Down 60%, This Dividend Stock Is Worth a Closer Look

The ugly slide in Allied Properties REIT shares means its yield is about 8%, but the real bet is whether its office turnaround sticks.

| More on:
Key Points
  • Allied cut its distribution to conserve cash and is raising equity to pay down debt.
  • Leasing improved in late 2025, and sublease space fell, hinting conditions are stabilizing.
  • The units are still a high-risk office recovery play, despite the tempting 8% yield.

Buying a monthly dividend stock when it is down can be a smart move for one simple reason: you get paid to wait. A lower share price can lift the yield, give you more upside if the business stabilizes, and make monthly cash flow feel even more useful. Of course, that only works when the payout still looks supportable and the assets underneath the stock still matter. That is the real test. When those boxes are checked, a beaten-down monthly payer can start looking a lot more attractive than scary.

workers walk through an office building

Source: Getty Images

Allied Properties REIT: Urban Office at a Distressed Price

Allied Properties REIT (TSX: AP.UN) is one of the more interesting — and more debated — situations on the TSX right now. It owns distinctive urban office and workspace properties in major Canadian cities, with well-known downtown assets aimed at knowledge-based tenants. That has long given Allied a premium reputation in the office REIT space.

Over the last year, the story has clearly shifted from easy growth to repair work, and investors need to go in with eyes open about how significant that repair job is. Allied cut its monthly distribution in December, lowering it to $0.06 per unit per month, or $0.72 annualized — a 60% reduction. Then in February 2026, it raised $560 million in equity: $400 million through a public offering (which exceeded the original $350 million target) and $160 million in a concurrent private placement to AIMCo. That offering was issued at $10 per unit — above where the stock now trades — and was highly dilutive, adding 40 million new units to the share count. Proceeds went primarily to repay a $600 million debenture that had come due.

There was also a leadership transition: founder Michael Emory is departing as executive chair in spring 2026 after stepping down from the CEO role in 2023, when current leader Cecilia Williams took over. That marks a genuine changing of the guard at a critical moment for the trust.

There were some better operating signs beneath the uglier headlines. Allied said second-half 2025 leasing activity was its strongest second half since 2020, with total leasing up 16% year over year. At year-end, occupied area was 85.3% and leased area was 87.4%, while sublease space dropped sharply to 2.6% of gross leasable area from 5.7% a year earlier. Demand is not roaring back, but conditions are not standing still, either.

The Earnings and the Plan

The 2025 earnings were messy. Rental revenue held roughly steady at about $592 million, but operating income slipped and Allied recorded a $128 million expected credit loss tied to two remaining loans receivable, alongside a massive $1.4 billion IFRS valuation adjustment as higher cap rates and slower leasing weighed on property values — producing a net loss exceeding $1.3 billion for the year.

The more encouraging part is that management has an explicit plan. Allied is targeting around $500 million of non-core property sales in 2026, with $29 million already closed in Q1 and another $17 million under firm agreement. The remaining disposition pipeline of approximately $454 million includes two substantial rental-residential assets. Management guided for 2026 FFO of $185 million to $200 million and expects net debt to EBITDA to land in the mid-11 times range by year-end, with further improvement beyond that and an occupancy target of 88% to 90% by 2028.

It is worth noting that analyst sentiment has cooled significantly. Desjardins downgraded to Sell and TD Cowen moved to Hold following the equity offering. The consensus is cautious, with the average 12-month price target around $9.88.

Valuation

Valuation is where the case gets interesting, but it requires patience and risk tolerance. Allied recently traded around $9.10, versus a 52-week high of $22.27, down about 60%. At the new annualized distribution of $0.72, the forward yield is approximately 7.9%. That is still a meaningful monthly payout with a lower coverage burden than before. For now, here is what $7,000 could generate:

COMPANYRECENT PRICENUMBER OF SHARES YOU COULD BY WITH $7,000ANNUAL DIVIDENDTOTAL ANNUAL PAYOUT ON A $7,000 INVESTMENTPAYOUT FREQUENCY
AP.UN$9.10769$0.72$553.68Monthly

Bottom line

Allied is not a low-risk “forever stock” right now. It is a recovery story with a monthly distribution attached. But that can still make it worth holding indefinitely — for the right investor. The units are down hard, the yield is still solid, and management is finally taking decisive steps to strengthen the business. Sometimes the best long-term buys are not the prettiest ones. They are the ones that survive the ugly stretch and come out leaner on the other side.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Dividend Stocks

Concept of rent, search, purchase real estate, REIT
Dividend Stocks

2 TSX Stocks That Look Strong Even if Consumers Pull Back

When consumers tighten budgets, staples and housing-linked cash flow can hold up better than discretionary spending.

Read more »

Pile of Canadian dollar bills in various denominations
Dividend Stocks

A TFSA Pick Yielding 5% With Dependable Cash Payments

A TFSA pick yielding over 5% can offer dependable cash payments, and Enbridge stands out as a top option for…

Read more »

diversification is an important part of building a stable portfolio
Dividend Stocks

A Smart TFSA Portfolio for 2026: 3 Stocks I’d Buy Now

Here are three high-quality TSX stocks that you can buy and hold in a TFSA for massive long-term returns.

Read more »

stocks climbing green bull market
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Stocks That Could Turn Volatility Into Opportunity

Volatility can create opportunities, but these three TSX names each bring a different kind of “real-world” support: hard assets, essential…

Read more »

woman considering the future
Dividend Stocks

2 Canadian Dividend Giants Worth Considering While Interest Rates Stay Flat

Given their solid underlying businesses, resilient cash flows, and strong long-term growth prospects, these two Canadian dividend stocks look like…

Read more »

House models and one with REIT real estate investment trust.
Dividend Stocks

A 5% Dividend Stock That Pays Monthly Cash

Looking for dependable passive income? This dependable Canadian REIT pays investors every single month.

Read more »

ETF stands for Exchange Traded Fund
Dividend Stocks

A High-Yield Income ETF Yielding 10% That Probably Belongs in Your Portfolio

Hamilton Enhanced Canadian Covered Call ETF (TSX:HDIV) is a risk-on yield booster fit for investors willing to take on a…

Read more »

monthly calendar with clock
Dividend Stocks

A Consistent Monthly Payer With a Modest 4.1% Dividend Yield

This Canadian monthly payer combines reliable income with impressive financial momentum.

Read more »