1 Dividend Stock Down 35% in a Year to Buy for Lifetime Income

Fiera’s 35% drop and 12% yield look tempting, but weak earnings and an outsized payout make it a risky turnaround, not a buy-and-forget dividend pick.

Key Points
  • The stock is down about 35% while yielding 12%, which is attractive but signals stress.
  • Payout ratio exceeds 200%, meaning dividends currently outpace earnings and risk cuts if profit falls.
  • Best for risk-tolerant investors as a turnaround play; pair with stable income names and monitor AUM and cash flow.

Fiera Capital (TSX: FSZ) is the kind of dividend stock that income-focused investors can’t help but notice when it’s down this much. A 35% drop in a year for an established asset manager with a high dividend yield looks, on the surface, like a bargain. But before calling it a “buy for life,” investors need to look closely at what’s behind that decline, and whether the company’s income engine still runs smoothly enough to support a lifetime of dividends.

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income

Source: Getty Images

About FSZ

Fiera is one of Canada’s largest independent asset management firms, with roughly $159 billion in assets under management (AUM) as of mid-2025. It earns fees for managing money on behalf of pension funds, institutions, and private clients. In good times, this is a cash-rich business. But it’s also one that rises and falls with markets. When assets decline or clients pull money, fee revenue drops, and that’s exactly what’s been happening. The global equity and bond pullback over the past year, coupled with a rotation away from smaller independent managers toward low-cost exchange-traded funds (ETFs), has squeezed Fiera’s growth and profitability.

In its second-quarter 2025 results, Fiera reported revenue of $163 million, down from the prior year, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) of $46 million, also lower year over year by about half. Net earnings came in at $3.76 million, compared to $25.55 million in the same quarter of 2024. Management cited market volatility and lower performance fees as the main culprits. The stock’s 35% slide reflects those pressures. That’s a valid concern, but it also creates an opportunity if Fiera can stabilize.

Is there a draw?

The main draw for income investors is, of course, Fiera’s dividend yield, which now sits around 12%, far higher than most of the TSX. On paper, that’s enticing. But such a high yield always raises the question: Is it sustainable? The payout ratio, which is how much of the profits go to dividends, is now above 225% depending on the quarter. That means Fiera is effectively paying out everything it earns. If earnings dip further, it could be forced to fund part of that dividend with debt or cash reserves. That’s not ideal for long-term sustainability.

That said, Fiera does have strengths that could support a recovery. The company’s management has been aggressively cutting costs, streamlining operations, and selling non-core assets to free up cash. It has also been shifting its business toward higher-margin, alternative investments, such as private credit and infrastructure. If this strategy works, Fiera could rebuild profit margins and gradually lower its payout ratio back into safer territory. In the meantime, the dividend remains covered by free cash flow, albeit tightly.

Considerations

From a valuation standpoint, FSZ looks undeniably cheap. It trades at 7.02 times forward earnings, well below historical averages for asset managers. That discount likely prices in much of the bad news already. If markets recover and assets under management rise, the dividend stock could see a sharp rebound, and long-term investors collecting that 12% yield could be paid handsomely to wait.

For an investor seeking lifetime income, Fiera could play a role, but it’s best viewed as a higher-risk, higher-reward holding. The dividend is generous, but it’s not bulletproof. If you’re relying on a steady income for retirement, Fiera shouldn’t be your only income source. It’s more appropriate as part of a diversified dividend portfolio, paired with more stable names to balance the risk.

Bottom line

Fiera Capital looks tempting while it’s down 35%, but it’s not a guaranteed “buy-and-forget” income stock. It’s a turnaround story wrapped in a high-yield dividend. If management succeeds in rebuilding profitability and stabilizing AUM, today’s price could represent an attractive long-term entry point. But if earnings continue to slip, that 12% yield could eventually be cut. For investors comfortable with some volatility and willing to take a calculated risk for a potentially strong income stream, FSZ could pay off. Yet it’s a stock to watch closely, not one to buy and stash away without keeping an eye on the numbers.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Fiera Capital. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Dividend Stocks

oil pumps at sunset
Dividend Stocks

Canadian Natural Resources vs. Suncor: The Dividend Stock to Own Through 2026

Let’s compare Canadian Natural Resources and Suncor Energy across their financial performance, dividend track records, growth prospects, and valuations to…

Read more »

man studies at computer
Dividend Stocks

Here Are The 3 Canadian Stocks I’d Tell a New Investor to Buy ASAP

Discover strategies for investing in stocks that can help you thrive in a market filled with volatility and uncertainty.

Read more »

telecom towers concept for wireless technology
Dividend Stocks

BCE Stock Is Down 2% After Q3: Is the 5.8% Dividend Safe?

BCE stock slipped 2% after Q3 earnings. See whether the 5.8% dividend is safe, how free cash flow covers it,…

Read more »

TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) on wooden blocks and Canadian one hundred dollar bills.
Dividend Stocks

Too Busy to Invest? This Dividend Stock Deserves a Permanent Place In Your TFSA

This Canadian stock appears well-positioned to keep paying and growing its dividend and deliver solid capital gains in the long…

Read more »

monthly calendar with clock
Dividend Stocks

The TFSA Strategy I’d Use to Generate $600 in Monthly Tax-Free Income

A smarter TFSA approach is to prioritize sustainable total returns and diversification rather than chasing an arbitrary monthly income number.

Read more »

Concept of rent, search, purchase real estate, REIT
Dividend Stocks

How Much to Invest in Killam Apartment for $250 a Month in Dividends

Want $250 a month? Killam Apartment pays $0.06 a unit at $17.45. See how many units to buy, what Q3…

Read more »

resting in a hammock with eyes closed
Dividend Stocks

3 Top Canadian Dividend Stocks for $2,050 in Passive Income Each Year

With resilient business models, consistent dividend payouts, and clear growth prospects, these three dividend stocks are ideal for income-seeking investors.

Read more »

GettyImages-1394663007
Dividend Stocks

A Recession-Resistant Dividend Stock for Lifelong TFSA Income

A resilient utility business, improving earnings, and ambitious investment plans could make this Canadian dividend stock an excellent choice for…

Read more »