National Bank of Canada: Buy, Sell, or Hold in July 2025?

This big bank stock is a sound option for income investors in July for its positive momentum and strong showing in 2025.

| More on:

Canada’s banking sector has long been a top-of-mind option for income-focused, risk-averse investors. The Big Six banks, in particular, boast a high degree of resilience and have consistently maintained elevated capital buffers in the event of financial shocks. Because of this cautious nature, the stocks deliver stable returns and uninterrupted dividend income.

National Bank of Canada (TSX: NA), the sixth-largest lender, has strengthened its position with the acquisition of Canadian Western Bank early this year. The $5.6 billion mega deal demonstrates the $55.3 billion financial institution prioritizes value creation, a hallmark since its founding 166 years ago.

NA has surged +25.9% in the last three months, outpacing the TSX (+18.2%) and the financial services sector (+20.2%). At $141.02 per share, the year-to-date gain is +9.58%. With its positive momentum and strong showing amid a complex environment, should you take a position in this systematically important bank to start the second half of 2025?

Investor wonders if it's safe to buy stocks now

Source: Getty Images

A significant step forward

Laurent Ferreira, president and CEO of National Bank of Canada, said acquiring CWB is a significant step forward in accelerating the bank’s domestic strategy. CWB is well-established in Western Canada. “We will pull strengths from our collective network and further extend the depth and breadth of our banking capabilities,” Ferreria said.

Furthermore, NA expects to realize significant cost and funding synergies of approximately $270 million annually through operational efficiencies, technology upgrades, and shared services. The Canadian bank also owns ABA Bank, the premier private financial institution in Cambodia.

Latest earnings performance

NA delivered strong second-quarter results, driven by solid organic growth in all business segments. In the first half of fiscal 2025 (six months ended April 30, 2025), net income increased 4% year over year to $1.89 billion. Also, in the second quarter (Q2) of fiscal 2025, provision for credit losses (PCL) rose 297.1% to $545 million compared to Q2 fiscal 2024.

The U.S. Specialty Finance and International segment reported an 11% and 4% increase in Q2 fiscal 2025 to $390 million and $169 million from a year ago. Like its larger industry peers, NA has a sufficient cushion to absorb potential losses and overcome a more adverse operating environment.

At the quarter’s end, the loans-to-deposits ratio of 95.9% reflects the bank’s strong funding and liquidity profile. According to Ferreira, and in the context of continued geopolitical and geoeconomic uncertainty, the strong capital position allows NA to support business growth. The common equity tier-one ratio is 13.4%.

Market analysts expect the Canadian big banks, including NA, to explore ways to effectively deploy excess capital and conduct share buybacks as long as the landscape remains conducive. However, the trade tensions caused by the lingering tariff threats pose a serious challenge to the banking sector.

Dependable dividend payer

National Bank of Canada is among the favoured dividend payers on the TSX. Besides 47 consecutive years of dividend payments, it has a 16-year dividend-growth streak. If you invest today, the dividend offer is a solid and safe 3.36% (42.8% payout ratio). The strong financial foundation and visible growth opportunities make it a stock for keeps.

Fool contributor Christopher Liew has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Bank Stocks

Piggy bank on a flying rocket
Bank Stocks

The Canadian Bank Stock I’d Pass Onto My Kids

I already own TD Bank stock, and its improving earnings, diversified businesses, and strong capital position give me good reasons…

Read more »

Investor wonders if it's safe to buy stocks now
Bank Stocks

Is BMO Stock Still a Good Buy in September 2026?

BMO stock has pulled back after a strong rally, but improving adjusted earnings, credit trends, and shareholder returns could keep…

Read more »

coins jump into piggy bank
Bank Stocks

How Much Do You Actually Need in Your TFSA to Retire Comfortably?

CRA data shows that average TFSA values continue to rise across many older age groups, but building retirement wealth is…

Read more »

customer uses bank ATM
Stocks for Beginners

This Bank Stock Is Up 49%: I Still Think It Has Room to Run

National Bank’s stock has surged, but rising profits and a growing national footprint suggest the business may still be catching…

Read more »

A close up color image of a small green plant sprouting out of a pile of Canadian dollar coins "loonies."
Bank Stocks

Sprott Stock Climbed 26% Last Month: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Sprott stock has rallied sharply, but strong earnings growth and long-term exposure to precious metals and critical materials keep its…

Read more »

jar with coins and plant
Bank Stocks

The 2 Canadian Banks I’d Buy for Dividend Growth

Royal Bank and TD continue to deliver strong earnings growth with healthy capital positions and growing shareholder returns, making both…

Read more »

coins jump into piggy bank
Stocks for Beginners

The Big 6 Reported Earnings: Here’s My Favourite Bank Stock to Buy Now

All six Canadian banks beat earnings estimates, but their stocks are now priced as if investors expect that to keep…

Read more »

dreaming of financial success
Bank Stocks

Up/Down 1.2% After Earnings, Is TD Bank a Good Stock to Buy Now?

The Toronto-Dominion Bank's (TSX:TD) recent earnings release handily beat expectations.

Read more »