Down 12% Over the Past Year, Is it Time to Buy Kinaxis Stock?

Here’s why Kinaxis (TSX:KXS) stock is starting to look like a screaming buy, no matter what the naysayers in the market think right now.

| More on:
Key Points
  • Kinaxis reported strong Q4 2025 results with a revenue increase of 16% year-over-year, driven by a nearly 20% surge in SaaS revenue to $97.2 million, surpassing expectations.
  • With robust fundamentals, strategic AI integrations, and a compelling valuation, Kinaxis positions itself as a promising growth stock for 2026 amid broader market volatility.

It’s been a relative bloodbath for many technology stocks, and in particular, those in the software space. Indeed, looking at the stock chart for Kinaxis (TSX:KXS) below, one may be thinking twice about whether now is the right time to invest in this growth stock.

Now, I think the supply chain software giant’s recent performance may be a little more robust than the chart above suggests. Let’s dive into why Kinaxis could be a top-shelf opportunity for investors seeking growth at a reasonable price right now.

Concept of big data flow, analysis, and visualizing complex information for artificial intelligence

Source: Getty Images

Solid fundamental momentum

I’m a fundamentals-first investor, and pay closest attention to the numbers that any of the companies I closely follow report on a quarterly basis. On that front, a lot appears to be going right for Kinaxis right now.

Kinaxis just posted blockbuster Q4 2025 results that should have investors cheering. Total revenue hit $144.2 million, up 16% year over year. That impressive number was driven by Kinaxis’s Software as a Service (SaaS) revenue, which I’d argue is the real growth engine of the company, which surged nearly 20% to $97.2 million, blowing past initial guidance.

Importantly, Kinaxis’s full-year 2025 revenue reached $548 million (13% growth), and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) climbed 30% to $138.4 million at a stellar 25% margin, hitting mid-term targets a year early. Annual recurring revenue accelerated to 20% growth, with $73 million in net additions. These numbers were all fueled by a land-and-expand model where expansions made up 53% of new business.

This isn’t fluke growth. Remaining performance obligations stand at $971 million, up smartly, giving crystal-clear visibility into future cash flows from sticky, multi-year enterprise contracts. Free cash flow margins are pushing near 20%, proving Kinaxis grows revenue and prints cash in an asset-light SaaS world.

Artificial intelligence and supply chain moats

While so much of the concern for investors right now centres on the impact artificial intelligence (AI) technology could have on software companies (mostly in a negative sense), I think there’s a broader thesis here to explore.

In a world of trade wars, disruptions, and volatile demand (think tariffs under President Trump) Kinaxis’s RapidResponse platform is mission-critical. It’s the niche leader in AI-driven supply chain orchestration, helping giants like Ford and Unilever make faster, smarter decisions. The new Maestro Agent Studio launch is a game-changer, embedding agentic AI for bespoke scenarios, and it’s already driving over 50% of new business from applications and expansions.

For those bullish on the growth of AI, and in particular companies that can integrate AI well into their current offerings, Kinaxis stands out to me as a no-brainer pick right now.

Bottom line: This is a stock with a valuation that makes sense

This recent 12% pullback investors have seen in Kinaxis has led to a much more palatable valuation multiple, despite the company’s premium growth prospects. Now trading around 22 times forward earnings, there are a few reasons why any investor can’t consider adding some exposure to this top blue-chip Canadian growth stock right now.

Maybe I’m wrong, but I think Kinaxis could be among the best-performing Canadian names in 2026.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Kinaxis. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Tech Stocks

man in bowtie poses with abacus
Dividend Stocks

What the Average Canadian TFSA Looks Like at Age 50

See what the average Canadian TFSA looks like at age 50 and how CNR, Constellation Software, and VFV could support…

Read more »

Senior uses a laptop computer
Dividend Stocks

A Canadian Dividend Stock Down 35% to Buy and Hold for Retirement

Rogers’ 13% dip has pushed its yield above 4%, and management expects a big jump in free cash flow.

Read more »

A patient takes medicine out of a daily pill box.
Tech Stocks

1 Undervalued Canadian Stock to Buy and Hold Forever

This small-cap healthcare software stock keeps winning long-term contracts and just got a governance stamp of approval.

Read more »

crisis concept, falling stairs
Tech Stocks

1 Canadian Stock Down 45% I’d Buy and Hold Now

Constellation Software’s 45% plunge looks scary, but its revenue and cash flow are still growing fast.

Read more »

The TFSA is a powerful savings vehicle for Canadians who are saving for retirement.
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Stocks Well-Suited for a Long-Term Buy-and-Hold TFSA

A simple TFSA mix of Shopify, CN Rail, and Royal Bank aims to compound for decades while keeping every gain…

Read more »

Women's fashion boutique Aritzia is a top stock to buy in September 2022.
Tech Stocks

What Are the Best High-Growth Canadian Stocks to Buy Now?

Three Canadian growth stocks look compelling, but they’re priced for success, so gradual buying and position sizing matter.

Read more »

Couple working on laptops at home and fist bumping
Tech Stocks

How Much Canadians Usually Have in an RRSP by Age 45

See how your RRSP compares at age 45, and why a growth stock like CGI, powered by Q2 earnings, could…

Read more »

Digital background depicting innovative technologies in quantum computing, (AI) artificial systems, neural interfaces and internet machine learning technologies
Tech Stocks

1 Impressive Quantum Computing ETF I’m Strongly Considering Right Now

Quantum computing could be the future of technology, but it's too early to pick winners.

Read more »