The Canadian Companies Thriving Despite Trade Tensions

Trade tensions are hitting many Canadian stocks hard. CES Energy Solutions and MDA Space are proving to be two rare exceptions.

| More on:
Key Points
  • CES Energy Solutions generates most of its revenue directly inside the U.S. through a local supply chain, which shields it from tariff friction while still delivering record revenue and rising free cash flow.
  • MDA Space serves governments and defense agencies whose spending tends to increase during periods of geopolitical tension, backed by a $3.7 billion backlog and a $40 billion pipeline.
  • Both companies posted stellar Q1 results, and management at each company expressed confidence heading into the rest of the year.

Tariff headlines have made many Canadian investors nervous this year, given that cross-border trade friction tends to squeeze margins, slow down orders, and add uncertainty to earnings.

However, two top Canadian stocks, CES Energy Solutions (TSX: CEU) and MDA Space (TSX: MDA), recently posted stellar quarterly results, suggesting they are built differently.

The business models of the two companies allow them to sidestep trade-war-related headwinds. Let’s see why.

space ship model takes off

Source: Getty Images

Is this Canadian dividend stock a good buy?

CES Energy provides chemical solutions used across the oil and gas industry to optimize well performance and protect infrastructure. Though it is headquartered in Canada, most of its money is made south of the border.

During the company’s first quarter 2026 earnings call, president and CEO Kenneth Zinger said that 64% of revenue was generated in the United States, with the remaining 36% originating from Canada. Both countries posted record quarterly revenue simultaneously, a rare combination in this industry.

The reason tariffs are not a major issue for CES comes down to how the business is set up. The company runs its U.S. operations natively, with local blending plants, distribution facilities, and a flexible supply chain built inside American shale basins.

Zinger noted that CES now holds a market share of 29.9% of active land rigs across North America, describing it as the company’s highest ever. In the Permian Basin, the company’s rig count climbed from 87 to 98 rigs since March, pushing its market share in the region to 48.6%, also a record for the company.

Chief financial officer Anthony Aulicino added that Q1 revenue rose 8% year over year to $681.5 million, while adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization) rose 12% to $111.7 million. It ended Q1 with free cash flow of $33 million, while the total debt-to-EBITDA ratio was a comfortable 1.2 times.

CES raised its dividend by 29% and repurchased 1.3 million shares in Q1. It has estimated capital expenditures to total $95 million in 2026. CES Energy is a dividend stock that looks like one of the more insulated ways to play North American energy services right now.

Its U.S. footprint behaves like a domestic business, its balance sheet is conservative, and management keeps returning cash to shareholders.

The bull case for this Canadian stock

MDA Space, the company behind the iconic Canadarm, builds satellite systems, robotics, and geo-intelligence technology. Its customers are mostly sovereign governments and large aerospace organizations, a client base that tends to increase spending when geopolitical tensions rise.

CEO Mike Greenley told investors on the company’s earnings call that revenue grew 32% year over year to $464 million in the first quarter, with adjusted EBITDA up 32%, reaching $91 million. The company also completed a U.S. IPO in the quarter, adding $544 million of cash to the balance sheet.

MDA entered the quarter with a $3.7 billion order backlog and pointed to a much larger $40 billion opportunity pipeline, including $10 billion of follow-on work with existing government customers.

Greenley explained that rising interest in sovereign defence and space control, including the company’s new MDA MIDNIGHT platform, is driving fresh conversations with military customers around the world.

Chief financial officer Guillaume Lavoie reaffirmed full-year 2026 guidance of $1.7 billion to $1.9 billion in revenue and adjusted EBITDA of $320 million to $370 million, saying the quarter puts the company on track without needing to raise the outlook yet.

MDA’s backlog provides multi-year revenue visibility insulated from trade disputes. I see MDA stock as a strong defensive growth pick for investors who want exposure to the accelerating global space and defence buildout.

Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Ces Energy Solutions and MDA Space. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Dividend Stocks

people apply for loan
Dividend Stocks

This Canadian Stock Could Be a Millionaire-Maker Without Becoming the Next Shopify

A million-dollar portfolio doesn’t require finding the next Shopify if you invest consistently and own profitable compounders like CGI.

Read more »

Silver coins fall into a piggy bank.
Dividend Stocks

The Top Canadian Dividend Stock I’d Trust for My Nest Egg

Understand why dividend stocks are essential for a reliable investment portfolio in today's unpredictable financial landscape.

Read more »

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

$7,000 a Year Could Grow Past $500,000: The Hard Part Is Starting Early Enough

Half a million dollars doesn’t require a miracle stock, it mostly requires starting early enough for compounding to do the…

Read more »

pregnant mother juggles work and childcare
Dividend Stocks

Furniture Just Got a Lot More Expensive in Canada: Is Leon’s Stock a Winner or a Loser?

Leon's Furniture's roughly 3.9% dividend yield and discount to the analyst consensus price target could make it an attractive recovery…

Read more »

alcohol
Dividend Stocks

This Stock Could Be a Retirement Game-Changer

This Canadian retirement stock combines strong recent gains, growing financial businesses, and reliable quarterly dividends.

Read more »

man touches brain to show a good idea
Dividend Stocks

Exporters (Including Canadian National Railway) Face New Tariff Risk This Week: What Investors Need to Know

Canadian National Railway faces fresh tariff-related uncertainty as Canada-U.S. trade tensions escalate, but its strong earnings, cash flow, and growth…

Read more »

u.s. government spending
Dividend Stocks

U.S.-Canada Trade Talks Have Collapsed: Should You Sell Your Exporter Stocks?

U.S.-Canada trade tensions are heating up, but investors may want to look beyond the tariff noise before dumping these two…

Read more »

crisis concept, falling stairs
Dividend Stocks

Down 13% From its All-Time High: Is This High-Yield Dividend Stock a Buy Right Now?

This top energy infrastructure player has attractive growth potential, but faces some near-term headwinds.

Read more »