks

Could This Undervalued Canadian Stock Be Your Ticket to Millionaire Status

Valued at a market cap of $600 million, Aduro is a small-cap Canadian stock that offers massive upside potential in…

Read more »

Retirees sip their morning coffee outside.
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Investors: How Couples Can Earn $10,700 Per Year in Tax-Free Passive Income

Here's one interesting way that couples could earn as much as $10,700 of tax-free income inside their TFSA in 2026.

Read more »

AI concept person in profile
Tech Stocks

3 of the Best Canadian Tech Stocks Out There

These three Canadian tech stocks could be among the best global options for those seeking growth at a reasonable price…

Read more »

A plant grows from coins.
Bank Stocks

A Dividend Giant I’d Buy Over Telus Stock Right Now

Investors are questioning whether Telus stock is still a buy and hold. Here’s a dividend giant to consider buying that’s…

Read more »