The Economy Is Slowing: 2 TSX Stocks I’d Still Buy Today

When the economy slows, these two TSX stocks keep selling for very different reasons: groceries and space.

| More on:
Key Points
  • Loblaw stays resilient because Canadians still buy food and prescriptions, even when they trade down.
  • Its Q1 2026 results showed steady growth, but valuation and regulatory pressure could weigh on the stock.
  • MDA Space offers higher-upside growth with a huge backlog, but any program delays could hit shares hard.

Slowdowns test conviction. When the economy loses speed, investors often rush toward the obvious safe havens. Banks, utilities, and telecom stocks usually get first look. That makes sense, but a slowing economy doesn’t mean every growth stock suddenly becomes too risky, or every defensive stock becomes too expensive. Sometimes, the best ideas sit in companies that can keep selling because demand doesn’t disappear when consumers grow cautious.

That’s why Loblaw (TSX: L) and MDA Space (TSX: MDA) look interesting today. One sells essentials Canadians buy every week. The other builds space systems tied to long-term government, defence, and communications demand. They come from very different corners of the TSX, but both offer something useful when growth slows: a reason for revenue to keep moving.

A worker gives a business presentation.

Source: Getty Images

L

Loblaw looks like the steadier pick. The company owns grocery, pharmacy, discount, and financial services banners, including Loblaws, No Frills, Real Canadian Superstore, Shoppers Drug Mart, and PC Financial. That gives it a powerful place in Canadian household budgets. People may trade down when money feels tight, but they still need food, prescriptions, and basic household goods.

That trade-down trend can actually help Loblaw. Discount banners such as No Frills and Maxi can attract shoppers trying to stretch each dollar. Meanwhile, Shoppers Drug Mart gives the company exposure to pharmacy and health products, which can hold up better than discretionary categories during a slowdown.

The latest quarter showed that resilience. In the first quarter of 2026, Loblaw reported revenue growth of 4.2%. Adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) rose 10.6%. Same-store sales climbed 2.4% in food retail and 4.1% in drug retail. That’s not explosive growth, but it’s exactly the kind of steady performance investors often want when the broader economy looks shaky.

Loblaw also continues to return cash to shareholders. Its dividend yield sits near 1%, so this isn’t a high-income story. The real appeal comes from earnings growth, scale, and consistency. The stock has already done well, so valuation risk matters. If shoppers push back against prices or regulators keep pressure on grocers, sentiment could weaken. Still, Loblaw remains one of the clearest defensive growth stocks on the TSX.

MDA

MDA stock brings more upside and more volatility. The company provides satellite systems, robotics, space sensors, and mission solutions. It’s not a consumer stock, which makes it useful in a slowdown. Its demand comes from governments, space agencies, defence customers, and commercial satellite operators. Those budgets don’t move in perfect sync with Canadian retail sales or housing activity.

That’s especially relevant now as space has become more than a moonshot theme. Countries want better surveillance, communications, navigation, and defence capabilities. Companies want satellite connectivity and data. MDA stock sits right in that mix, with a Canadian identity and global customer base.

Its first-quarter 2026 results were strong. Revenue rose 32% year over year to $464 million. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) climbed 32.1% to $90.6 million, and MDA stock ended the quarter with a $3.7 billion backlog. That backlog gives investors visibility, which matters when the economy slows and confidence becomes scarce.

The risk, of course, is price. MDA stock surged over the last year, and its valuation now reflects big expectations. Any delay in major programs, margin pressure, or contract disappointment could hit the stock hard. This is not a sleepy defensive name, so investors need patience and a strong stomach.

Bottom line

That balance helps. One stock can calm a portfolio when consumers pull back. The other can add growth when markets start rewarding companies again with large backlogs and specialized technology over time.

Even so, Loblaw and MDA stock both offer something worth owning. Loblaw brings essential spending and stability, MDA stock brings structural growth tied to space and defence. If the economy keeps slowing, investors don’t need to hide completely. They just need companies with demand strong enough to keep working through the cycle.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends MDA Space. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Tech Stocks

space ship model takes off
Tech Stocks

This Canadian Growth Stock Isn’t Cheap: I’d Still Buy It Before the Next Jump

MDA Space looks pricey, but its surging revenue, massive backlog, and defence-driven contract wins could help earnings grow into today’s…

Read more »

Canada Day fireworks over two Adirondack chairs on the wooden dock in Ontario, Canada
Tech Stocks

1 Magnificent TSX Stock Down 33% to Buy and Hold Forever

Constellation Software stock has fallen sharply, but strong cash flow, revenue growth, and continued acquisitions could make this TSX tech…

Read more »

A microchip in a circuit board powers artificial intelligence.
Tech Stocks

Forget the Hype: These 2 Canadian AI Stocks Are Already Profitable

Two Canadian AI stocks are posting real profits and have raised guidance. Here's why Kinaxis and Celestica deserve a closer…

Read more »

abstract visualization of digital data processing
Tech Stocks

This Stock Has Already Rallied: Here’s Why the Best Gains May Still Be Ahead

A stock that has already doubled can still be a great buy if the business is growing fast enough to…

Read more »

chart reflected in eyeglass lenses
Tech Stocks

2 Undervalued Canadian Stocks Set for Massive Gains

With healthy financials, strong growth prospects, and discounted valuations, these two undervalued Canadian stocks offer attractive buying opportunities.

Read more »

young adult uses credit card to shop online
Tech Stocks

2 Canadian AI Stocks Worth Buying in September

Shopify Inc (TSX:SHOP) is profitable and has positive free cash flow (FCF).

Read more »

man touches brain to show a good idea
Tech Stocks

The 1 Number Telling Investors This Selloff May Be Nearly Over

MDA Space is down sharply from its high, but its latest results suggest demand is accelerating, not fading.

Read more »

Illustration of data, cloud computing and microchips
Tech Stocks

Kinaxis’s Niche AI Strategy Is Paying Off

Kinaxis (TSX:KXS) is turning specialized supply chain AI into stronger recurring revenue, new customer wins, and a strong long-term growth…

Read more »