Royal Bank Stock: What I’d Pay for a Dividend I Plan to Hold for Years

Royal Bank’s dividend has room behind it, but I’d want a better starting yield before making a large income purchase.

Key Points
  • Royal Bank's current annualized dividend is $7.04 per share.
  • I'd start adding near $256, where the unchanged payment would yield 2.75%.
  • A stronger buying price leaves less future growth needed to justify the investment.

A bank can be an excellent business and still ask a little too much for the privilege of owning it. That’s annoying when you want a dividend to hold for years, because patience works best with a sensible starting price. I’d happily own a durable Canadian banking franchise for the long haul. I just wouldn’t let the familiar logo negotiate the purchase price for me.

Hand Protecting Senior Couple

Source: Getty Images

Buy the income, with some room

Yield gives an income investor a practical entry point. Divide the annual dividend by the share price, and you can see how much cash the purchase starts producing. A lower price buys more income without asking the bank to raise its dividend first. That’s useful when future growth is likely to be steady and sustainable.

Royal Bank of Canada (TSX: RY) combines personal and commercial banking with wealth management, insurance, and capital markets. That breadth gives it several earnings sources, which supports the case for owning it through different economic conditions. For a long-term dividend holding, I like a company that doesn’t need one business line to have a perfect year.

A dividend with earnings behind it

RBC’s third-quarter adjusted earnings were $4.28 per share, up 11% from a year earlier. Its declared quarterly dividend is $1.76. The payment uses about 41% of that quarter’s adjusted earnings, leaving a meaningful buffer. It’s one quarter, but the relationship supports the income case better than a dividend already swallowing almost all the profit.

RBC’s common equity tier 1 ratio was 13.5%. That’s a key measure of capital available to absorb losses, and it helps assess whether shareholder payments sit alongside a resilient balance sheet. Lending still comes with defaults and economic risk. The point is to own a bank able to handle those ordinary setbacks while continuing to serve customers and invest.

Dividend growth has also done useful work. The quarterly payment was $0.83 in the comparable 2016 declaration and is now $1.76. That’s roughly 7.8% annualized growth over 10 years. Existing holders have seen their income more than double without needing to buy twice as many shares, which explains why a modest starting yield can become rewarding with time.

My buying range

The annualized payment is $7.04. At the recent close of $286.21, the yield is about 2.5%. I’d prefer to start adding near $256, where the same dividend yields 2.75%, and become more interested around $235, close to a 3% yield. Those are my income-based entry points, with the dividend held unchanged in the calculation.

Here’s how a $10,000 budget changes at those prices. Each row is an alternative purchase, before fees, and the lower prices are my proposed entry prices.

COMPANYRECENT PRICENUMBER OF SHARESANNUAL DIVIDENDANNUAL TOTAL PAYOUTFREQUENCYTOTAL INVESTMENT
RY$286.2134$7.04$239.36Quarterly$9,731.14
RY$256.0039$7.04$274.56Quarterly$9,984.00
RY$235.0042$7.04$295.68Quarterly$9,870.00

The $256 entry buys $35.20 more annual income than today’s example. It also gives a new investor five additional shares participating in future increases. Waiting can cost money if the stock rises. Someone without bank exposure could buy a small amount now and reserve most of the budget for a better price.

Bottom line

A weaker economy can increase loan losses, while softer markets can reduce wealth and trading revenue. I’d also avoid paying a premium on the assumption that every recent earnings gain repeats. Strong capital helps the business handle trouble, but it doesn’t prevent the stock from falling when investors become less generous about valuation.

I’d keep an existing Royal Bank holding and reinvest the dividend, while waiting near $256 for a meaningful new addition. For investors buying Canadian stocks, a clear entry price makes patience easier. The aim is to give future dividend growth a better starting point, so more of the bank’s progress reaches your income stream.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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