The Bank of Canada Speaks Up Again: Here’s What to Buy for a TFSA Now

With rates steady, a balanced TFSA can blend dependable income, a discounted yield opportunity, and long-run growth.

| More on:
Key Points
  • TD offers bank stability and shareholder returns potential once its U.S. remediation and reset phase eases.
  • BCE is a contrarian income pick after its dividend cut, but the turnaround depends on cash flow and deleveraging.
  • MDA Space adds higher-growth upside backed by a huge backlog, though valuation leaves less room for disappointment.

The Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% on March 18 — the second hold of 2026 — with Governor Tiff Macklem flagging that the economy continues to face heightened uncertainty from U.S. trade policy and geopolitical risks and that the war in Iran has now added a new layer of volatility.

Canada’s picture is genuinely complicated. Inflation eased to 1.8% in February, core measures are close to 2%, and the economy is expanding again, but at a slower pace than had been forecast in January, with the labour market soft and exports showing ongoing weakness.

Macklem was blunt about the dilemma: raising rates to slow inflation risks further weakening the economy, while easing to support growth risks pushing inflation above target.

For TFSA investors, that backdrop is actually useful information. It means the bank is on hold, rates are not heading sharply higher, and the economy is grinding forward rather than collapsing. That is a reasonable environment for investors to consider a mix of income, resilience, and growth — rather than chasing a single narrow theme. A dependable bank, a discounted income name, and a long-term growth story look like the right ingredients right now.

Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem

Toronto-Dominion Bank

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX: TD) is an easy place to start. It’s one of Canada’s largest banks, with retail banking, wealth management, insurance, and capital markets operations on both sides of the border. Over the last year, the big story has been cleanup and reset. Raymond Chun took over as CEO, TD kept working through its U.S. anti-money-laundering remediation, and it sold its Charles Schwab stake to free up capital for buybacks and business investment.

The numbers came in strong. TD reported first-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings of $4.2 billion, or $2.44 per share — a record, beating analyst estimates of $2.26 and up 20% from the same period last year. The bank also launched a new CA$7 billion share buyback program. At a recent price near $128.66, the quarterly dividend of CA$1.08 — or CA$4.32 annualized — puts the yield around 3.4%, with the next ex-dividend date on April 9. For a TFSA, TD fits because it offers a dependable dividend, financial strength, and room for capital returns as the reset phase fades.

BCE

BCE (TSX: BCE) is a very different idea. It’s Canada’s largest communications company, offering wireless, internet, and communications services that people keep paying for. The last year has been rough, with slower growth, pressure in legacy media, and the need to keep its balance sheet under control. It reset investor expectations by cutting its common share dividend to $0.4375 quarterly, which was painful in the moment but arguably necessary.

[Related: What’s going on with BCE’s dividend?]

Its latest results show why investors are still debating it. BCE reported fourth-quarter 2025 operating revenue of $6.4 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $2.67 billion, and adjusted EPS of $0.69. For 2026, management is targeting free cash flow growth of 4% to 10%, with annualized common dividends now at $1.75 per share. At a recent price near $35.09, the yield sits around 5% — a reasonable income yield from a business with deleveraging momentum and a more sustainable payout structure. This is not a fast grower, and that is the risk. But in a TFSA, BCE can work as a patient income investment as long as management keeps executing.

MDA

MDA Space (TSX: MDA) is the growth engine of this group. It’s a Canadian space technology company with exposure to satellites, robotics, and geo-intelligence, aka the kind of stock that belongs in a TFSA for a very different reason than TD or BCE.

The earnings have been impressive. MDA reported record 2025 revenue of $1.633 billion, up 51%, record adjusted EBITDA of $324 million, up 49%, and fourth-quarter adjusted diluted EPS of $0.45, up 60.7%. It ended the year with a $4 billion backlog and guided for 2026 revenue of $1.7 billion to $1.9 billion.

Earlier this month, MDA completed a US$300 million IPO on the NYSE, broadening its investor base and raising capital to accelerate growth. And the company launched 49North, a new wholly-owned subsidiary focused on delivering defence capabilities for Canada that’s directly aligned with the government spending tailwind. At a recent price near $34, MDA has risen significantly from its 52-week low of $20.85, so the entry point matters. But for a long-term TFSA investor, the combination of a record backlog, a new U.S. listing, and an expanding defence arm makes MDA one of the more compelling Canadian growth stories right now, and one that I think is worth paying up for.

Bottom line

Put the three together and the TFSA idea gets compelling. TD brings stability and dependable income from one of Canada’s best-run banks. BCE brings contrarian income with a recovery thesis and a more sustainable dividend structure. MDA brings a growth runway backed by a record backlog, a new NYSE listing, and expanding defence exposure.

Here’s what kind of income investors could earn from $7,000 each in TD and BCE:

COMPANYRECENT PRICENUMBER OF SHARES YOU COULD BUY WITH $7,000ANNUAL DIVIDENDTOTAL ANNUAL PAYOUT ON A $7,000 INVESTMENTPAYOUT FREQUENCY
TD$126.8755$4.32$237.60Quarterly
BCE$35.06199$1.75$348.25Quarterly

With the Bank of Canada signalling a slower but steady backdrop, I would not try to be too clever. I would build around quality, value, and growth together, then let the TFSA do what it does best: compound quietly in the background.

More on Dividend Stocks

staying calm in uncertain times and volatility
Dividend Stocks

1 Top Dividend Stock to Buy and Hold for 10 Years

A dividend stock with stable earnings and growing dividends is a top buy-and-hold candidate for long-term investors.

Read more »

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

Here’s How to Turn $25,000 Into TFSA Cash Flow

Got $25,000 in your TFSA? Here's how investing in Enbridge stock at a 5.2% yield can turn that lump sum…

Read more »

woman considering the future
Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks Worth Doubling Down on Right Now

With a clear growth strategy and consistent execution, these three Canadian dividend stocks continue to build momentum.

Read more »

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

My 3 Favourite Stocks for Monthly Passive Income

Do you want to get a monthly passive-income boost? Check out these three dividend stocks with growing businesses and rising…

Read more »

diversification is an important part of building a stable portfolio
Dividend Stocks

A Consistent Monthly Payer With a Modest 2.5% Dividend Yield

Bird Construction pays a monthly dividend and just posted record backlog of $11 billion. Here's why income investors should take…

Read more »

man in bowtie poses with abacus
Dividend Stocks

Here’s What Average 25-Year-Olds Have in a TFSA and RRSP Account

At 25, you don’t need a huge TFSA or RRSP balance to get ahead, you just need to start.

Read more »

ETFs can contain investments such as stocks
Dividend Stocks

Want Decades of Passive Income? Buy This Index Fund and Hold it Forever

This $3.5 billion exchange traded fund (ETF) paying monthly dividends is designed to be a "set-and-forget" cornerstone of your retirement.

Read more »

workers walk through an office building
Dividend Stocks

Down 60%, This Dividend Stock Is Worth a Closer Look

The ugly slide in Allied Properties REIT shares means its yield is about 8%, but the real bet is whether…

Read more »