A Canadian Dividend Pick Down 13%: A Forever Hold

With the possibility of a strong rebound, this battered and bruised TSX energy stock might be an excellent pick to consider right now.

| More on:
Key Points
  • 2026 volatility has driven sharp pullbacks—stocks down >13% can look unattractive but may present bargains if fundamentals remain solid.
  • Geopolitical oil‑price swings have hit the energy sector, yet integrated majors like Suncor (TSX:SU), trading at $83.82 and ~13% below its 52‑week high, still produce strong cash flow and could be a buying opportunity.
  • Weigh Suncor’s integrated business advantages against the risks of declining demand and volatile crude prices—only consider it if you can tolerate energy‑sector swings.

If you see that a stock has pulled back by over 13% in just a few days, even the best dividend stock might look like something you want to avoid owning. After all, nobody will keep holding onto shares of a stock they have invested in without wondering why share prices pulled back or if they should consider reallocating their funds to other investments.

Savvier investors try to determine why share prices fell to see whether the dividends will remain sustainable, and if it means they are getting a bargain by investing in the stock. This analysis helps seasoned investors avoid sinking money into an already sinking ship. 2026 has seen plenty of fluctuation in the energy sector since the US and Israel began a war with Iran in the Middle East and the latter closed the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint through which a fifth of the global crude transits.

Any development in the situation can send crude prices soaring or return them to more reasonable levels.

a person watches a downward arrow crash through the floor

Source: Getty Images

The risk in investing in energy stocks

When geopolitical factors beyond the industry’s control impact commodity prices, things can get interesting. Investing in energy stocks can seem appealing when crude prices rise. However, softening prices can lead to significant downturns in share prices. Fortunately, most blue-chip stocks in the Canadian energy sector pay dividends that can at least offset some of the losses.

Amid the ongoing crisis in the Middle East and confusing situation with supposed peace deals, the market is quite messy. Oil prices swing on demand, supply disruptions, geopolitics, and various other reasons, often within the space of a single day.

In a situation like this, why should anyone that is sound of mind invest in Canadian oil stocks?

The key factor here is quality. No company has the ability to consistently profit and soar on the stock market. Factors out of the industry’s control will always impact the cyclical market. This is where investing in high-quality stocks that are well-capitalized enough to navigate rough patches and emerge stronger on the other side comes in. In my books, Suncor Energy Inc. (TSX:SU) is one such energy stock.

Foolish takeaway

Suncor is one of the largest integrated energy companies in Canada. The giant in the oil and gas sector has a hand in every stage of the energy industry’s cycle, from production to selling it through Petro-Canada. The integrated business model gives Suncor more opportunities to profit than pure-play energy producers. Lower crude prices mean that it enjoys better margins in retail and refining operations. Higher prices mean its upstream operations are more profitable.

As of this writing, Suncor stock trades for $83.82 per share, and it is down by around 13% from its 52-week high. The downturn, despite the business generating significant cash flow, indicates that it might be a bargain at current levels.

Declining demand, decreased margins, and lower crude prices can put the firm’s cash flow under pressure. If you have the stomach to tolerate the risks tied to the fluctuations in energy prices, Suncor can be a good investment to consider.

Fool contributor Adam Othman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Energy Stocks

engineer at wind farm
Energy Stocks

How Many Canadians Actually Hit That $109,000 TFSA Milestone?

By building a portfolio of high-quality TSX stocks, you can set yourself up to cover the gap between your actual…

Read more »

electrical cord plugs into wall socket for more energy
Dividend Stocks

1 Dividend Stock That’s Been Quietly but Constantly Raising Its Dividend

Fortis (TSX:FTS) has been quietly raising its dividend for 52 years.

Read more »

senior man and woman stretch their legs on yoga mats outside
Energy Stocks

2 Dividend Stocks to Buy for Lifetime Income

Two Canadian dividend growers with decades of payout increases can be a simple foundation for lifetime passive income.

Read more »

nuclear power plant
Energy Stocks

A Canadian Company Set to Make a Fortune From the $650 Billion Data Centre Buildout

Tech giants need nuclear power to run their AI data centres. This Canadian uranium miner could be one of the…

Read more »

Woman running in front of pack in marathon
Energy Stocks

The Best High-Yield Dividend Stock to Buy Right Now for Unbeatable Income

An outperforming high-yield dividend stock is a strong buy candidate right now for investors seeking outsized income.

Read more »

dividend growth for passive income
Energy Stocks

2 Dividend Stocks to Buy if You Want Income and Growth

TC Energy (TSX:TRP) and another dividend star worth buying up here.

Read more »

woman stares at chocolate layer cake
Energy Stocks

The Average TFSA and RRSP for a 45-Year-Old Canadian

Canadians at age 45 have significant headroom in their TFSA and RRSP to build retirement wealth on a 20-year runway.

Read more »

monthly calendar with clock
Energy Stocks

A 6% Dividend Stock Paying Out Monthly

Here's why you should consider Peyto Exploration and Development as your high-yield monthly dividend payor.

Read more »