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Here are five Foolish stocks we think are smart buys today and will shine into the future.

Oil is in the name, but Tourmaline Oil (TSX:TOU) is much more about natural gas and natural gas liquids. So it doesn’t always quite move in sync with its oilier peers in the energy patch, and it is more tied to the swings of the natural gas market.

Natural gas is currently in the doldrums, and Tourmaline is particularly out of favour with investors because of the production expansion plan it recently announced to take advantage of export opportunities on the West Coast. It is an expensive plan, but Tourmaline, which has a sparkling balance sheet, can afford it, and the long-term benefits look worth the cost and effort.

Tourmaline’s plan calls for its production to increase to 850,000 BOEPD (barrels of oil equivalent per day) by 2031 from its current production level of 640,000. The cost of the expansion is capital expenditures of $2.6 to $2.9 billion per year from now through 2031. When complete, maintenance capital expenditures are expected to be roughly $2.5 billion annually.

Free cash flow under the expansion program is expected to also increase from $755 million this year to nearly $3 billion by 2031. Under the expansion program, its debt would decrease from $2.1 billion at year end 2025 and become a $5.9 billion cash surplus at the end. Of course, that assumes no special dividends, which seems unlikely given the company currently has a long history of paying special dividends and just $1.6 billion of debt today.

Here’s the best part: All these assumptions are based on current strip pricing through 2026 and then US$3 AECO natural gas pricing and $65 oil from there forward. In other words, there’s no assumption that pricing will improve in the next five years or beyond.

I think that’s a conservative plan. I think that’s also exactly how a five-year plan should be built. Recent history says that there is likely to be a period (or maybe two) of higher pricing, but that the price will likely fall back to this level. So, when looking at the total period and beyond, it seems likely Tourmaline will generate more cash flow at some point. We just don’t know when.

Tourmaline’s current market cap is $22.8 billion, which puts it at nearly 30 times this year’s expected free cash flow, about 14 times its average free cash flow of the last four years, and 7.6 times its projected 2031 free cash flow.

To me, it looks like investors are overweighting the next year or two of results and ignoring that Tourmaline is the gold-star company in the industry and the long-term cash flow generation from the plan. Investors are also seemingly ignoring the possibility of higher energy prices at some undetermined time in the future. I’m more than happy to take the other side of that bet.

The post Just Released: 5 Top Stocks to Buy in August [PREMIUM PICKS] appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

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Fool contributor Buck Hartzell has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Pulse Seismic. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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It used to be that receiving a dividend yield that represented anything near the long-term historical average annual return from investing in stocks was a rare find. If you did find a yield that high, you could be reasonably sure the dividend was at serious risk, and more often than not, you weren’t going to receive that payout for long.

However, there are quite a few examples of yields floating around in the market today in the 6-9% range and, barring some unusual development, are likely to stick around. Some of them might even grow a bit, as I suspect the current 7% yield at this featured stock will.

Foolishly yours,
Nate Parmelee
Senior analyst, Stock Advisor Canada

To be fair, the recent headlines about the communications industry aren’t great. That’s certainly weighing on Telus’s (TSX:T) share price. I also think there is a pretty good argument that, at this point, the sales opportunities for current technologies are close to saturated. But there will be new, faster wireless technology to sell in the future, and Telus generally ranks highly — or at least better than its competitors — on service with competitive pricing. So, this isn’t a business in decline.

Bears will say that Telus’s dividend is unsustainable because it’s so far beyond the company’s net income. This argument doesn’t hold any water for me, though. Dividends are paid with cash flow, and last year’s free cash flow amply covered the dividend. More importantly, capital spending at Telus is in decline now that its fibre network is built, which means higher free cash flow.  

In fact, I suspect Telus will raise its dividend this year. So, that 7% dividend yield that’s on offer now is likely to deliver a higher effective yield on today’s purchase price later this year. That is, of course, assuming the shares are bought while the share price is depressed.

The post Just Released: 5 Top Stocks to Buy in April 2024 [PREMIUM PICKS] appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

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Fool contributor Nate Parmelee has positions in Telus. The Motley Fool recommends Telus. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Meta (Nasdaq:META) stock skyrocketed after its earnings and announcement that it will begin paying a $0.50 dividend.

What’s the future of Facebook’s dividend? Motley Fool Canada analyst Nate Parmelee discusses in this video (transcript below).

Transcript

I’m Motley Fool Canada analyst Nick Sciple, and this is the “5-Minute Major” here to make you a smarter investor in about 5 minutes. Today we’re looking at Meta Platforms‘ (NASDAQ:META) latest earnings report, which shocked the market with a huge beat and a first-ever dividend. My guest today is Dividend Investor Canada lead advisor, Nate Parmelee. Nate, thank you for joining me.

Nate Parmelee: Thanks for having me

Nick Sciple: Great to be here with you, Nate. Meta shares up over 20% intraday in response to this latest earnings report. What were your biggest takeaways from the announcement?

Key takeaways from Meta’s earnings

Nate Parmelee: So two big things stood out to me with the earnings release. The first is just how much of their growth right now is being driven by Chinese e-commerce and advertising that’s going on on Facebook and on their other platforms, probably most recognizable by Temu, which seems to be out there advertising everywhere with all the deals they’re trying to do to get their platform going.

The second thing that stood out to me is the dividend. That’s the thing everybody’s talking about, which which isn’t huge, and they almost never are to start. But anytime you see a company put the dividend out there, it’s usually a commitment to start returning capital to shareholders.

Facebook parent company Meta announces $0.50 dividend

Nick Sciple: That’s right. It’s doing all this while still investing in the metaverse, the next future of computing. So let’s talk about that dividend starting out at $0.50 a quarter. It doesn’t seem that much for a stock that now, after this latest post earnings pop, is over $450 per share, but things can get a lot bigger over time. Nate, you spend a fair bit of your time looking at dividend stocks here at Motley Fool Canada. How do you rate Meta’s chances of becoming the next great dividend stock?

Tech stocks as dividend stocks

Nate Parmelee: You know, it’s interesting because we don’t think of tech stocks, even the ones that pay dividends like Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), as being great dividend payers. But they actually can be. And great dividend growers, which happen to be the best dividend stocks of all — the ones that grow their dividends actually perform the best over the long term. Meta is really set up to be exactly that type of company if they can sustain their ad revenue. They have tons of cash flow. They ooze cash flow from the ad revenue. Their platforms — they have to invest in them regularly — but they pretty much run themselves. There’s lots of scale there, and it’s recurring cash flow. You’ve got a shareholder and a CEO who owns 13.5% of the shares. I’m sure he’d like to take some of that home as an owner as well without paying it out in bonuses and other ways like that. Those are all kind of classic signs you look for in a company that can be a great dividend grower over the long term. So we don’t think of tech stocks that way. But I would say, Meta is set up to be, maybe, like Microsoft, where you see a sub-1% dividend yield. But they’re upping that dividend 8%, 9%, 10%, 12% every single year. And it’s really impressive. As a shareholder, you can look back and buy it at a 1% yield. And then, 8 or 9 years later, all of a sudden, you’re getting a 5%, 6%, 7% yield on your purchase price, and you don’t think about it that way at the outset, when you’re buying the shares you’re not like, “Oh, I’m gonna get a ton of income from this stock.” You’re thinking about the growth. So it’s one of those stocks that can be, I think, really beneficial to people in the long term when they’re looking 5 or 10 years down the road and planning out their portfolio on how they’re going to invest.

Nick Sciple: Yeah, very rare to see a company at the cutting edge of new technology also becoming a potential income investment. Nate, thank you so much for joining me for this addition of the “5-Minute Major,” and we’ll see everybody next time.

Nate Parmelee: See you next time.

The post Hey, Dividend Investors. Meta Stock Has Become Something to Seriously Like. appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

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Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Fool contributor Nate Parmelee has positions in Microsoft. The Motley Fool recommends Apple, Meta Platforms, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Dear Fellow Fools,

We’re in the dog days of summer, and recently the market seems to be in a funk of its own. This isn’t all bad news, because it means we have more attractively priced companies to choose from. Here are three dividend stocks my colleagues and I at Motley Fool Dividend Investor think are tremendous deals today.

Shares of our favourite oil producers have been moving higher with oil prices of late, but Freehold Royalties (TSX: FRU) hasn’t joined in on the action. In short, there are some concerns about production growth within Freehold’s U.S. segment and without production growth — or higher prices — Freehold won’t collect additional royalties.

Things can always change, but oil prices seem largely range-bound at the moment. So, the focus has been on production growth, and while the current drilling activity out there in Freehold’s areas may only support flat production to slight growth, we think focusing too much on this is too short-term of a view.

We much prefer to look at the overall growth potential within Freehold’s areas and management’s track record for growth with the caveat that they can’t fully control pricing or the timing of production. So, what matters more is whether Freehold has assets that should produce healthy cash flows over its lifetime of production.

We think management’s track record here is strong, and at current oil prices and production levels, the dividend is very well supported. So, whether those cash flows grow now or in a year or two isn’t of much consequence when we can pick up a 7.5% dividend yield with the opportunity to capture a capital gain over a few years, too — especially at a time when Freehold is debt-free, which helps protect the dividend and gives the business some flexibility if energy prices do happen to weaken.

The post JUST RELEASED: 3 TSX Dividend Stocks on Sale Now [PREMIUM PICKS] appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

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Fool contributor Nate Parmelee has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Freehold Royalties. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Dear Fellow Fools,

To truly succeed in the stock market, my colleagues and I at Motley Fool Dividend Investor believe you should own at least 15 stocks.

So where should you start?

Our yearly list of “Starter Stocks” is our attempt to answer that.

If you’re new to investing and want to start building wealth in your TFSA, we suggest buying three Starter Stocks that interest you and then purchasing more companies when you’re ready.

You should feel comfortable owning any of our recommended Starter Stocks for the long haul; not only do they have the strength to ride out a wobbly economy, but they’re also built for growth — and of course, plenty of stable dividend income!

Granite REIT (TSX:GRT.UN) is the largest pure-play industrial REIT in the Canadian market. The name may be familiar to some as Granite has been associated with Magna International (TSX:MG) for most of its history. Nearly a decade ago, the entire property portfolio was essentially rented to Magna, but the story has changed quite a bit over the past few years. While Magna provided stable cash flows for the REIT, the single source tenant concentration and lack of growth was rather problematic.

Management decided to pivot a few years ago by aggressively building a ‘light’ industrial portfolio which could benefit from the secular tailwinds associated with e-commerce. This was a wise move, and has been executed quite well by the management team. When we say ‘light’ industrial property, we’re referring to modern warehousing, distribution, and logistics property which has been one of the best performing asset classes within the REIT universe. Demand for this type of industrial property has surged in recent years, outstripping supply in most markets, and leading to consistent appreciation in property value.

Looking ahead, ‘light’ industrial portfolios are positioned very well to drive impressive rent growth while maintaining high occupancy rates. Today, Granite rakes in roughly 70% of its annual rental income from its modern industrial portfolio, while its Magna-centric portfolio contributes roughly 21% of total rental revenue. We expect this trend will continue in the years ahead as it further expands its modern portfolio in Ontario, the U.S., and European markets.

The post 8 Essential Dividend Stocks Every Canadian Should Own in 2023 [PREMIUM PICKS] appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

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Fool contributor Nate Parmelee has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Granite Real Estate Investment Trust and Magna International. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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AbCellera Biologics (NASDAQ:ABCL) develops antibodies to treat infectious diseases. Its AI-powered technology decodes and analyzes antibody responses to engineer new antibody drug candidates for its partners.

After nearly touching $15 last month, AbCellera has declined by 24%, and it’s once again at a price where I feel you’re getting all the potential long-term returns at an attractive price. If you’re looking for why the shares have fallen of late, I think it’s most likely because AbCellera’s sales over the last couple of quarters have been weaker than they were over the previous two quarters.

In my view, the current sales were always gravy and not the real story. These sales come almost entirely —there are some research fees included for hitting milestones — from the sales of two COVID-19 treatments developed in conjunction with Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY); one remains the only approved treatment that is effective against both the current dominant covid strains and past ones.

Our thesis for AbCellera is that these sales are bound to decline over time and are mostly about providing a source of capital to fund the expansion of the business without diluting shareholders. The cash from these sales has actually proven a little more valuable because it has allowed AbCellera to invest in the development of several drug candidates alongside partners with the opportunity to have partial ownership — and a share of the profits — if these drugs get regulatory approval.

The extra cash in the bank has also given AbCellera the financial strength to hold firm on higher royalty rates on the conventional research work done for clients. In short, the long-term benefits of a strong balance sheet have made an already attractive royalty model even more compelling.

The long-term revenue potential continues to get more attractive, too. As of the end of the third quarter, AbCellera had 164 programs under contract with 38 unique clients. That’s 23 more than it had a year ago. During the last quarter, work started on four new programs and all four were for products where AbCellera would get a royalty if the research work leads to commercial treatments. Finally, one more product entered phase one of clinical trials during the quarter, giving AbCellera seven products currently in testing.

If you’re still worried about a dry period before revenue from these new drugs kick in, the company had some good news here, too. While its testing shows the current treatments it developed with Eli Lilly do not work against the two emerging strains of covid, it has identified a modified compound with Eli Lilly that does work. So, there is still a chance that the covid sales stream continues as the rest of the business grows.

With nearly $900 million in cash and no debt, ongoing sales of COVID-19 treatments, better terms getting negotiated on new research contracts, and more candidates entering clinical trials the long-term potential of AbCellera remains very bright.

Nathan Parmelee has positions in AbCellera Biologics. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends AbCellera Biologics.

The post Just Released: The 5 Best Stocks to Buy in December 2022 [PREMIUM PICKS] appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

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Enghouse Systems (TSX:ENGH) provides enterprise software to a variety of industries, including contact centres, video communications and remote work specialists, and the public safety and transit markets.

It’s been one of the best-returning growth stocks to own over the last decade or so, because of its steady cash flow growth. But the share price has been in reverse over the last two years, as acquisitions have slowed to a trickle, and cash flow growth has, too.

I have three reasons why I think the tide is about turn and Enghouse will return to its market-beating ways:

Reason #1: There are more deals to get done.

Higher interest rates have brought valuations down among public tech companies and have done the same in the private market. During Enghouse’s last conference call, CEO Stephen Sadler commented that the acquisition pipeline is full, and valuations continue to get more attractive, as smaller software companies are finding it more difficult to raise cheap capital.

With $230 million in cash and no debt, Enghouse is in a great position to make deals. In truth, management would have liked to have done more deals all along, but valuations were outside of what they were willing to pay, and they’d rather wait than chase returns. So, we’ve seen just $42.1 million spent on acquiring companies over the last two years, which is well below the $146.5 million the company spent over the previous two years.

Reason #2: There’s a return to stronger growth in call centre management.

Management at Enghouse is agnostic when it comes to the cloud. If customers want it, and they can make similar returns, they’re happy to make a cloud offering available. In its call centre business, Enghouse was initially slow to embrace the cloud and lost customers because of it. However, with a cloud offering now up and running, customer retention has returned to normal, and by allowing its implementation partners to sell cloud and on-premises offerings Enghouse is differentiating itself from competitors who won’t work with partners on cloud implementations.

Reason #3: Enghouse has been buying its own stock, which is abnormal.

The last time Enghouse found itself in this position was during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008 and 2009. The repurchases didn’t last long then, and the company was back to making deals in 2010.

Of course, interest rates could tick higher from here, and that might make shares of Enghouse a little cheaper. But that would very likely mean more buybacks at more attractive prices and bring more acquisition targets into its price range, too. From this price, I like the odds of Enghouse shares returning to their market-beating ways and think it’s a great time to buy.

Nathan Parmelee owns shares of Enghouse. The Motley Fool owns shares of Enghouse.

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Nuvei (TSX:NVEI)(NASDAQ:NVEI) stock price fell today over 40% after a critical report on the electronic payment processing company came out from Spruce Point Capital Management.

Gotta admit, I didn’t have this on my calendar for Wednesday, but this is investing sometimes!

So, I have a bit to say on some of the allegations on this report. I’m not here to refute them one by one, because that’s really not possible. It’s just not a constructive use of anyone’s time. That includes Nuvei’s. The best they could do is put out a short statement and pledge to make their reporting more transparent (which is a fair critique in the piece and something most companies should do).

My Thoughts on the Nuvei Spruce Point Report

Overall I find the Spruce Report… wanting. There are numerous allegations laid out, ample use of the word “fraud,” and some law enforcement and regulatory agency names thrown in for good measure, but there’s no specific proof of anything that I’ve found so far.

Yet we have 119 pages (119!!) of very dense text and a twitter account that’s regurgitating open-ended allegations from this report every 10 minutes or so demanding explanations to their open-ended allegations.

I mean, there could be something to some of these allegations, but they couldn’t prove one or really connect the dots on one and put it front and center within their 119 page report?

So, as an investor I look at this and think there could be something in here that’s actually problematic, but the design of it seems more to be to overwhelm with vague negativity.

On the other side I see Fayer with a 19.5% ownership position and two large investors with another 35%. They’re well outside of their lock-up periods and still have these large positions. Their financial motivations are not aligned with what’s in the report.

So, there could be something to this report, but to me it seems unlikely. Not impossible, because nothing is. (I’m a Red Sox fan — it was once said that it is impossible to come back from 3-0 deficit in the playoffs. It’s not and it never was. It’s just unlikely and it still is unlikely in baseball. Hockey is different.

I promised I wouldn’t refute every allegation in this report, but I would like to touch on some of them broadly and briefly.

My Thoughts on Fayer

Are we supposed to care that a guy who likes to fly planes and race cars has a driving record of some sort? Fayer has been an entrepreneur for a couple of decades, should we be surprised there was a failure (paysystems) along the way? There’s a short piece from the Globe & Mail that notes this failure in a short article on Fayer. It’s not an unknown.

And again, he owns 19.5% of the shares.

Nuvei Company Reviews

This is something we spent some time on prior to recommending Nuvei. You can find negative reviews online for *any* payment company. Stripe is a Fintech darling. This site gives it 1.7 stars (out of 5) and has some scathing reviews:

You can find the same for Braintree (a unit of PayPal) and Adyen if you look for it.

In the end we decided there wasn’t much you could make of customer reviews for payment companies. I still think this is the case.

On the other hand, Nuvei gets high marks from employees on Glassdoor. I think Glassdoor is also problematic in some ways and not a perfect tool for investors. Still, I think it tells you a bit more about a company then customer reviews. Companies  inadvertently piss off customers despite their best efforts. Fast growing companies more so. But if their nature is underhanded you’ll generally find it employee reviews, because those aren’t pleasant environments to be in 40 hours/wk.

Payment Industry and Online Gaming

I am by no means a payment industry expert, but I have some history and experience with the industry as an investor and specifically the online betting side of the industry, which had quite the kerfuffle back in 2006 and 2007.

Much of this is dredged up in the report and highlighted as suspicious activity and made to look all the more scandalous because various law enforcement agencies were involved. You’ll notice a lot (maybe all) of these companies were UK plcs and that’s not an accident.

Gambling, online and otherwise, has been legal in the UK for sometime. Back in the early and mid-aughts there were some signs the US might be moving in that direction (to be fair, there were also signs that certain legislators wouldn’t allow it), so some UK companies started setting up payment platforms that allowed US citizens to move money overseas into digital wallets that they could then use for online gambling. Should online gambling then be legalized, they’d be ready to move quickly.

There was no clear legislation here, though the laws against gambling in the US were pretty clear. My read of the situation at the time is that a number of companies took the chance to setup shop and be ready to move fast. The legislation then went the other way and these companies were made examples of. Probably to deter any other companies from attempting something similar.

I don’t remember all the details, but this nascent area of the payments industry essentially imploded overnight. I don’t believe all the players were ready for this and they very well may not have been prepared to shut things down in an instant. There definitely was heat from law enforcement and some arrests of executives — Canadian citizens, even.

So, if anybody worked for one of these companies it’s not going to be hard to dig up negative headlines on the companies from this era. Since a big part of the business blew up overnight it’s not shocking these companies struggled afterwards.

Today, however, things in the US are different. Some states have legalized online gambling and Nuvei does have some big US customers here (Sports Illustrated, BetMGM, etc.). Other states appear to be moving in the same direction.

So, online gambling was a concern for me when we were looking at Nuvei. I still do worry we could see adverse legislation here, but this is more of a residual worry in my mind. This is a case where I think it will be difficult to put the genie back in the bottle.

Nuvei’s Stock Price: Long Term Outlook

In the end I don’t believe the Spruce report is entirely false, but outside of some areas where Nuvei’s disclosures could be improved it doesn’t back up allegations with specific details. In digging into a sampling of them I couldn’t find a smoking gun. I think Nuvei, like many companies, could do better with its disclosures, but this report doesn’t convince me of much else.

The post Special Update: Thoughts on Nuvei and the Spruce Point Report appeared first on The Motley Fool Canada.

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The Motley Fool owns and recommends Nuvei Corporation.