Up 123% in 3 Years, Can Aritzia Stock Continue to Beat the TSX Index in 2026?

The Canadian fashion retailer just hit its first-ever $1 billion quarter.

| More on:
Key Points
  • Aritzia delivered record Q3 revenue of $1.04 billion, up 43% year-over-year.
  • The company's mobile app hit 1.4 million downloads, crushing first-year expectations.
  • U.S. expansion continues with 30% growth in square footage, driving a 54% jump in revenue.

Aritzia (TSX:ATZ) proved that luxury fashion can thrive even when economists predict doom. Valued at a market cap of $12.4 billion, the Vancouver-based retailer crushed Q3 expectations with $1 billion in revenue – its first-ever billion-dollar quarter.

The company delivered 43% year-over-year growth, expanded margins, and reported a 55% increase in adjusted earnings per share. CEO Jennifer Wong’s assessment after 39 years with the company? “I’ve never been more excited about the business as I am right now.”

people apply for loan

Source: Getty Images

The mobile app launch that changed everything

Aritzia’s mobile app launch in late October shattered expectations. The app became the #1 download in the entire app store on launch day in both markets, staying #1 in shopping for 18 days in Canada. Total downloads hit 1.4 million – exceeding what management expected for the entire first year.

E-commerce revenue jumped 58% in the quarter, with the app driving conversion improvements almost immediately. Apps account for 20% to 40% of e-commerce sales of best-in-class retailers, and Wong believes Aritzia is tracking toward the upper end of that range.

U.S. expansion prints money

Aritzia’s U.S. real estate strategy is delivering exceptional returns.

  • The company grew U.S. square footage by roughly 30% over the past year, opening 15 new and repositioned boutiques.
  • Revenue in the U.S. market exploded 54% to $621 million, driven by e-commerce traffic growth approaching 60%.
  • New U.S. boutiques are tracking to payback in under one year – faster than the company’s 12- to 18-month target.
  • With just 72 boutiques currently operating, Wong sees long-term potential for 180 to 200 U.S. locations.
  • Management plans to open 12 to 14 stores annually while maintaining disciplined expansion.

Canadian revenue rose 29% to $419 million, the fourth consecutive quarter of accelerating growth. This proves Aritzia isn’t cannibalizing its home market to fuel U.S. expansion.

The company is executing a true omnichannel strategy in which new boutiques, digital initiatives, and marketing investments reinforce one another. Aritzia expanded gross margins by 30 basis points while absorbing 410 basis points of tariff and de minimis pressure.

The retailer offset this through leverage on fixed costs, improved markdowns, and freight tailwinds. Adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) margins expanded 120 basis points to 20%, the seventh consecutive quarter of improvement.

Excluding tariff impacts, Aritzia’s margins would exceed its previous 19% long-term target.

Executing against tough comparisons

Aritzia’s Q3 came against brutal comps.

  • Two-year stacked comparable sales accelerated throughout the quarter despite lapping exceptional November 2024 growth.
  • Black Friday set records, with nearly 60% of boutiques achieving all-time sales highs, and retail and e-commerce hitting daily peaks in both countries.
  • The company achieved this with lower markdowns than last year, suggesting genuine demand rather than promotion-driven sales.

Is ATZ stock still undervalued?

Management raised full-year revenue guidance to $3.615 billion to $3.64 billion, indicating year-over-year growth of over 32%. The company now expects to hit its fiscal 2027 target one year early.

Q4 guidance calls for $1.1 billion to $1.125 billion in revenue, implying high-teens comparable sales despite lapping a 26% comp from last year. Trends are running slightly ahead quarter-to-date.

Aritzia has delivered 123% returns over three years by executing a disciplined playbook. It is systematically building U.S. brand awareness, opening high-productivity stores in premium locations, and creating digital experiences that customers want.

With the mobile app just launching, a vast U.S. expansion runway, and management executing at the highest level in nearly four decades, Aritzia appears well-positioned to continue outpacing the TSX.

The risk is maintaining this growth as comparisons toughen. But after watching this team lap 26% comps and still accelerate, betting against them seems foolish.

Given consensus price targets, ATZ stock still trades at a 41% discount as of February 2026.

Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Aritzia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Investing

3 colorful arrows racing straight up on a black background.
Investing

3 Canadian Stocks With the Potential to Triple in Value Within 5 Years

These TSX stocks are witnessing secular demand trends and have the potential to deliver solid growth, leading to market-beating returns.

Read more »

money goes up and down in balance
Dividend Stocks

Have $21,000 Sitting in a TFSA? Here’s a Dividend Stock Worth Putting It Into

For TFSA investors seeking income, Enbridge remains a dividend stock worth considering.

Read more »

Couple working on laptops at home and fist bumping
Investing

The Best $10,000 TFSA Approach for Canadian Investors

In this uncertain economic outlook, these three Canadian stocks could be compelling additions to your TFSA.

Read more »

investor schemes to buy stocks before market notices them
Energy Stocks

Is Enbridge Stock Worth Buying at its Current Price?

Enbridge's stock price has rallied but is still a far cry from the premium valuation that it deserves given its…

Read more »

House models and one with REIT real estate investment trust.
Retirement

How to Use a TFSA to Bring in $1,000 a Month – Completely Tax-Free

Learn how to use a TFSA to bring in $1,000 a month tax-free with REITs and income ETFs built for…

Read more »

ETF is short for exchange traded fund, a popular investment choice for Canadians
Dividend Stocks

If I Could Only Buy and Hold a Single Stock, This Would Be It

If you could only buy and hold a single stock , this low-cost Canadian ETF spreads your risk across 75…

Read more »

Colored pins on calendar showing a month
Dividend Stocks

A Perfect TFSA Stock: An 8% Yield With Constant Paycheques

Nexus Industrial REIT (TSX:NXR.UN) pays high dividends monthly.

Read more »

trading chart of brent crude oil prices
Dividend Stocks

Top Canadian Dividend Stocks to Buy on a Pullback

If you want to maximize your dividend yield and total returns, you need to be tactical. Here are two top…

Read more »